AC Milan vs. Monza Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 24 May 2025 - bettingexpert
AC Milan will face Monza in the final round of the Serie A season at San Siro. With AC Milan currently sitting 9th in the standings and Monza relegated at 20th, both teams will be looking to end the season on a high note.
Referee Matteo Gariglio will oversee the match, adding an experienced touch to the officiating.
AC Milan has had a mixed run, but their squad boasts talents like Christian Pulisic and Rafael Leão. Despite recent setbacks, including a red card for Santiago Giménez, their home form is strong. Milan is the heavy favorite, with bookmaker odds at 1.22 for a home win.
Monza, on the other hand, has struggled throughout the season, losing their last game to Empoli 3-1. Despite their challenges, players like Dany Mota have shown promise.
Weather might not play a significant factor, and with Milan focusing solely on domestic competitions, this game is pivotal for their morale.
Recommended bet: AC Milan to win 1st half, highlighting their tendency to control early gameplay.
AC Milan vs Monza Prediction & Betting Tip
Given the circumstances and the performance metrics of both teams, the recommended bet is for AC Milan to win the 1st half. Milan has displayed strong control in the early stages of games and with their solid home performance coupled with Monza’s defensive struggles, this bet seems reliable.
| AC Milan vs Monza Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| AC Milan to win 1st half | 1.22 |
- Milan tends to control the game in the first half: They have a habit of taking the lead early.
- Monza’s weaker defense: They’ve struggled defensively, especially early in games.
- Past performances back it up: The last time Milan played Monza at home in Serie A, they won comfortably.
AC Milan vs Monza Odds
Here’s a look at the betting odds for the upcoming clash between AC Milan and Monza at San Siro.
| AC Milan vs Monza Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| AC Milan | 1.22 |
| Draw | 6.86 |
| Monza | 10.91 |
AC Milan is the clear favorite to win the match given their solid home performance and Monza’s struggles this season. The odds reflect the disparity in current form and league standings, making AC Milan the safer bet for fans and punters alike. With Monza’s defensive vulnerabilities and Milan’s tendency to dominate early, a bet on AC Milan to win, particularly in the first half, holds strong potential.
AC Milan Team Analysis
AC Milan Recent Performance
AC Milan has been on a bit of a rollercoaster ride recently, with their last five matches showing signs of both struggle and resilience. Here’s a quick breakdown:
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roma | AC Milan | 2025-05-18 | Serie A | 3-1 (Loss) |
| AC Milan | Bologna | 2025-05-14 | Coppa Italia | 0-1 (Loss) |
| AC Milan | Bologna | 2025-05-09 | Serie A | 3-1 (Win) |
| Genoa | AC Milan | 2025-05-05 | Serie A | 1-2 (Win) |
| Venezia | AC Milan | 2025-04-27 | Serie A | 0-2 (Win) |
Recent Form: LLWWW
In terms of form, AC Milan has managed to secure three wins in their last five outings, displaying an average of 1.60 goals per game. Their only clean sheet from these matches indicates some defensive vulnerabilities. Their last performance saw them lose to Roma 3-1, with a red card for Santiago Giménez highlighting discipline issues. Despite this, they had solid victories against Genoa and Venezia, underlining their ability to bounce back. The team’s focus and consistency will be crucial as they face Monza.
AC Milan Key Players
Key players for AC Milan in this match include top scorer Christian Pulisic, who has netted 11 goals so far this season. Another crucial player is Theo Hernandez, though he’s currently listed as doubtful due to a thigh injury. Rafael Leão and Tijjani Reijnders will also be pivotal in controlling the midfield and creating chances.
Expected lineup for AC Milan:
- Goalkeeper: Mike Maignan
- Defenders: Fikayo Tomori, Matteo Gabbia, Strahinja Pavlovic
- Midfielders: Alex Jimenez, Youssouf Fofana, Tijjani Reijnders, Theo Hernandez
- Attackers: Christian Pulisic, Rafael Leão, Luka Jovic
Look out for the battle between Milan’s forwards and Monza’s defenders, where AC Milan will aim to exploit Monza’s defensive weaknesses.
AC Milan Suspensions & Injuries
AC Milan are dealing with several key injuries and a crucial suspension ahead of their clash against Monza. This could significantly impact their performance and tactical setup.
Suspensions
| Player | Suspension | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|
| Santiago Giménez | Red card | Next match |
Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|
| Warren Bondo | Ankle injury | Early June 2025 |
| Samuel Chukwueze | Groin injury | Doubtful |
| Theo Hernandez | Thigh injury | Doubtful |
Theo Hernandez and Samuel Chukwueze’s statuses are particularly concerning, as both are pivotal in bringing creativity and dynamism to the squad. Santiago Giménez’s suspension also leaves a gap upfront, which might affect Milan’s attacking efficacy.
The potential absence of these key players will test the depth of Milan’s squad and require strategic adjustments from coach Siramana Dembélé.
AC Milan Tactics and Formation
AC Milan Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-4-2-1
- Key Forward: Luka Jovic (filling in for the suspended Santiago Giménez)
- Attacking Midfielders: Christian Pulisic, Rafael Leão
- Midfield Quartet: Alex Jimenez, Youssouf Fofana, Tijjani Reijnders, Theo Hernandez
AC Milan tends to control the game in the first half, maintaining a high press and quick ball movement, especially down the flanks.
They deploy a back-three defense with Fikayo Tomori, Matteo Gabbia, and Strahinja Pavlovic, focusing on solid defensive structure.
The absence of Theo Hernandez due to injury is a key concern, but Alex Jimenez is expected to cover effectively.
Expect tactical fluidity, with Pulisic and Leão providing the creative spark behind Luka Jovic up front, aiming to exploit Monza’s weaker defense.
Monza Team Analysis
Monza Recent Performance
Monza has had a challenging run of form, securing just one win in their last five matches. Their recent performances have been marked by defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistent attacking output.
Recent Matches:
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monza | Empoli | 2025-05-18 | Serie A | 1-3 (Loss) |
| Udinese | Monza | 2025-05-11 | Serie A | 1-2 (Win) |
| Monza | Atalanta | 2025-05-04 | Serie A | 0-4 (Loss) |
| Juventus | Monza | 2025-04-27 | Serie A | 2-0 (Loss) |
| Monza | SSC Napoli | 2025-04-19 | Serie A | 0-1 (Loss) |
Monza has struggled to find the back of the net, averaging just 0.6 goals per game in their last five matches and failing to register any clean sheets. This dip in form sees them languishing at the bottom of the table, rooted to 20th place.
Monza Key Players
Monza will rely on key players like Danny Mota, their top scorer with 5 goals, to make an impact against AC Milan.
Another important figure is Gianluca Caprari, who will look to challenge AC Milan’s defense with his forward runs.
In the midfield, Jean Daniel Akpa Akpro and Alessandro Bianco are expected to control the flow of the game and provide defensive support.
Expected lineup for Monza:
- Goalkeeper: Semuel Pizzignacco
- Defenders: Pedro Pereira, Arvid Brorsson, Andrea Carboni
- Midfielders: Samuele Birindelli, Jean Daniel Akpa Akpro, Alessandro Bianco, Kevin Zeroli, Georgios Kyriakopoulos
- Attackers: Gianluca Caprari, Keita Baldé
Monza Suspensions & Injuries
Monza are contending with a slew of injuries that could adversely affect their performance. The infirmary includes some key players who have been crucial throughout the season.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Matteo Pessina | Thigh injury | Early June 2025 |
| Armando Izzo | Groin injury | Early June 2025 |
| Silvere Ganvoula | Physical discomfort | About a week |
| Roberto Gagliardini | Physical discomfort | About a week |
| Danilo D’Ambrosio | Muscle injury | Early June 2025 |
| Omari Forson | Physical discomfort | About a week |
The absence of players like Matteo Pessina and Armando Izzo weakens both the defensive and midfield lines, potentially leaving gaps that AC Milan can exploit.
Additionally, depth in the squad is hindered, putting extra pressure on available players to step up against a formidable opponent.
Monza Tactics and Formation
Monza’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-5-2
- Key Forwards: Gianluca Caprari and Keita Balde
- Midfield Unit: Jean Daniel Akpa Akpro, Alessandro Bianco, Kevin Zeroli
- Defensive Line: Pedro Pereira, Arvid Brorsson, Andrea Carboni
Monza’s 3-5-2 formation focuses on utilizing wing-backs like Samuele Birindelli and Georgios Kyriakopoulos to stretch the play and support both defense and attack.
Given their recent struggles, the key emphasis will be on maintaining a solid backline and exploiting counter-attacks.
However, injuries and poor recent form might hinder their ability to execute this strategy effectively against AC Milan’s potent attack.
AC Milan vs Monza Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monza | AC Milan | 2024-11-02 | Serie A | 0-1 (Win) |
| AC Milan | Monza | 2024-08-13 | Club Friendly | 3-1 (Win) |
| Monza | AC Milan | 2024-02-18 | Serie A | 4-2 (Loss) |
| AC Milan | Monza | 2023-12-17 | Serie A | 3-0 (Win) |
| Monza | AC Milan | 2023-08-08 | Club Friendly | 1-1 (Draw, lost 5-6 on penalties) |
AC Milan has shown superior form in most of their recent encounters with Monza, securing four wins out of the last five matchups. Monza did manage a surprise 4-2 victory in their home game last February but struggled on other occasions, especially when visiting San Siro. This historical performance sets the stage for an intriguing fixture.
Odds accurate as of 22.05.2025 19:46, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
