Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich Prediction, Match Preview, 31 January

Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich Prediction, Match Preview, 31 January. Looking ahead to this exciting Bundesliga clash, Hamburger SV will host Bayern Munich at the iconic Volksparkstadion on Saturday, 31 January. This match promises to be a captivating encounter as Hamburger SV aims to challenge the reigning champions on their home ground.

Bayern Munich, renowned for their dominance in the Bundesliga, will be looking to secure another victory and maintain their position at the top of the league table. Meanwhile, Hamburger SV will be eager to take advantage of their home support and disrupt Bayern’s winning momentum. The outcome of this match could have significant implications for both teams as the season progresses.

Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Bayern Munich to Win and Over 2.5 Goals	1.6

Given Bayern Munich’s current form and Hamburger SV’s defensive struggles, our recommended betting tip is Bayern Munich to win with over 2.5 goals in the match.

• Bayern Munich have scored 23 goals in their last five matches, demonstrating their attacking prowess.
• Hamburger SV have conceded 12 goals in their last five matches, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities.
• In the last 22 head-to-head clashes, Bayern Munich have won 19 times, showing significant dominance.

Betting Odds

Bayern Munich are clear favourites in this Bundesliga clash, with odds of 1.28 reflecting their dominance in the league. Hamburger SV, on the other hand, are seen as underdogs with odds of 8.77, which could appeal to those seeking a long shot.

Betting Tip	Odds
Hamburger SV to win	8.77
Draw	6.2
Bayern Munich to win	1.28

The draw is priced at 6.2, indicating that while it’s not the most likely outcome, it still offers some value for those expecting a surprise result. Given Bayern’s attacking prowess, betting on over 2.5 goals could also be a smart move.

Hamburger SV Analysis & Past Performance

Hamburger SV’s recent form in the Bundesliga has been below par, with no wins in their last five games, consisting of two losses and three draws, including a recent 0-0 stalemate against St. Pauli. The team has managed to score only three goals in these fixtures, resulting in a low average of 0.60 goals per game while conceding seven, averaging 1.40 goals conceded per match.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
St. Pauli	Hamburger SV	0 – 0 (Draw)	Bundesliga	23 Jan, 2026
Hamburger SV	Borussia Moenchengladbach	0 – 0 (Draw)	Bundesliga	17 Jan, 2026
Freiburg	Hamburger SV	2 – 1 (Loss)	Bundesliga	10 Jan, 2026
Hamburger SV	Eintracht Frankfurt	1 – 1 (Draw)	Bundesliga	20 Dec, 2025
Hoffenheim	Hamburger SV	4 – 1 (Loss)	Bundesliga	13 Dec, 2025

Recent Form:

• DDLDL

Hamburger SV’s defensive capabilities have been highlighted by two clean sheets in their last five outings, equating to a clean sheet ratio of 40%. However, their attacking inefficiencies are evident, with the team failing to score in two of those matches. At home, their performance is slightly better, having avoided defeat in their last five home games, securing two wins and three draws, translating to a home win ratio of 40%. Currently sitting 14th in the Bundesliga standings with 18 points, Hamburger SV need to improve their attacking strategies to climb the league table.

Hamburger SV Suspensions & Injuries

Hamburger SV face a challenging situation with several key players unavailable due to injury. Yussuf Poulsen, Silvan Hefti, and Warmed Omari are all sidelined with unspecified injuries, and their return dates remain uncertain. The absence of Poulsen, in particular, could affect Hamburg’s attacking options, as he is a vital component of their offensive strategy. Silvan Hefti’s absence may also impact the defensive depth, potentially forcing a reshuffle at the back.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Yussuf Poulsen	Unknown	Unknown
Silvan Hefti	Unknown	Unknown
Warmed Omari	Unknown	Unknown

With these injuries, coach Merlin Polzin may have to rely on the current starting lineup to maintain consistency in their 4-2-3-1 formation. The available players, such as Daniel Heuer Fernandes and Bakery Jatta, will need to step up to fill the void left by the injured squad members. This could result in a more conservative approach, focusing on solid defence and counter-attacks.

The injuries to key players might influence the betting markets, as Hamburger SV’s depth and tactical flexibility are compromised. With Bayern Munich as their opposition, the impact of these unavailabilities could be significant, potentially swinging the odds in favour of the visitors.

Hamburger SV Key Players

Hamburger SV’s attacking threat will rely heavily on Rayan Philippe, the team’s top scorer with four goals this season. Philippe’s ability to find the net from various positions makes him a significant threat to Bayern Munich’s defence. His movement off the ball and clinical finishing are essential to Hamburger SV’s attacking strategy. In midfield, Fábio Vieira stands out as the playmaker, orchestrating play and providing the creativity and vision needed to unlock tight defences.

The defensive line, comprising Nicolás Capaldo, Luka Vušković, Jordan Torunarigha, and Miro Muheim, is crucial for maintaining solidity at the back. Vušković’s aerial ability and Torunarigha’s physical presence will be vital in fending off Bayern’s attacking threats. Additionally, Bakery Jatta’s pace and dribbling skills on the wing can create significant opportunities, stretching the opposition’s defence and providing key assists.

Expected lineup for Hamburger SV:

• Goalkeeper: Daniel Heuer Fernandes
• Defence: Nicolás Capaldo, Luka Vušković, Jordan Torunarigha, Miro Muheim
• Midfield: Fábio Vieira, Nicolai Remberg, Bakery Jatta, Ransford Königsdörffer, Alexander Rößing
• Forward: Damion Downs

Hamburger SV Tactics and Formation

Hamburger SV Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Damion Downs
• Midfield Pivot: Nicolai Remberg and Fábio Vieira
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Possession-based play with emphasis on midfield control.

Hamburger SV typically lines up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, providing a balanced approach between defence and attack. The midfield pivot of Nicolai Remberg and Fábio Vieira is crucial, as they are responsible for both breaking up opposition play and initiating attacks. Vieira’s creative abilities are essential for linking the midfield with the attack, particularly in finding spaces for Damion Downs, the lone striker.

Defensively, the backline led by Jordan Torunarigha and Luka Vušković has been reliable, contributing to two clean sheets in recent games. Full-backs Nicolás Capaldo and Miro Muheim offer width and support in both defensive and attacking phases, which is crucial for maintaining the team’s shape.

Offensively, Hamburger SV focuses on maintaining possession to control the tempo of the game. With Bakery Jatta and Ransford Königsdörffer providing width and Alexander Rößing positioned centrally, they aim to exploit spaces between the lines. However, with key players like Yussuf Poulsen injured, maintaining this balance could be challenging against a strong Bayern Munich side.

Bayern Munich Analysis & Past Performance

Bayern Munich have demonstrated resilience and exceptional performance in recent matches, highlighted by their impressive win ratio. In their last five encounters, Bayern secured four victories, with a solitary loss to Augsburg. Notably, their 2-1 triumph over PSV Eindhoven in the Champions League underscores their ability to succeed away from home.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
PSV Eindhoven	Bayern Munich	1 – 2 (Win)	Champions League	28 Jan 2026
Bayern Munich	Augsburg	1 – 2 (Loss)	Bundesliga	24 Jan 2026
Bayern Munich	Union St.Gilloise	2 – 0 (Win)	Champions League	21 Jan 2026
RB Leipzig	Bayern Munich	1 – 5 (Win)	Bundesliga	17 Jan 2026
FC Köln	Bayern Munich	1 – 3 (Win)	Bundesliga	14 Jan 2026

Recent Form:

• WLWWW

Bayern’s attacking prowess remains formidable, averaging 4.20 goals per game in their last five fixtures. During this period, they have consistently found the net, scoring in every match. Defensively, Bayern conceded an average of 1.00 goals per game, maintaining one clean sheet. Their robust away performance is notable, boasting an unbeaten record with five consecutive away wins, demonstrating their dominance on the road.

Bayern Munich Suspensions & Injuries

Bayern Munich will be without Konrad Laimer and Raphaël Guerreiro due to calf injuries. Laimer’s absence in midfield could necessitate a more dynamic role for Leon Goretzka, who will need to balance defensive duties with his forward runs. Guerreiro’s injury leaves Bayern Munich without a versatile left-sided option, potentially impacting their flexibility in switching formations during the match.

With these key absences, Bayern Munich may rely on their squad depth. Michael Olise and Lennart Karl are expected to step up in midfield, providing creativity and maintaining the team’s attacking impetus. Defensively, the absence of Guerreiro could see Alphonso Davies take on additional responsibilities, although his pace and defensive acumen should mitigate this loss.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Konrad Laimer	Calf Injury	Early February 2026
Raphaël Guerreiro	Calf Injury	Mid February 2026

Bayern’s tactical adjustments might include a more conservative approach, focusing on solidifying their defensive line to cover for the missing players. This could lead to a more structured 4-2-3-1 formation, with an emphasis on maintaining possession and controlling the tempo. The betting markets might see Bayern’s odds slightly affected, considering the impact of these injuries on their usual attacking fluidity.

Bayern Munich Key Players

Bayern Munich’s attacking power is led by their top scorer, Harry Kane, who has already netted 21 goals this season. Kane’s remarkable ability to find space and finish with precision makes him a constant threat to opposing defences. His role as the lone forward in Bayern’s expected lineup ensures that he remains the focal point of their attacking play.

In midfield, Leon Goretzka and Luis Díaz are pivotal to Bayern’s tactical approach. Goretzka’s physicality and ability to drive forward from deep positions provide both defensive solidity and attacking impetus. Meanwhile, Luis Díaz’s flair and creativity on the wing could unlock Hamburg’s defence, offering crucial support to Kane. Defensively, the presence of Min-jae Kim in the heart of defence is vital. His aerial prowess and composure under pressure will be fundamental in maintaining Bayern’s defensive stability.

Expected lineup for Bayern Munich

• Goalkeeper: Jonas Urbig
• Defence: Alphonso Davies, Jonathan Tah, Min-jae Kim, Hiroki Ito
• Midfield: Aleksandar Pavlović, Leon Goretzka, Michael Olise, Lennart Karl, Luis Díaz
• Forward: Harry Kane

Bayern Munich Tactics and Formation

Bayern Munich Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Harry Kane
• Midfield Pivot: Leon Goretzka and Aleksandar Pavlović
• Defensive Strength: Only one clean sheet in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: High possession play with emphasis on attacking transitions.

In their 4-2-3-1 setup, Bayern Munich utilise Harry Kane’s prolific scoring ability at the forefront. The midfield, anchored by Leon Goretzka and Aleksandar Pavlović, provides both defensive cover and offensive transitions. Michael Olise and Luis Díaz add creativity and pace on the flanks, supporting Kane in attack.

Defensively, Bayern Munich’s line-up features Alphonso Davies and Hiroki Ito as full-backs, with Jonathan Tah and Min-jae Kim forming the central defensive partnership. Despite their dominant possession play, Bayern have managed only one clean sheet in their last five matches, indicating potential vulnerabilities in maintaining defensive solidity.

Offensively, Bayern’s strategy focuses on controlling the game through high possession and swiftly transitioning from defence to attack. This approach has been effective, with Bayern scoring in all of their last five games, underlining their attacking prowess.

Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich Head-to-Head Record

In their head-to-head record, Bayern Munich have dominated Hamburger SV with 28 wins out of 43 encounters, while Hamburg have managed just five victories, and 11 matches have ended in a draw. Their last meeting was a Bundesliga clash where Bayern thrashed Hamburg 5-0 at the Allianz Arena.

The last time Hamburger SV hosted Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga was back in October 2017, and it ended in a narrow 1-0 victory for Bayern. Despite playing at home, Hamburg have struggled to break Bayern’s dominance, with Bayern consistently showing their class.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Bayern Munich	Hamburger SV	5 – 0	Bundesliga	2025-09-13
Hamburger SV	Bayern Munich	1 – 4	Club Friendlies	2018-08-15
Bayern Munich	Hamburger SV	6 – 0	Bundesliga	2018-03-10
Hamburger SV	Bayern Munich	0 – 1	Bundesliga	2017-10-21
Bayern Munich	Hamburger SV	8 – 0	Bundesliga	2017-02-25