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Happy Friday everyone! A huge 13-game slate today, and as always, we will bet the “same-game parlay”!
In this article:
Sat, Apr 1st. 03:00 (UK time)
A game against a huge overachiever this season, as the Kings are battling for the 2nd seed and a team that’s been very disappointing. Portland has the 3rd-worst record in the west, and they have stopped playing their starters, as Lillard, Nurkic, Simons, and Grant are not going to play anymore this season.
In their last 4 games, they had young players playing full minutes, and they lost by a combined 108 points total over that stretch. On the other side, the Kings won 9 out of their last 13 games, including a 40-point win against Portland 2 days ago.
In the game these teams played 2 days ago, we had young rookie Shaedon Sharpe playing 45 out of the 48 min, as he scored 30 points with 27 FGA. On the other side, Sabonis played a great overall game and ended up with 15 points, 12 rebounds, and 4 assists in only 26 minutes due to a blowout.
The Blazers lack size inside, so Sabonis easily got rebounds. Also, they double-teamed him when he tried to post up, so he had easy kick outs to wide-open players. Unfortunately, he had only 4 assists while having 14 potential assists, and his expected assists on 14 potential are between 7-8, so his teammates just shot poorly on his passes.
Keegan Murray was one of his teammates that was wide open a lot during the game, and he made 3 threes on 7 three-point attempts in only 22 minutes of playing time due to a blowout. I expect another double-digit win for the Kings tonight, and it’s well correlated with Sabonis’ rebounds (as Portland miss shots) and assists with Keegan Murray’s threes, as Murray scores most threes directly from Sabonis’ passes.
Bet Builder odds: 3.50 (+250) at DraftKings
Odds as of 7:00 pm March 31st, 2023. Odds may now differ.
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