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basketball | Thursday, April 28, 2022 12:12 PM (Revised at: Friday, April 29, 2022 7:08 AM)

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks Bet Builder Tips: Thursday, April 28th

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks Bet Builder Tips: Thursday, April 28th

The Dallas Mavericks look to close out the Utah Jazz on Thursday night. It’s a 03:00 tip off (UK time) at Vivint Arena – Utah is aiming to avoid another frustrating playoff exit. Donovan Mitchell is expected to play despite being listed as day-to-day in the injury report.
 In this article:

  • Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks Analysis
  • Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks Bet Builder Tips

Dallas is one-point underdogs for Game 6 after losing the last game in Salt Lake City by a single point on a Rudy Gobert game-winner. The points line is set at 210; each of the last two games have seen under 200 points combined, and their combined scoring averages for the series come to just 205.6.

This series has generally been played at a slow pace. No other first-round matchup has averaged fewer possessions per 48. While Utah’s shooters are unlikely to be as ice-cold as they were in Game 5 (the Jazz shot three-for-30 from downtown), the under still looks like the way to go here. We can even cover ourselves against improved three-point shooting by going for a higher alternate line – let’s take 214.5.

More tips for this game at our Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks tips page

One constant through this series has been Dallas’ three-point shooting. Utah’s inability to contain dribble penetration has resulted in so many open perimeter looks. Simple pick and pops at the top of the arc were getting wide open shots for Dorian Finney-Smith and Reggie Bullock in Game 5. The Jazz defence isn’t going to change overnight – they are still going to give up a lot of threes.

Bullock has drained 15 threes through five games. He’s taken 17 over the last two, and has a threes made line of 2.5 for Game 6. He’s hit the over in all five games so far, and we like him to make that six in a row.
Dallas’ smallball has enabled their three-point barrage. It has also made Rudy Gobert particularly dominant on the glass at both ends and exaggerated his impact as an offensive force. Gobert posted 17 and 11 in just 26 Game 5 minutes. The Frenchman is getting plenty of easy points plus Dallas is forced to foul him often. Only Nikola Jokic had more double-doubles in the regular year, and Gobert has added another four in this series. We’re backing him to make that five.

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks Bet Builder Tips

  • Under 214.5 total points
  • Reggie Bullock over 2.5 threes
  • Rudy Gobert to record a double-double
  • Luka Doncic over 40.5 points and rebounds

Bet Builder is available at 10.00 odds at Bet365 as of 3 pm April 28th 2022. Odds may now differ. 

We’ve got to get Doncic involved in here somehow. The Slovenian is showing no signs of rust after his injury, and his career playoff numbers are outrageous. Having gone 33, 13 and five in Game 5, Doncic is averaging 33, nine and nine in the postseason for his career.

His rebounding presence is especially important with the Mavericks leaning towards smaller line ups. He’s coming off a spectacular third quarter, picking apart whatever defence the Jazz threw at him.

While Jason Kidd is still being relatively careful with the All-Star’s workload after the calf issue, Doncic can put up massive numbers even when playing under 35 minutes. He cruised past the 40.5 points and rebounds line last time out, and we’re backing him to do again in Game 6.

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