Inter vs Genoa Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, Saturday, 28 February

Inter will host Genoa at the iconic Giuseppe Meazza on Saturday, 28 February, in a highly anticipated Serie A clash. As we delve into this prediction, match preview, and betting tips, it’s important to note that both teams are competing for crucial points in the league standings. Inter, renowned for their strong home performances, will look to capitalise on their home advantage against a Genoa side eager to make an impact.

The Serie A encounter between Inter and Genoa promises to be a compelling matchup, with both teams having distinct objectives. Inter aim to consolidate their position near the top of the table, while Genoa are determined to climb away from the lower ranks. The Giuseppe Meazza will set the stage for this contest, where the tactical acumen and form of both teams will be put to the test. Bettors will be closely monitoring the odds and form guides as they consider their options for this fixture.

Inter vs Genoa Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Over 2.5 goals	1.72

Given the historical data and recent performances, our recommended betting tip is to back over 2.5 goals in this match. Both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring games, particularly Genoa, who have witnessed at least three goals in 9 of their last 12 matches. Inter’s home fixtures have also been high-scoring, with at least three goals in all but three of their games this season.

• Inter have scored in 92% of their home matches this season, highlighting their strong attacking capabilities.
• Genoa’s last 12 matches have featured at least three goals in 9 of them, indicating a trend for high-scoring encounters.
• With Milan facing a challenging Champions League fixture, Inter may find more space and opportunities, making a high-scoring game likely.

Betting Odds

Inter are clear favourites in this Serie A clash against Genoa, with bookmakers offering odds of 1.3 for a home win. Genoa, on the other hand, are considered outsiders with odds of 9.81, while a draw is priced at 5.3, suggesting a one-sided affair at the Giuseppe Meazza.

Betting Tip	Odds
Inter to win	1.3
Draw	5.3
Genoa to win	9.81

For those seeking value, considering Inter’s strong home form, betting on a high-scoring match or a handicap win could be worthwhile. Keep an eye on the over 2.5 goals market, which may offer attractive returns given Inter’s attacking prowess.

Inter Analysis & Recent Performance

Inter’s recent form has been a mixture of highs and lows, with three wins and two defeats in their last five matches. Despite this inconsistency, they remain a formidable force in Serie A, holding their position at the top of the table with 64 points. Their attacking strength is evident, having scored 12 goals in their last five games, averaging 2.40 goals per match. However, defensive shortcomings have been exposed, conceding seven goals in the same period, which is a concern ahead of the upcoming fixtures.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Inter	Bodoe/Glimt	1 – 2 (Loss)	Champions League Knockout Stage	24 Feb 2026
Lecce	Inter	0 – 2 (Win)	Serie A	21 Feb 2026
Bodoe/Glimt	Inter	3 – 1 (Loss)	Champions League Knockout Stage	18 Feb 2026
Inter	Juventus	3 – 2 (Win)	Serie A	14 Feb 2026
Sassuolo	Inter	0 – 5 (Win)	Serie A	8 Feb 2026

Recent Form:

• LWLWW

Inter’s home performances have been somewhat more stable, with a 60% win ratio in their last five home matches. They have managed two clean sheets, but the defence has shown vulnerabilities, conceding in three of these games. The team’s strength lies in its attacking capabilities, led by Lautaro Martínez, who has netted 14 goals this season. The challenge will be to maintain defensive solidity to complement their attacking firepower.

Inter Suspensions & Injuries

Inter face a challenging situation with key players unavailable due to injuries and suspensions. The absence of Alessandro Bastoni through suspension means the defensive line will require adjustments, likely bringing Stefan de Vrij into a central role alongside Yann Aurel Bisseck and Francesco Acerbi. Without Bastoni, Inter’s defensive solidity could be tested, particularly against Genoa’s attackers. The suspension, resulting from accumulated yellow cards, will impact the team’s ability to maintain their usual defensive structure.

Player	Suspension	Matches Remaining	Expected Return
Alessandro Bastoni	Yellow cards	1	Unknown

Injuries to Hakan Çalhanoğlu and Lautaro Martínez further complicate Inter’s tactical setup. Çalhanoğlu’s creativity and midfield control will be missed, necessitating a more prominent role for Piotr Zieliński and Davide Frattesi to fill the creative void. Martínez’s absence up front means Marcus Thuram will need to shoulder more of the attacking responsibility, with Francesco Pio Esposito partnering him in attack. The team will have to adapt their offensive strategies to compensate for the missing firepower.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Hakan Çalhanoğlu	Thigh injury	Early March 2026
Lautaro Martínez	Calf injury	Late March 2026

These absences could influence betting markets, as Inter’s usual attacking and defensive strengths are diminished. With key players missing, the team may rely more on squad depth and tactical flexibility, making this a potentially closer contest than anticipated.

Inter Key Players

With Lautaro Martínez sidelined due to injury, Inter will need to rely on alternative attacking threats. Marcus Thuram, expected to lead the line, will be vital in spearheading the attack. Thuram’s physical presence and ability to hold up play allow Inter to build their offensive moves effectively. His partnership with young forward Francesco Pio Esposito could prove pivotal, with Esposito’s agility and instinct for finding space adding another dimension to the frontline.

In midfield, Piotr Zieliński stands out as a key playmaker. His vision and passing accuracy are crucial for dictating the tempo and transitioning the ball from defence to attack. Alongside him, Davide Frattesi’s dynamism and work rate will be essential in breaking up Genoa’s play and supporting both defensive and attacking phases. Defensively, Stefan de Vrij’s experience will be crucial in organising the backline and dealing with Genoa’s attacking threats.

Expected lineup for Inter:

• Goalkeeper: Yann Sommer
• Defenders: Yann Aurel Bisseck, Stefan de Vrij, Francesco Acerbi
• Midfielders: Luis Henrique, Piotr Zieliński, Davide Frattesi, Federico Dimarco, Petar Sucic
• Forwards: Francesco Pio Esposito, Marcus Thuram

Inter Tactics and Formation

Inter Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-5-2
• Key Forward: Marcus Thuram
• Midfield Anchor: Piotr Zieliński
• Defensive Stability: Two clean sheets in the last five matches
• Notable Strategy: High possession and wing-back utilisation.

Inter’s 3-5-2 formation, under the guidance of Cristian Chivu, is built on a solid defensive trio of Yann Aurel Bisseck, Stefan de Vrij, and Francesco Acerbi. This setup provides a compact defensive unit, which has been effective in maintaining two clean sheets in their last five fixtures.

In midfield, Piotr Zieliński plays a pivotal role alongside Davide Frattesi, offering both defensive cover and creative playmaking. The wing-backs, Luis Henrique and Federico Dimarco, are essential in stretching the play and providing width, contributing to the team’s high possession rates in recent matches.

Offensively, Inter rely heavily on the partnership between Marcus Thuram and Francesco Pio Esposito up front. Despite the absence of key forward Lautaro Martínez through injury, Thuram’s presence ensures a consistent threat in front of goal, as demonstrated by their ability to score in all recent matches.

Genoa Analysis & Recent Performance

Genoa’s recent form has been somewhat inconsistent, with two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five matches. Their most recent outing saw a commanding 3-0 victory over Torino, showcasing their ability to dominate possession with 62% and capitalise on their chances with 16 shots.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Genoa	Torino	3 – 0 (Win)	Serie A	22 Feb 2026
Cremonese	Genoa	0 – 0 (Draw)	Serie A	15 Feb 2026
Genoa	SSC Napoli	2 – 3 (Loss)	Serie A	7 Feb 2026
Lazio	Genoa	3 – 2 (Loss)	Serie A	30 Jan 2026
Genoa	Bologna	3 – 2 (Win)	Serie A	25 Jan 2026

Recent Form:

• WDLLW

Genoa have averaged 2.00 goals per game over their last five fixtures, demonstrating a decent attacking output. Defensively, they’ve conceded an average of 1.60 goals per game and managed two clean sheets, indicating potential vulnerabilities at the back. Away from home, Genoa have struggled to secure victories, failing to win any of their last five away matches, with a win ratio of 0.00. This lack of form on the road could be a significant factor in their upcoming fixture against Inter.

Genoa Suspensions & Injuries

Genoa are contending with several injury concerns that could impact their tactical setup against Inter. With Benjamin Siegrist sidelined due to a broken finger, Genoa will rely on Justin Bijlow to continue as the starting goalkeeper. The absences of Sebastian Otoa and Brooke Norton-Cuffy, both suffering from thigh injuries, limit Genoa’s options in midfield and on the defensive flanks. While these injuries may not directly affect the starting lineup, they do reduce depth and flexibility, especially if tactical changes are required during the match.

The potential unavailability of Otoa and Norton-Cuffy means Genoa will likely have to maintain their current formation and rely heavily on the fitness and form of their starting midfield and defence. Coach Daniele De Rossi must ensure that his available players are well-prepared to meet the demands of the match, particularly against a strong Inter side.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Benjamin Siegrist	Broken finger	Doubtful
Sebastian Otoa	Thigh injury	Doubtful
Brooke Norton-Cuffy	Thigh injury	Doubtful

With no suspensions affecting the team, Genoa can focus on optimising their current lineup. However, these injuries could influence their strategic approach, possibly resulting in a more conservative style to avoid further depleting their squad. This may impact betting markets, as Genoa’s ability to adapt and remain resilient under pressure will be crucial in determining their chances against Inter.

Genoa Key Players

Lorenzo Colombo stands out as Genoa’s top scorer with 6 goals this season, playing a crucial role in leading their attack. His ability to find the net will be vital against Inter. Colombo’s striking prowess, combined with his sharp movement and finishing skills, makes him a constant threat to any defence. Alongside him, Caleb Ekuban is expected to support the attack, using his agility and tactical awareness to stretch the opposition’s backline.

In midfield, Ruslan Malinovskyi’s role as playmaker is indispensable. His vision and passing accuracy can unlock defences and create goal-scoring opportunities for his teammates. Defensively, Leo Østigård is pivotal with his commanding presence and aerial strength, which will be essential in neutralising Inter’s attacking threats.

• Goalkeeper: Justin Bijlow
• Defenders: Alessandro Marcandalli, Leo Østigård, Johan Vásquez
• Midfielders: Mikael Egill Ellertsson, Tommaso Baldanzi, Morten Frendrup, Ruslan Malinovskyi, Stefano Sabelli
• Forwards: Lorenzo Colombo, Caleb Ekuban

Expected lineup for Genoa

Genoa Tactics and Formation

Genoa Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-5-2
• Key Forward: Lorenzo Colombo
• Midfield Engine: Ruslan Malinovskyi
• Defensive Vulnerability: Two clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: High pressing and wing-back utilisation.

Genoa’s 3-5-2 formation under Daniele De Rossi aims to exploit width and overload the midfield zones. The defensive trio of Alessandro Marcandalli, Leo Østigård, and Johan Vásquez are tasked with maintaining a compact shape to minimise gaps, which was crucial in their recent 3-0 victory against Torino.

In midfield, Ruslan Malinovskyi plays a pivotal role in transitioning play from defence to attack. With Stefano Sabelli and Mikael Egill Ellertsson operating as wing-backs, Genoa look to stretch the opposition and create crossing opportunities for forwards Lorenzo Colombo and Caleb Ekuban.

Offensively, Genoa’s ability to press high and capitalise on opponents’ mistakes is key, although their away form leaves room for improvement, with no wins in their last five away matches. Defensively, their vulnerability lies in keeping clean sheets, having managed only two in their last five games.

Inter vs Genoa Head-to-Head Record

Inter have dominated the head-to-head record against Genoa, winning 25 out of 38 encounters, while Genoa have managed just 5 victories, with 9 matches ending in a draw. The last time these two sides met, Inter secured a 2-1 win at Genoa’s ground in December 2025, continuing their strong Serie A form.

When Genoa last visited the Giuseppe Meazza in February 2025, Inter claimed a narrow 1-0 victory. This fixture has often seen Inter prevail, especially at home, where they have consistently kept Genoa at bay.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	League	Date
Genoa	Inter Milan	1 – 2	Serie A	14-Dec-2025
Inter Milan	Genoa	1 – 0	Serie A	22-Feb-2025
Genoa	Inter Milan	2 – 2	Serie A	17-Aug-2024
Inter Milan	Genoa	2 – 1	Serie A	4-Mar-2024
Genoa	Inter Milan	1 – 1	Serie A	29-Dec-2023