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basketball | Monday, January 23, 2023 11:21 AM

Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies Best Bet: Back Kings In High-Scoring Game

Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies Best Bet: Back Kings In High-Scoring Game
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Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies Best Bet: Monday, January 23rd

The 26-19 Sacramento Kings host the 31-15 Memphis Grizzlies in northern California on Monday night in a showdown at the top of the Western Conference. These two young, aspirational teams are both in pursuit of the Denver Nuggets, and have already built a healthy cushion to the chasing pack. This may well be a playoff preview in what is the fourth and final regular season meeting between the teams – Memphis owns a 2-1 advantage in the season series to date.

This is a third game in four nights and the second of a back-to-back for Memphis after narrow losses to the Lakers and Suns. Sacramento lost to the Sixers on Saturday in the second of their own back-to-back, but have a slight rest advantage in this third game of a four-game homestand.

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Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies Preview

Tue, Jan 24. 03:40 (UK time)

With both of these teams ranking in the top six in pace, led by electric point guards in De’Aaron Fox and Ja Morant, the over is immediately appealing. Both are exactly 50/50 on the total this season, however, so it is worth pushing the line down to get some value for this game. Despite these teams going under this alternate line in their three previous regular season meetings, there is reason to take the over here with two elite offences on show. Sacramento’s defence also ranks bottom 10 over the last 10.

Bookies can barely pick between these teams, with only a one-point spread on most sites. One factor playing in Memphis’ favour is their 15-9 record against teams above .500, compared with Sacramento’s disappointing 7-13. The Grizz, however, are only 11-12 on the road this season.

Three-point shooting is an intriguing part of this duel. Memphis doesn’t take many outside shots and allows a lot. Sacramento takes plenty of three-point shots thanks to the playmaking of Domantas Sabonis and De’Aaron Fox. On defence, the Kings have difficulty protecting the rim, which is suboptimal when facing Morant.

Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies Best Bet

This Kings offence, though, is far more diverse than a dependence on three-point shooting and the inevitable variance which can win or lose games. They get to the line at a good rate, and Fox is one of the league’s leading players in crunch time.

Having a rest disadvantage hasn’t been much of a problem for the Grizzlies this season. Since Jaren Jackson Jr got healthy, their defence has been spectacular, too. Memphis is the better two-way outfit at the moment, yet the congested schedule and homecourt advantage plays a big part here.

Sacramento has covered this alternate line in 21 of its last 22 at home. In five of their last six at Golden 1 Center, they have passed this alternate total.

  • Selection: Sacramento Kings +8.5 and over 236.5 total points
  • Best Odds: 1.91 (Bet365)
  • Stakes: 4/10

Odds as of 12:00 pm January 23rd, 2023. Odds may now differ.

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