Casa Pia AC vs Arouca Prediction & Match Preview – Saturday, 14 February

Casa Pia AC will face Arouca in a Liga Portugal clash on Saturday, 14 February. The match is set to kick off at Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, providing a crucial battleground for both teams. Casa Pia AC, playing at home, will be eager to capitalise on their familiar surroundings to secure valuable points. Meanwhile, Arouca will be looking to challenge their hosts and improve their standing in the league.

This encounter is significant as both Casa Pia AC and Arouca aim to strengthen their positions in the Liga Portugal table. With the league’s competitive nature, every match is vital, and both teams will be keen to demonstrate their capabilities. Fans can expect a competitive fixture as these two Portuguese sides vie for supremacy on the pitch.

Casa Pia AC vs Arouca: Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Casa Pia AC Draw No Bet	1.8

For this match, our recommended betting tip is Casa Pia AC Draw No Bet. This selection provides a measure of safety if the game ends in a draw, while still offering value considering Casa Pia AC’s current form and historical advantage over Arouca.

• Casa Pia AC have shown improving form, highlighted by their recent 2-1 victory over FC Porto, giving them a confidence boost.
• Arouca have struggled against Casa Pia AC in their last five meetings, failing to secure a single win.
• Casa Pia AC’s home advantage and solid defensive performances suggest they are well-positioned to avoid defeat, making Draw No Bet a sensible option.

Betting Odds

In this Liga Portugal clash, Casa Pia AC are just about edging it as favourites with odds of 2.68, but Arouca are not far behind at 2.65. The bookies are clearly expecting a close encounter, with the draw at 3.1 offering some tempting returns for those who fancy a stalemate.

Betting Tip	Odds
Casa Pia AC to win	2.68
Draw	3.1
Arouca to win	2.65

For those looking to place a bet, the match odds suggest a tight affair, but both teams have shown they can find the net, making the both teams to score market an interesting option. Keep an eye on the over 2.5 goals market as well, given the attacking potential on display.

Casa Pia AC: Analysis & Recent Performance

Casa Pia AC have experienced mixed results in their recent outings, recording one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. A notable highlight was their 2-1 home victory against FC Porto, demonstrating their potential to challenge top teams.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Nacional	Casa Pia AC	0 – 0 (Draw)	Liga Portugal	8 Feb 2026
Casa Pia AC	FC Porto	2 – 1 (Win)	Liga Portugal	2 Feb 2026
Casa Pia AC	AVS Futebol SAD	3 – 3 (Draw)	Liga Portugal	23 Jan 2026
Sporting CP	Casa Pia AC	3 – 0 (Loss)	Liga Portugal	16 Jan 2026
Rio Ave	Casa Pia AC	3 – 1 (Loss)	Liga Portugal	4 Jan 2026

Recent Form:
Casa Pia AC’s attack has been moderately effective, averaging 1.20 goals scored per match in their last five games. However, defensively, they have struggled, conceding an average of 2.00 goals per game. This imbalance is reflected in their results, as they have managed only one clean sheet during this period. At home, they have drawn three of their last five matches, indicating resilience but a lack of decisive victories.

Team Dynamics:
Over their last ten matches, Casa Pia AC have a win ratio of just 20%, with their offensive efforts yielding an average of 1.00 goal per game. Defensively, they have conceded an average of 1.50 goals per match, and their ability to keep clean sheets remains limited. The team’s 15th position in the league reflects these challenges, as they look to improve their defensive solidity and capitalise on scoring opportunities.

Tactical Insights:

• DWDLL

Jérémy Livolant stands out as a key player, being the team’s top scorer with three goals this season. Casa Pia AC’s overall performance indicates a need for tactical adjustments, particularly in defence, to convert drawn matches into wins and climb up the league standings.

Casa Pia AC: Suspensions & Injuries

Casa Pia AC face a challenging situation with several key players doubtful for the upcoming match against Arouca. Kiki Silva’s knee injury is a significant concern, as his pace and defensive capabilities have been vital for the team’s structure. Similarly, the absence of Duplexe Tchamba and José Fonte, both listed as doubtful due to unspecified injuries, could severely impact the defensive solidity of the squad. These absences mean that coach Álvaro Pacheco will need to make strategic adjustments to maintain balance and reliability at the back.

With potential gaps in the defence, players like João Goulart and André Geraldes might be called upon to step up, shouldering more responsibility in the rearguard. The lack of clarity on the return dates for the injured trio adds to the uncertainty, necessitating a plan that possibly involves reshuffling the existing lineup. This could also mean a shift in formation, perhaps opting for a more conservative approach to counterbalance the defensive frailties.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Kiki Silva	Knee injury	Doubtful
Duplexe Tchamba	Unknown	Doubtful
José Fonte	Unknown	Doubtful

The tactical implications of these injuries are significant. Casa Pia AC might lean towards a more defensive setup or perhaps strengthen their midfield to better protect the backline. Coach Pacheco might also consider integrating younger or less experienced players to fill the void, which could influence the team’s dynamics and performance. The betting markets may view these absences as a detriment, potentially affecting odds with Arouca possibly seen as having a slight edge due to Casa Pia AC’s weakened lineup.

Casa Pia AC: Key Players

Casa Pia AC’s top scorer, Jérémy Livolant, with three goals to his name, will be pivotal in the attack against Arouca. Livolant, known for his dynamic presence up front, has a knack for finding the back of the net and could be the difference-maker. His ability to exploit defensive gaps will be crucial, especially when paired with the experienced forward Cassiano, who provides a physical presence and holds up play effectively.

Complementing the attack, Lawrence Ofori in midfield is expected to orchestrate the play. His vision and passing range can unlock defences, while Gaizka Larrazabal’s work rate and defensive contributions add balance to the midfield. Defensively, the leadership of João Goulart is vital. His aerial prowess and organisational skills are critical in maintaining a solid backline.

Expected lineup for Casa Pia AC:

• Goalkeeper: Patrick Sequeira
• Defence: André Geraldes, João Goulart, Domingos José Gabriel Bandeira Kaly
• Midfield: Gaizka Larrazabal, Lawrence Ofori, Rafael Brito, Abdu Conté
• Forward: Jérémy Livolant, Cassiano, Tiago Morais

Casa Pia AC: Tactics & Formation

Casa Pia AC Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Jérémy Livolant
• Midfield Engine: Lawrence Ofori and Rafael Brito
• Defensive Concerns: Struggled with clean sheets, only one in the last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Focus on defensive solidity and counter-attacking play.

Casa Pia AC’s 4-3-3 formation is designed to provide a balance between defence and attack. Lawrence Ofori and Rafael Brito are pivotal in midfield, tasked with breaking up opposition play and initiating counter-attacks. They will need to support the defence, particularly with the absence of key players like José Fonte and Duplexe Tchamba due to injury.

Defensively, Casa Pia AC have struggled to maintain clean sheets, having only achieved one in their last five matches. The defensive line, likely composed of João Goulart, Kaly, and André Geraldes, will need to be vigilant against Arouca’s attacking threats, especially considering the team’s recent defensive vulnerabilities.

Offensively, Jérémy Livolant, Casa Pia AC’s top scorer, will be crucial in spearheading the attack. The team’s strategy often involves soaking up pressure and using quick transitions to catch opponents off guard, leveraging the pace and creativity of their forward line.

Arouca: Analysis & Recent Performance

Arouca have demonstrated mixed results recently, with a record of three wins and two losses in their last five matches. Notably, they secured a thrilling 3-2 victory against Vitória de Guimarães in their most recent fixture, showcasing their attacking prowess with Alfonso Trezza being a key contributor, having scored seven goals this season.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Arouca	Vitória de Guimarães	3 – 2 (Win)	Liga Portugal	7 Feb 2026
Rio Ave	Arouca	0 – 3 (Win)	Liga Portugal	31 Jan 2026
Arouca	Sporting CP	1 – 2 (Loss)	Liga Portugal	24 Jan 2026
AVS Futebol SAD	Arouca	0 – 1 (Win)	Liga Portugal	17 Jan 2026
Tondela	Arouca	3 – 1 (Loss)	Liga Portugal	3 Jan 2026

Recent Form:

• WWLWL

Arouca have been consistent in front of goal, averaging 1.80 goals scored per game in their last five matches. However, defensive solidity remains a concern, as they have conceded 1.40 goals per game during the same period. Despite this, they have managed to keep two clean sheets, indicating some level of defensive resilience. Away from home, their form is slightly less convincing, with two wins, two losses, and one draw in the last five away fixtures. Currently sitting in 12th position with 23 points, Arouca’s performances suggest a mid-bottom ranking, but their ability to score in difficult situations could pose a threat to any opponent.

Arouca: Suspensions & Injuries

Arouca face some uncertainty with the fitness of two players, Fally Mayulu and Pedro Santos, both listed as doubtful for the upcoming match against Casa Pia AC. Mayulu’s hip injury has kept him sidelined, while Santos’s condition remains unclear. Their potential absence could affect Arouca’s tactical flexibility, particularly in midfield and attacking options.

The absence of Pedro Santos, who was listed as injured in the last matchday squad, might force Arouca to rely on alternative players to fill the gap in creativity and defensive solidity in midfield. Although the exact formation for this match hasn’t been confirmed, the team may need to adjust their strategy to compensate for the missing personnel.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Fally Mayulu	Hip injury	Doubtful
Pedro Santos	Unknown	Doubtful

Vasco Seabra may have to consider changes in the lineup, potentially bringing in younger or less experienced players to cover for these injuries. This scenario could influence Arouca’s overall performance and their ability to maintain a competitive edge against Casa Pia AC. With the team lacking key figures, there might be implications for betting markets, as the odds could shift in favour of the home team.

Arouca: Key Players

Alfonso Trezza stands out as Arouca’s top scorer with seven goals this season, making him a pivotal figure in their attacking lineup. His ability to find the back of the net consistently is crucial for Arouca’s offensive strategy. Trezza’s role as a forward is complemented by his agility and sharp finishing, which can exploit defensive vulnerabilities in Casa Pia AC’s backline. Alongside him, Iván Barbero adds depth to the attack with his physical presence, poised to create space and opportunities for his teammates.

Midfield dynamism is provided by Hyun-Ju Lee, whose vision and passing accuracy can dictate the tempo of the match. Lee’s partnership with Espen van Ee and Taichi Fukui is expected to be instrumental in controlling the midfield battle. At the back, Tiago Esgaio and Javi Sánchez form a solid defensive unit, tasked with maintaining composure against Casa Pia AC’s offensive threats. The cohesion between these players is vital for Arouca’s tactical setup.

Expected lineup for Arouca:

• Goalkeeper: Ignacio de Arruabarrena
• Defence: Tiago Esgaio, Bas Kuipers, Javi Sánchez, José Fontán
• Midfield: Espen van Ee, Taichi Fukui, Hyun-Ju Lee
• Forward: Alfonso Trezza, Nais Djouahra, Iván Barbero

Arouca: Tactics & Formation

Arouca Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Expected 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Iván Barbero
• Midfield Creativity: Taichi Fukui and Alfonso Trezza
• Defensive Concerns: Only two clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on possession and midfield control.

Arouca are likely to adopt a 4-2-3-1 formation, a setup that allows them to maintain possession and control the tempo of the game. With players like Taichi Fukui and Alfonso Trezza in midfield, they have the capability to dictate play and create opportunities for the attack.

Defensively, Arouca face challenges, as evidenced by their recent performances where they have only managed two clean sheets in their last five outings. The backline, including Tiago Esgaio and Javi Sánchez, needs to be vigilant against Casa Pia AC’s attacking threats.

Offensively, Iván Barbero is expected to lead the line, with support from wingers such as Hyun-Ju Lee and Nais Djouahra, who add width and pace. Arouca aim to utilise their possession-based strategy to break down opponents and create scoring opportunities.

Casa Pia AC vs Arouca: Head-to-Head Record

Casa Pia AC and Arouca have faced off nine times, with Casa Pia AC leading the head-to-head record with four wins, while Arouca have managed two victories, and they’ve drawn three times. The most recent encounter saw Casa Pia AC triumph 2-0 away at Arouca in a Liga Portugal clash back in September 2025.

The last time Casa Pia AC hosted Arouca, they secured a 3-1 victory in December 2024. Casa Pia AC’s home advantage seems to play a significant role, as they’ve won their last two home fixtures against Arouca in the league. This pattern could be crucial for bettors considering the upcoming match.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Arouca	Casa Pia AC	0 – 2	Liga Portugal	2025-09-14
Arouca	Casa Pia AC	0 – 0	Liga Portugal	2025-05-04
Casa Pia AC	Arouca	3 – 1	Liga Portugal	2024-12-20
Casa Pia AC	Arouca	1 – 0	Liga Portugal	2024-02-18
Arouca	Casa Pia AC	0 – 1	Liga Portugal	2023-09-17