Augsburg vs. Holstein Kiel Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 4 May 2025 - bettingexpert
Get ready for an intriguing Bundesliga clash as Augsburg hosts Holstein Kiel at the WWK Arena on 4 May 2025, kicking off at 14:30. This is round 32 of the Bundesliga, with both teams having contrasting objectives.
Augsburg, sitting 10th in the league with 43 points, will be aiming to cement a mid-table finish. They’ve been defensively strong at home, conceding just one goal per game. Augsburg comes into this match having lost only once in their last 14 games, despite a recent loss to Bayer Leverkusen.
Holstein Kiel, on the other hand, is in a desperate fight to avoid relegation, currently sitting 17th with 22 points. Despite their low standing, Kiel has shown resilience, scoring in every away match this season. They recently secured a dramatic 4-3 home win against Borussia Moenchengladbach, showing their attacking prowess, particularly in the final quarter of the game.
Augsburg is the bookmaker’s favourite with odds of 1.83 for a home win. However, with both teams motivated to score, our recommended bet is both teams to score: Yes. Expect an engaging match with goals from each side as both teams push for crucial points at this late stage of the season.
Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel Prediction & Betting tip
Our recommended betting tip for this match is "Both teams to score: Yes." This choice has been influenced by several factors:
| Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 1.83 |
- Augsburg has been defensively strong at home, allowing just one goal per game on average this season. However, Holstein Kiel’s ability to score in every away match makes it likely they will find the net.
- Holstein Kiel’s recent attacking form includes a dramatic 4-3 win over Borussia Moenchengladbach. This shows they have the firepower to break down defenses, especially late in the game.
- High motivation for both teams means they will push forward aggressively. Augsburg is looking to solidify their mid-table position, while Holstein Kiel is fighting to avoid relegation, setting the stage for an open, attacking game.
Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel Odds
| Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Augsburg | 1.83 |
| Draw | 3.71 |
| Holstein Kiel | 4.12 |
Augsburg are the bookmakers’ favorites for this clash with odds of 1.83, reflecting their higher league position and stronger form overall.
A draw at 3.71 indicates the possibility of a tight contest, while Holstein Kiel’s 4.12 odds suggest they are underdogs, given their precarious position near the bottom of the table.
Augsburg Team Analysis
Augsburg Recent Performance
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | Augsburg | 2025-04-26 | Bundesliga | 2-0 (Loss) |
| Augsburg | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2025-04-20 | Bundesliga | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Bochum | Augsburg | 2025-04-12 | Bundesliga | 1-2 (Win) |
| Augsburg | Bayern Munich | 2025-04-04 | Bundesliga | 1-3 (Loss) |
| Hoffenheim | Augsburg | 2025-03-29 | Bundesliga | 1-1 (Draw) |
Augsburg has displayed a mixed bag of results recently, reflected in their LDWLD form. Although they have managed only one victory in their last five outings, Augsburg’s defense has been reasonably tight, with one clean sheet. On average, they have scored 0.80 goals in their recent matches.
With 43 points, they are positioned 10th on the Bundesliga table, demonstrating stability as they approach the season’s end. Their defensive solidity at home will be critical in this matchup against Holstein Kiel, who have found the net consistently in their away games.
Overall, Augsburg will need to find a balance between attack and defense to secure valuable points in their push for a higher finish.
Augsburg Key Players
Augsburg’s key player to watch is Alexis Claude, their top scorer with 9 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial in this match, especially as they look to break down Holstein Kiel’s defence. In midfield, eyes will be on Mert Komur, who is expected to support the attack from the right attacking midfielder position. Frank Onyeka’s presence in central midfield will be vital for both defensive stability and transitioning the play forward. In defence, the experienced Jeffrey Gouweleeuw will be tasked with containing Holstein Kiel’s top scorer, Shuto Machino.
Expected lineup for Augsburg:
- Goalkeeper: Finn Dahmen
- Defenders: Chrislain Matsima, Jeffrey Gouweleeuw, Cedric Zesiger
- Midfielders: Marius Wolf, Kristijan Jakic, Frank Onyeka, Dimitrios Giannoulis
- Attacking Midfielders: Mert Komur, Alexis Claude Maurice
- Forward: Samuel Essende
Key individual battles:
- Alexis Claude vs David Zec
- Frank Onyeka vs Armin Gigovic
- Jeffrey Gouweleeuw vs Shuto Machino
This match will depend heavily on these crucial encounters across the pitch.
Augsburg Suspensions & Injuries
Augsburg comes into this match with several key players sidelined due to injuries. Here are the details:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Reece Oxford | COVID-19 | Unknown |
| Yusuf Kabadayi | Knee surgery | Late May 2025 |
| Noahkai Banks | Hip injury | Late May 2025 |
| Mërgim Berisha | Muscle injury | Mid May 2025 |
These injuries could significantly impact Augsburg’s squad depth and performance, particularly with the absence of Mërgim Berisha, who is a crucial part of their attack.
With Reece Oxford also out, the defensive line will need to step up to keep clean sheets against an increasingly attacking Holstein Kiel team.
Augsburg Tactics and Formation
Augsburg Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-4-2-1
- Key Forward: Samuel Essende
- Midfield Duo: Alexis Claude Maurice, Mert Komur
- Defensive Line: Chrislain Matsima, Jeffrey Gouweleeuw, Cedric Zesiger
- Wing Play: Marius Wolf and Dimitrios Giannoulis
Augsburg’s approach under Jess Thorup has revolved around a sturdy three-man defense, crucial to their setup. With a reliable backline supported by wing-backs, they aim to control the flanks, both defensively and offensively. In the middle, they rely on the energy and vision of Kristijan Jakic and Frank Onyeka to dictate the play. Going forward, Alexis Claude Maurice has been vital alongside Essende, creating scoring opportunities and breaking down defenses. Expect them to leverage their wing-backs to exploit the spaces and put pressure on Holstein Kiel’s vulnerable defense.
Holstein Kiel Team Analysis
Holstein Kiel Recent Performance
Holstein Kiel’s recent form has been a mixed bag, with a record of one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. They have shown glimpses of resilience, particularly in their thrilling 4-3 victory over Borussia Mönchengladbach. However, defensively, they have struggled, failing to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five games. Offensively, they have averaged 1.4 goals per match, which shows a certain level of consistency in finding the net.
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2025-04-26 | Bundesliga | 4-3 (Win) |
| RB Leipzig | Holstein Kiel | 2025-04-19 | Bundesliga | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Holstein Kiel | St. Pauli | 2025-04-12 | Bundesliga | 1-2 (Loss) |
| Mainz 05 | Holstein Kiel | 2025-04-05 | Bundesliga | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Holstein Kiel | Werder Bremen | 2025-03-29 | Bundesliga | 0-3 (Loss) |
With an upcoming tough clash against Augsburg, coach Marcel Rapp will need to address their defensive frailties while maintaining their attacking threat.
Holstein Kiel Key Players
Holstein Kiel’s survival hopes largely rest on the performances of their key players. Shuto Machino, their top scorer with 10 goals this season, will spearhead the attack and look to breach Augsburg’s defense, which has been relatively sturdy at home. Another vital player is Steven Skrzybski, who will play just behind Machino in an attacking role. In midfield, Nicolai Remberg and Armin Gigovic will shoulder the responsibility of both creating chances and breaking up Augsburg’s play. Defensively, with Marko Ivezic suspended, Carl Johansson will step up, alongside Timo Becker and David Zec, to form the defensive line.
Expected lineup for Holstein Kiel:
- Goalkeeper: Thomas Dähne
- Defenders: Timo Becker, Carl Johansson, David Zec
- Midfielders: Lasse Rosenboom, Armin Gigovic, Nicolai Remberg, John Tolkin
- Attackers: Steven Skrzybski, Alexander Bernhardsson, Shuto Machino
Holstein Kiel Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Erras | Head injury | Mid May 2025 |
| Ivan Nekic | Muscle injury | Mid May 2025 |
| Andu Kelati | Knee injury | Late May 2025 |
| Colin Kleine-Bekel | Cruciate ligament injury | Early June 2025 |
| Marco Komenda | Tendon injury | Mid June 2025 |
| Finn Porath | Illness | Few days |
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
| ———– | ————– | —————- |
| Marko Ivezic | Yellow cards | 1 Match left |
Holstein Kiel faces significant challenges with multiple key players unavailable. Patrick Erras, Ivan Nekic, and Andu Kelati are sidelined, weakening their midfield options. Colin Kleine-Bekel and Marco Komenda’s injuries also disrupt their defensive stability. The absence of Ivezic through suspension forces a reshuffle at the back, likely putting extra pressure on Carl Johansson and Timo Becker. These gaps could impact their overall team performance and their quest for crucial points in their battle against relegation.
Holstein Kiel Tactics and Formation
Holstein Kiel’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-4-1-2
- Key Forwards: Alexander Bernhardsson and Shuto Machino
- Midfield Setup:
- Right midfielder: Lasse Rosenboom
- Central midfielders: Armin Gigovic and Nicolai Remberg
- Left midfielder: John Tolkin
- Attacking midfielder: Steven Skrzybski
- Defensive Trio:
- Right center-back: Timo Becker
- Central back: Carl Johansson
- Left center-back: David Zec
- Goalkeeper: Thomas Dähne
Holstein Kiel have adopted a formation that balances defensive solidity with offensive potential. Expected to push forward through their captain Skrzybski’s playmaking skills and look for Machino’s finishing prowess, they aim to break through Augsburg’s defenses.
Their agile midfielders and wing-backs will try to control possession and exploit spaces, especially in the latter stages of the match, leveraging their strength of scoring late goals. However, defensive frailties could be a point of concern, particularly with key injuries and suspension forcing adjustments at the back.
Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel | Augsburg | 2024-12-21 | Bundesliga | 5-1 (Loss) |
| Holstein Kiel | Augsburg | 2019-02-06 | DFB Pokal | 0-1 (Win) |
In their last two encounters, Augsburg and Holstein Kiel have won one game each. The most recent match on 21 December 2024 saw Holstein Kiel decimate Augsburg with a 5-1 scoreline in the Bundesliga. However, back in the DFB Pokal match on 6 February 2019, Augsburg managed a narrow 1-0 victory.
Interestingly, their last Bundesliga meeting could have a psychological edge for Holstein Kiel as they come in with recent success against Augsburg. This could shape the strategies and mentalities of both teams going into the upcoming match.
Odds accurate as of 5 February 2025, 14:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
