Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
Two great old rivals clash in La Liga this weekend when 5th-placed Atletico Madrid travel to Spain’s Basque Country to take on Athletic Bilbao – currently 10th – in a guaranteed thriller. Bilbao vs Atletico takes place on Sunday, March 15 at 4:00 PM CET
Bilbao were 4-1 away winners at Real Valladolid at the weekend, their second straight win, and a badly needed six points following a bleak February, which saw Athletic lose all five games they played. That run had followed Bilbao’s previous steak of five straight draws!
Bizarre as those sequences are, the bottom line was Bilbao had taken just five points from ten games. Now Bilbao are looking to build this winning streak beyond just two games, at the expense of a fifth-placed Atletico that are undergoing their most difficult season in years.
When was the last time that Atletico were battling it out for a top-four finish this late in the season? Normally Diego Simeone’s team are chasing the title or a top-two finish, not languishing in fifth and struggling to put back-to-back wins together, as they currently are.
Atletico followed up their recent 3-1 win over Villarreal with successive draws against bottom-of-the-table Espanyol, and top-four rivals Sevilla. On Wednesday they have their Champions League rematch with Liverpool – massive – then on Sunday this trip to Pais Vasco – making this a crunch week for Atletico’s season.
Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid Recent Meetings
The five most recent meetings between these two great clubs reveal a 4-1 lead to Atletico. Atletico and Athletic faced each other twice in 2019; in March, toward the end of the 2018-19 season, Bilbao won 2-0, and in October Atletico won by the same score early in the 2019-20 season.
On that occasion, Saul Niguez opened the scoring for Atletico on 28 minutes, and Alvaro Morata wrapped things up with the second on 64 minutes. Despite the one-sided scoreline, the game was highly competitive, with Athletic edging possession, and both teams having nine shots at goal, with just two on target.
Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid Stats & Analysis
Athletic Bilbao are the home team in this fixture, and they actually possess a very solid home record of 7 wins, 3 draws and just 3 defeats at their San Mames stadium. They have scored 15 goals and conceded just seven, the lowest home goals conceded of any club in Europe’s top leagues.
Atletico Madrid’s away record is W3, D7, L3, which while not overly impressive, shows just three defeats, although seven draws is way too many points dropped for a team of Atletico’s status.
· There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 11 of Atletico’s last 13 away games in La Liga
· There have been under 2.5 goals scored in Athletic Bilbao’s last 6 home La Liga games
· Atletico have failed to win 9 of their last 10 away matches in La Liga
· Athletic Bilbao have conceded just 7 home goals in La Liga
Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid Bets
It’s games like this in which Diego Simeone earns some of the “King’s Ransom” of around €30 million a year he’s paid, making him the highest paid manager in the world, and by some distance. This game would seem to have 1-1 draw written all over it, but Atletico need three points, and that’s what they will get, by virtue of an intensely competitive 2-1 win.
Athletic Bilbao 1-2 Atletico Madrid – 11.50
Atletico To Lead At Half Time – 3.60