The NBA season is well underway, and this Monday provides some of the most interesting match-ups of the week. The following selections are my best bets for Monday, November 15th. You can also play the selections as an accumulator at odds of 15.77 at Bet365.
NBA Monday Night Best Bets:
- Washington Wizards vs New Orleans Pelicans – Under 213 points at 1.90 odds
- Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns – Suns -4 points at 1.90 odds
- Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets – Under 209.5 points at 1.90 odds
- Cleveland Cavaliers vs Boston Celtics – Cavaliers to win at 2.30 odds
Total Acca odds: 15.77
Odds available at Bet365 as at November 15th 2021. Odds may now differ.
Wizards vs Pelicans
The Washington Wizards have been one of the most surprising teams this season, coming out as an elite defensive side. They are 4th in defensive rating so far. They are defending well both inside the paint and behind the 3-point line, limiting opponents to very poor shooting percentages, and allowing very few free throws. Coach Wes Unseld has transformed this team and made the most of their summer acquisitions, with Kuzma, Harrell and Caldwel-Pope all playing significant minutes this season. The Wizards are an excellent team at the moment, and despite their mediocre 3-point shooting, their defence has earned them a 4-game winning streak and 1st place in the Eastern Conference.
On the other side, the Pelicans have been one of the worst teams in the NBA this year with just 2 wins since the start of the season. They are 25th in the NBA in offensive rating, whilst averaging 101.2 points per game and subpar shooting percentages. They are coming off a win offer the Grizzlies with unusually high shooting numbers, but don’t expect them to repeat this against tough Wizards defence. Both teams have struggled with their shooting this year, and are among the slowest teams in the league. The absence of Bradley Beal will slow down the Wizards offence even more, and I expect this one to be a very low-scoring game.
Tip: Under 213 points at 1.90 odds
Timberwolves vs Suns
The Minnesota Timberwolves have had a very slow start to the season, winning just 4 games so far. The Timberwolves have struggled to score, with just 104.6 points per game, and terrible shooting percentages. They are the worst team in the league in terms of rebounding and routinely commit more than 16 turnovers. Their defence has been respectable in some of their games, but it’s not nearly enough to count on, and I don’t expect them to put up much of a resistance against a blazing hot Suns team.
The Phoenix Suns are in the midst of an 8-game winning streak. They are currently 2nd in the Western Conference with 9 wins and 3 losses. The Suns are playing well on both sides of the court, ranking 6th in both offensive and defensive rating. They get most of their points inside the paint or from mid-range, which is where the Wolves struggle to defend the most. But the most impressive part of their season so far has been their teamwork. The Suns are averaging 26.7 assists per game, and have 7 players averaging more than 10 points per game.
The Suns provide excellent value ATS this season, covering the spread in 66.7% of their games. Their playing style and excellent form should allow them to easily overcome a Timberwolves team that struggles to defend inside the 3-point line. I expect to see the Suns get a lot of free throws in this one, which coach Monty Williams will be happy to see with averages of 78.7% from the line on the season.
Tip: Suns -4 points at 1.90 odds.
Mavericks vs Nuggets
After a slow start to the season, the Dallas Mavericks have finally found their stride, winning 4 of their last 5 games. But their offence hasn’t been up to par this season, averaging just 104.5 points per game (23rd in NBA). Their defence has been much better compared to last season, ranking 12th in the NBA in defensive rating, and allowing 106.1 points per game.
The Nuggets have also made strides in their defensive effort this season, and the team is unrecognizable. The Nuggets have allowed the fewest points per game this season at just 98.0 and are currently ranked 2nd in defensive rating. However, their offence has struggled to get going this season, largely due to their low 3-point shooting percentages. Michael Porter Jr. and Jamal Murray will be out for the foreseeable future, and Rivers and Barton are questionable for tonight’s game, it’s difficult to imagine them having a high-scoring outing against the Mavericks in Dallas.
Their most recent encounter this season saw just 181 points, and I expect to see another low-scoring affair in this one. The 209 total-points line is set too high for this reconsidering how good both teams have been defensive, along with their slow style of basketball. 76.9% of the Nuggets’ and 70.0% of the Mavericks’ games have gone Under this season, and I have them to easily do it again.
Tip: Under 209.5 points at 1.90 odds.
Cavaliers vs Celtics
The Boston Celtics have had an unexpectedly bad start to the 2021/22 season, winning just 6 of their 13 games so far. They are currently 10th in the Eastern Conference and coming off a close loss to the Cavaliers where they shot a terrible percentage from behind the 3-point line whilst committing 19 turnovers. Their offence has been crippled by the absence of their top scorer Jaylen Brown, and the team gave up a 17-point lead in the 3rd quarter. Whilst Dennis Schroeder came out with a 28-point performance last time out, I don’t expect him to repeat it. Celtics were already one of the worst attacking teams in the NBA to begin with, the absence of Brown in their second away game in a row will likely tip the scales in the favour of the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have emerged as one of the biggest surprises in the NBA this year with excellent defensive performances and wins against tough opponents like the Knicks, Wizards, Clippers and Nuggets. Despite struggling on offence at times with average shooting percentages, they have used their defensive talent to keep opponents to very low scoring numbers. In fact, the Cavs have allowed 101.3 points per game, ranking them second in the NBA in that regard. Their passing has also been quite impressive with 24.4 assists per game, and 6 of their players averaging 10+ points per game. Whilst the absence of Collin Sexton is a setback, the Cavs beat the Celtics in their most recent game, and I expect them to get the job done again.
At 2.30 odds this is the best bet of the night, and the Cavs certainly provide a lot of value. They have been a much better team compared to last year, and their balanced scoring numbers are the key factor here. They are available at +3 points ATS at 1.90 odds, but the odds on the money line are too tempting to ignore. I have the Cavs to come out with an even better performance than last time and earn their 3rd win in a row.
Tip: Cavaliers to win at 2.30 odds