Real Sociedad vs. Athletic Club Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 1 November 2025

The Basque derby is set to light up the Reale Arena on 1 November 2025, with Real Sociedad hosting Athletic Club in a crucial LaLiga fixture. Despite Real Sociedad sitting in 17th place with 9 points, they have shown signs of recovery with impressive recent form, including victories over Negreira and Sevilla.

Athletic Club, positioned 9th in the standings with 14 points, faces a number of injuries and suspensions that could impact their performance. With players like Inaki Williams and Aymeric Laporte sidelined, Ernesto Valverde’s squad will need to step up. On the flip side, Real Sociedad’s interest in promising talent Endrick indicates their ambitions for the future.

History suggests tight, low-scoring encounters in this derby, and both teams will be cautious. Our recommendation is a draw, as both sides prioritize securing vital points in a notoriously intense matchup. Expect a balanced, tactical battle as regional pride is at stake.

Would you back the draw? Leave your thoughts below!

Real Sociedad vs Athletic Club Prediction & Betting Tip

Real Sociedad vs Athletic Club Prediction
Betting tip
Draw

Our recommended betting tip for this Basque derby is a draw. Real Sociedad, currently 17th in the table with 9 points, has shown signs of improvement but still faces challenges. Athletic Club, in 9th place with 14 points, is also dealing with key injuries and suspensions, which could hamper their performance.

• Matches between these rivals are historically tight and low-scoring.
• Both teams have only secured one clean sheet in their last five games.
• Real Sociedad has improved at home but Athletic’s injuries might balance the scales, making a draw likely.

Would you back the draw? Let us know your thoughts below!

Real Sociedad vs Athletic Club Odds

For the upcoming Basque derby between Real Sociedad and Athletic Club, the odds reflect a tightly balanced contest. Bookmakers see this as a close match, with no clear favourite. Here are the current betting odds:

Real Sociedad vs Athletic Club Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Real Sociedad	2.76
Draw	2.96
Athletic Club	2.80

As you can see, the odds indicate a near-equal likelihood for all three outcomes: a home win, a draw, or an away win. This suggests how evenly matched these teams are, especially considering their recent forms and head-to-head history. Real Sociedad’s slight edge at home is countered by Athletic’s resilience, despite their injury woes.

Place your bets wisely and consider the historical tightness of this derby!

Real Sociedad Team Analysis

Real Sociedad Recent Performance

Real Sociedad’s recent form in LaLiga has shown an upward trend following a shaky start to the season. Their last five matches include three wins, one draw, and one loss:

• Negreira 0 – 3 Real Sociedad (Copa del Rey)
• Real Sociedad 2 – 1 Sevilla (LaLiga)
• Celta Vigo 1 – 1 Real Sociedad (LaLiga)
• Real Sociedad 0 – 1 Rayo Vallecano (LaLiga)
• Barcelona 2 – 1 Real Sociedad (LaLiga)

Currently sitting in 17th place with 9 points, Real Sociedad has seen a mix of outcomes, but their recent victories suggest improvement, especially at home. Averaging 1.40 goals per game and securing one clean sheet in the last five matches, coach Sergio Francisco will aim to maintain this momentum against Athletic Club. Despite their position, Real Sociedad’s attacking prowess, particularly from top scorer Mikel Oyarzabal, remains a key factor.

Will their home advantage and recent form help them in this crucial Basque derby? Share your thoughts!

Real Sociedad Key Players

Real Sociedad will rely heavily on their key players to make an impact in this Basque derby.

Top Scorer:

• Mikel Oyarzabal has been their standout performer with 4 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial.

Expected Lineup:

• Goalkeeper: Alex Remiro
• Defenders: Jon Aramburu, Igor Zubeldia, Jon Martin, Sergio Gomez
• Midfielders: Brais Mendez, Jon Gorrotxategi, Carlos Soler
• Forwards: Goncalo Guedes, Mikel Oyarzabal, Ander Barrenetxea

Key Battles:

• Oyarzabal vs Athletic’s defense: Oyarzabal’s creativity and finishing will be a constant threat.
• Carlos Soler in midfield: His battle against Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta could dictate the tempo of the match.

Real Sociedad’s attacking trio, combined with a strong midfield presence, will be pivotal for their chances in this derby. How do you think these key players will perform? Drop your thoughts below!

Real Sociedad Suspensions & Injuries

Real Sociedad have a few injury concerns going into this Basque derby, which could impact their performance.

Injury List:

• Orri Steinn Óskarsson (Thigh injury – Doubtful): His presence could bolster the defensive line if he returns.
• Yangel Herrera (Leg injury – Return expected mid-November 2025)
• Jon Karrikaburu (Leg injury – Return expected mid-November 2025)

These injuries, especially in midfield and attack, could limit Sergio Francisco’s tactical options. The absence of Herrera and Karrikaburu may force the team to rely more on their current fit squad members like Mikel Oyarzabal and Carlos Soler to step up. However, the recent interest in Real Madrid’s Endrick might suggest an attempt to strengthen their squad depth in the near future.

How do you think these injuries will affect Real Sociedad’s chances in the derby? Share your thoughts below!

Real Sociedad Tactics and Formation

Real Sociedad Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Mikel Oyarzabal
• Midfield Trio: Brais Mendez, Jon Gorrotxategi, Carlos Soler
• Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Strong attack during the 46-60-minute interval

Sergio Francisco is expected to field a 4-3-3 formation, relying on Mikel Oyarzabal’s finishing as a key element. The midfield trio of Mendez, Gorrotxategi, and Soler will aim to control the game’s tempo and link up with the forward line.

Defensively, Jon Aramburu and Sergio Gomez will play crucial roles, but the team will need to address their tendency to concede goals around the 31-45-minute mark.

Their strategy to intensify attacks just after halftime could be pivotal in seizing control in this highly anticipated Basque derby. Will their tactical approach help them secure a crucial home victory? Share your thoughts below!

Athletic Club Team Analysis

Athletic Club Recent Performance

Athletic Club’s recent form in LaLiga has been a mixed bag, showing both resilience and vulnerabilities in their last five matches:

• Athletic Club 0 – 1 Getafe (LaLiga)
• Athletic Club 3 – 1 Qarabag FK (Champions League)
• Elche 0 – 0 Athletic Club (LaLiga)
• Athletic Club 2 – 1 Mallorca (LaLiga)
• Borussia Dortmund 4 – 1 Athletic Club (Champions League)

Currently positioned 9th in the standings with 14 points, Ernesto Valverde’s squad has averaged 1.20 goals per game while securing only one clean sheet in their last five matches. Despite these challenges, Athletic’s performances in European competitions reflect their capability to bounce back. The team’s defensive frailties, especially in the 76-90-minute interval, have been a concern, but they continue to show flashes of strength in key matches.

Will their inconsistent form impact their chances in the Basque derby? Share your thoughts below!

Athletic Club Key Players

Athletic Club will depend heavily on their key players to navigate the challenges in this Basque derby.

Top Scorer:

• Maroan Sannadi may be their top scorer this season with just 1 goal, but his potential impact is undeniable if fit to play.

Expected Lineup:

• Goalkeeper: Unai Simon
• Defenders: Jesus Areso, Daniel Vivian, Aitor Paredes, Yuri Berchiche
• Midfielders: Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta, Mikel Jauregizar
• Forwards: Alejandro Berenguer Remiro, Oihan Sancet, Nico Williams, Gorka Guruzeta

Key Battles:

• Nico Williams vs Real Sociedad’s defenders: Williams’ pace and creativity could cause problems for the hosts.
• Oihan Sancet in midfield: His duel with Carlos Soler could determine the control of the game.

Athletic’s attacking talents, despite injury setbacks, will be crucial in breaking down Real Sociedad’s defense. Can they leverage their strengths to overcome the host’s resilience? Let us know your thoughts below!

Athletic Club Suspensions & Injuries

Athletic Club will head into the Basque derby with several key injuries and suspensions that could significantly impact their performance.

Injury List:

• Unai Egiluz (Cruciate ligament injury): Expected return mid-February 2026.
• Benat Prados (Cruciate ligament injury): Out for the season.
• Inaki Williams (Muscle injury): Expected return mid-November 2025.
• Inigo Lekue (Muscle injury): Also expected return mid-November 2025.
• Aymeric Laporte (Ankle injury): Likely return mid-November 2025.
• Maroan Sannadi (Muscle injury): Doubtful for this match.

Suspensions:

• Inigo Lekue: Post-match sanction, banned for the next two matches.

The absence of key players like Inaki Williams and Aymeric Laporte poses challenges for Ernesto Valverde’s side. With their defensive line and attacking options weakened, Athletic Club may struggle to field their strongest lineup.

These issues could affect their strategy and overall performance, possibly making this a more balanced and cautious encounter.

What are your thoughts on how these injuries and suspensions will impact Athletic Club’s chances in the derby? Share below!

Athletic Club Tactics and Formation

Athletic Club Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Gorka Guruzeta
• Midfield Duo: Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta and Mikel Jauregizar
• Defensive Challenge: No clean sheets in the last five LaLiga games
• Notable Strategy: Strength in attacking during the 61-75-minute interval

Ernesto Valverde is expected to adopt a 4-2-3-1 formation to provide balance between defense and attack. Gorka Guruzeta will lead the forward line, supported by creative players like Alejandro Berenguer Remiro and Nico Williams. Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta and Mikel Jauregizar will form the midfield pivot, aiming to disrupt Sociedad’s play and launch counter-attacks.

However, their defensive unit, affected by injuries and suspensions, will need to be vigilant, especially towards the end of matches, where they have been prone to conceding goals.

Can Athletic Club’s tactical setup hold firm against Real Sociedad’s attack? Let us know your thoughts below!

Real Sociedad vs Athletic Club Head-to-Head Statistics

Analysing the last five meetings between Real Sociedad and Athletic Club reveals a historical trend of tightly contested matches:

• 4th May 2025: Real Sociedad 0 – 0 Athletic Club (LaLiga)
• 24th November 2024: Athletic Club 1 – 0 Real Sociedad (LaLiga)
• 13th January 2024: Athletic Club 2 – 1 Real Sociedad (LaLiga)
• 30th September 2023: Real Sociedad 3 – 0 Athletic Club (LaLiga)
• 15th April 2023: Athletic Club 2 – 0 Real Sociedad (LaLiga)

Real Sociedad has managed only one win in the last five encounters, while Athletic Club has secured three victories, demonstrating a slight edge in recent match-ups. However, the most recent fixture ended in a goalless draw, indicative of the typical close and low-scoring nature of this derby.

Can Real Sociedad break their winless streak against Athletic Club in this crucial derby? Share your thoughts below!

Odds accurate as of 30 October 2025, 17:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.