Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Bet Builder Tips: Wednesday, May 11th

It’s do-or-die for the Memphis Grizzlies tonight at FedExForum in Game 5 of the Western Conference semi-finals. The Warriors have a 3-1 lead heading into the game, but their performance on the road has left a great deal to be desired. I’ve got a 5-piece Bet Builder for tonight’s Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors game, so have a look at the article below for my analysis & tips.

In this article:

• Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Betting Analysis
• Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Bet Builder Tips

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The Memphis Grizzlies are in quite the predicament, going down at Chase Center by 3-1 and facing elimination from the playoffs. But they still have a chance, as they only lost Game 4 by a 3-point margin and with Game 5 being played at FedExForum tonight at 02:30 (UK). Ja Morant is still out with a knee injury, and will likely sit out for the remainder of the series.

Taylor Jenkins knows exactly what he needs to do in preparation for tonight, and it’s setting up their defence. The Grizzlies played terrific defence last game, keeping the Warriors to 9/37 from downtown, getting 11 blocks and forcing 16 turnovers. This is exactly the type of grittiness they need to show tonight if they want to stay alive. They played without Ja Morant in multiple stretches this season, and their defence has stepped up every single time. Let’s hope for more of the same.

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More tips for this game at our Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors tips page

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The Warriors put themselves in a terrific position heading into Game 5, and they can afford to lose tonight. That’s a problem. The Grizzlies will be giving it everything they have, and it’s going to be close. That said, the Warriors are favoured to win at 1.58 odds, and 70% of bettors are backing them to get the job done. Another problem. The Warriors have a huge gap in how they fare at home versus on the road, covering the spread in 59.1% of home games and just 44.2% on the road. This number goes down to 42.3% as road favourites, ranking them 26th in the NBA in that regard.

The Warriors did well to steal Game 1 from the Grizzlies at FedExForum, and their solid play on both ends has led Steve Kerr’s boss to a hefty lead coming into Game 5. The bookies have them as the top favourites to win the title at 3.00 odds, whilst their odds to win this series are at 1.01. The Warriors struggled to get their offence going in Game 4 despite playing on home territory, shooting just 24.3% from downtown and 40% from the field. Fortunately, they made 20/22 free throws, which eventually allowed them to come out on top.

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Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Bet Builder Tips

• Under 217.5 Points
• Grizzlies +5.5
• Jordan Poole Under 19.5 Points
• Jaren Jackson Jr Over 1.5 Blocks
• Steph Curry Over 2.5 Turnovers

Bet Builder is available at odds of 12.00

Odds as at 2 pm May 11th. Odds may now differ.

2 of the 4 games in this series have finished well below the 217.5 total point mark. That doesn’t say very much, but we have one of the best possible betting situations tonight – a game 5 elimination. Don’t be surprised when you see the Grizz throwing everything but the kitchen sink at the Warriors’ shooters. I expect to see a lot of turnovers, fastbreaks, and blocks, but not too many points.

That said, according to the Zig-Zag theory, Game 5 eliminations are perfect for backing the dog, and I completely agree. The Grizzlies are a terrific team with a fast pace, physicality and defence. Even without Ja Morant, they are more than capable of keeping the game close. 5.5 points in the handicap market isn’t exactly a jackpot, but it should be enough to get them over the edge tonight. They are playing at home, and I’m backing the 4th-best defence in this tournament to come through and survive.

Jordan Poole has emerged as a solid third option for the Warriors this season, averaging 18.5 points per game to go along with 4.0 assists. But with the return of Klay Thompson to the starting lineup, there’s been fewer shot opportunities for the young guard. He played just 32 minutes last game and netted just 14 points on 4-12 from the field. Since I’m expecting another defence-heavy game tonight, it’s only natural I back Pool to go under.

Even during the regular season, Jaren Jackson Jr averaged 2.3 blocks per game, but he came out with a monster performance last game with 5 blocks! Whew! So what better market to back than Jaren to get at least 2 tonight. I’m not going to repeat the defence part again, you get the message.

Steph Curry averaged 3.2 turnovers per game in the 2021/22 regular season where defence was like water in the desert. The Warriors’ starting point guard averages 85.5 touches per game, which is right up there near the top of the league, and it’s only natural that he commits an occasional turnover. That said, the 2.5 line is looking rather reachable given the type of game I’m expecting to see, and this bet definitely holds some solid value.

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