Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 15 May 2025 - bettingexpert
As Osasuna gears up to host Atletico Madrid on 15 May 2025, football fans are in for an intriguing LaLiga encounter at Estadio El Sadar. Kicking off at 18:00, this match is crucial for both sides, but especially vital for Atletico Madrid.
Atletico, sitting 3rd in the league with 70 points, eyes a solid top-3 finish, while Osasuna, lying 10th with 45 points, looks to end their season in the top half. The referee for the evening is Mario Melero, promising fair play in what could be a highly competitive match.
Atletico Madrid comes in as the bookmaker’s favorite, with odds of 2.06 to clinch a win. Osasuna, on the other hand, faces longer odds at 3.69.
Discussions around Alexander Sorloth and Julian Alvarez’s brilliant performances could see them steal the spotlight. Enjoy what is sure to be an exhilarating 90 minutes!
Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tip
| Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Atletico Madrid to win | 2.06 |
- Atletico Madrid have won all recent encounters against Osasuna at Estadio El Sadar.
- Atletico Madrid have been solid defensively, securing three clean sheets in their last five games.
- Osasuna have struggled defensively, with only one clean sheet in their last 20 matches.
Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid Odds
Here’s a look at the betting odds for the upcoming match between Osasuna and Atletico Madrid:
| Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Osasuna | 3.69 |
| Draw | 3.28 |
| Atletico Madrid | 2.06 |
Atletico Madrid are the favorites to win this matchup, as evidenced by their odds of 2.06. Their strong form, including a solid defensive record with three clean sheets in the last five games, makes them a formidable force.
Osasuna, while not favored, can still be competitive, especially with a passionate home crowd behind them at Estadio El Sadar.
Osasuna Team Analysis
Osasuna Recent Performance
Osasuna have shown some fighting spirit in their recent performances with a record of DLWWW over their last five matches. They currently sit mid-table in 10th place with 45 points.
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | Osasuna | 2025-05-11 | LaLiga | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Villarreal | Osasuna | 2025-05-03 | LaLiga | 4-2 (Loss) |
| Osasuna | Sevilla | 2025-04-24 | LaLiga | 1-0 (Win) |
| Real Valladolid | Osasuna | 2025-04-20 | LaLiga | 2-3 (Win) |
| Osasuna | Girona | 2025-04-13 | LaLiga | 2-1 (Win) |
With an average of 1.80 goals scored per game in their last five matches and only one clean sheet, Osasuna’s defence has been shaky. However, their attack, led by top scorer Ante Budimir with 19 goals, has been consistently finding the net.
Osasuna Key Players
Osasuna’s key players for this match are expected to lead from the front and hold the fort at the back.
With 19 goals this season, Ante Budimir is the top scorer and a crucial part of Osasuna’s attack. His ability to find the net consistently will be essential against a solid Atletico Madrid defense led by José Giménez.
In midfield, Aimar Oroz and Ruben Garcia will be pivotal in creating chances, while Lucas Torro and Pablo Ibanez provide the defensive cover.
The performance of Sergio Herrera in goal will also be vital, especially given Osasuna’s defensive struggles.
Expected lineup for Osasuna:
- Goalkeeper: Sergio Herrera
- Defenders: Jesus Areso, Flavien Boyomo, Alejandro Catena, Juan Cruz
- Midfielders: Lucas Torro, Pablo Ibanez, Ruben Garcia, Aimar Oroz, Bryan Zaragoza
- Attackers: Ante Budimir
Individual battles, such as Budimir vs Giménez and Oroz vs Rodrigo De Paul, could be decisive in determining the outcome of the match.
Osasuna Suspensions & Injuries
Osasuna will be missing Jon Moncayola for this fixture due to a hamstring injury.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Jon Moncayola | Hamstring Injury | Doubtful |
Moncayola’s absence could impact Osasuna’s midfield stability, limiting their ability to control the game and shield the defense effectively. His presence in the midfield, with his tenacity and tackling, is usually pivotal for Osasuna. Without him, Vicente Moreno might need to rely more on Lucas Torro and Pablo Ibanez for defensive duties, potentially leaving gaps that Atletico Madrid could exploit.
Osasuna Tactics and Formation
Osasuna Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Ante Budimir
- Midfield Duo: Lucas Torro and Pablo Ibanez
- Defensive Setup: Likely to focus on a steady back four, featuring Jesus Areso and Juan Cruz as full-backs, with Flavien Boyomo and Alejandro Catena at the heart of the defense.
- Notable Strategy: Reliance on Budimir to spearhead the attack and exploit any gaps left by Atletico’s defense, particularly during transitions.
Osasuna’s formation offers a balanced approach, with a solid defensive midfield pairing aimed at breaking up Atletico’s attacks and maintaining possession. Ruben Garcia and Bryan Zaragoza on the wings could provide essential width and pace, supporting the lone striker Budimir. This tactical setup will look to leverage quick counter-attacks and set-pieces to challenge Atletico’s defense.
Atletico Madrid Team Analysis
Atletico Madrid Recent Performance
Atletico Madrid have been displaying solid performances recently with a run of results that include three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. Here’s a breakdown of their recent encounters:
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | Real Sociedad | 2025-05-10 | LaLiga | 4-0 (Win) |
| Deportivo Alaves | Atletico Madrid | 2025-05-03 | LaLiga | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Atletico Madrid | Rayo Vallecano | 2025-04-24 | LaLiga | 3-0 (Win) |
| Las Palmas | Atletico Madrid | 2025-04-19 | LaLiga | 1-0 (Loss) |
| Atletico Madrid | Real Valladolid | 2025-04-14 | LaLiga | 4-2 (Win) |
Recent Form: WDWLW
Atletico Madrid have been impressive in front of goal, averaging 2.2 goals scored in their last five matches. Additionally, their defense has been robust, securing three clean sheets during this period. With performances like these, it’s no surprise that they are among the top three in LaLiga, aiming to solidify their position with another win.
Atletico Madrid Key Players
Atletico Madrid boast a wealth of talent, with several key players likely to make an impact in the upcoming match against Osasuna.
Leading the attack, Alexander Sørloth has been in fine form, netting 17 goals this season. His partnership with Julián Álvarez, who complements Sørloth’s physicality with pace and skill, could be crucial.
In midfield, Rodrigo De Paul and Koke will likely control the tempo and look to feed their attacking players. Their vision and ability to break defensive lines will be vital.
Expected lineup for Atletico Madrid:
- Goalkeeper: Jan Oblak
- Defenders: Marcos Llorente, José Giménez, Robin Le Normand, Javi Galán
- Midfielders: Giuliano Simeone, Rodrigo De Paul, Pablo Barrios, Samuel Dias Lino
- Attackers: Alexander Sørloth, Julián Álvarez
Key battles to watch include Sørloth up against Osasuna’s center-backs and De Paul vs Osasuna’s midfield disruptors.
Atletico Madrid Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Riquelme | Physical discomfort | Potential return doubtful |
Rodrigo Riquelme’s absence due to physical discomfort could be a setback for Atletico Madrid. His ability to contribute to the attack and provide depth on the bench will be missed. However, given the squad depth and the presence of key players like Rodrigo De Paul and Koke in midfield, Diego Simeone should be able to manage the team effectively despite his absence.
Expect Simeone to rely on his usual starters to continue the positive momentum as they aim to solidify their top-three position in LaLiga.
Atletico Madrid Tactics and Formation
Atletico Madrid Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-3-3
- Key Forward: Alexander Sørloth
- Midfield Trio: Giuliano Simeone, Rodrigo De Paul, Pablo Barrios
- Defensive Strength: Three clean sheets in the last five games.
- Notable Strategy: Scoring most goals in the 76-90 minute interval.
Diego Simeone’s squad tends to dominate through a balanced mix of solid defense and a compact midfield.
The backline, featuring Marcos Llorente and José Giménez, rarely concedes, supported by Jan Oblak’s goalkeeping prowess.
Their forwards, led by Sørloth, aim to strike late in the game, capitalizing on the opponent’s fatigue.
Expect an aggressive approach, maintaining high intensity throughout the match.
Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | Osasuna | 2025-01-12 | LaLiga | 1-0 (Win) |
| Atletico Madrid | Osasuna | 2024-05-19 | LaLiga | 1-4 (Loss) |
| Osasuna | Atletico Madrid | 2023-09-28 | LaLiga | 0-2 (Loss) |
| Atletico Madrid | Osasuna | 2023-05-21 | LaLiga | 3-0 (Win) |
| Osasuna | Atletico Madrid | 2023-01-29 | LaLiga | 0-1 (Loss) |
These teams have met quite frequently in recent seasons, with Atletico Madrid dominating most of the encounters. They’ve won 4 out of the last 5 matchups, including a 1-0 victory earlier this season.
For Osasuna, the standout result was a surprising 4-1 win at Atletico’s home ground, which demonstrates they can be dangerous on their day.
Both teams have something to prove in this late-season clash, adding an extra layer of excitement to what promises to be a riveting contest.
Odds accurate as of 13/05/2025 18:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
