Brest vs Toulouse Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, Sunday, 25 January

Brest will host Toulouse at Stade Francis-Le Blé this Sunday, 25 January, in a key Ligue 1 clash. This match is crucial for both teams as they look to secure valuable points in the league standings. Brest, playing at home, will aim to capitalise on their familiar surroundings to gain an edge over Toulouse.

Toulouse, on the other hand, will be eager to challenge Brest and improve their position in the Ligue 1 table. The outcome of this match could have significant implications for both teams’ aspirations this season. With both sides having much at stake, this encounter promises to be an intriguing battle at Stade Francis-Le Blé.

Brest vs Toulouse Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Brest to win	2.76

Given Brest’s impressive home form and recent victories, a HOME WIN is our recommended betting tip. This choice is supported by their strong defensive record and historical edge at Stade Francis-Le Blé.

• Brest have maintained clean sheets in 44% of their home matches, showcasing a solid defence.
• Recent home victories against Auxerre and Monaco highlight their ability to perform well at home.
• Brest’s historical success against Toulouse, including a 2-0 win last September, emphasises their home advantage.

Betting Odds

Brest and Toulouse are set for a closely contested match, with the betting odds reflecting just how tight this Ligue 1 encounter is expected to be. Brest are slight favourites at odds of 2.76, but Toulouse are not far behind at 2.69, suggesting the bookmakers see this as a coin toss.

Betting Tip	Odds
Brest to win	2.76
Draw	3.01
Toulouse to win	2.69

With a draw priced at 3.01, punters might find value in backing a stalemate, especially given both teams’ recent form. The odds also hint at potential opportunities in the over/under goals markets, considering the competitive nature of both sides.

Brest Analysis & Past Performance

Brest’s recent form in Ligue 1 has been mixed, with two wins and three losses in their last five matches. Their recent outings have seen them score 10 goals while conceding 11, suggesting a tendency towards high-scoring games. Notably, Brest secured a solid 2-0 victory over Auxerre and a narrow 1-0 win against Monaco, showcasing their capability to edge out tight matches.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Lyon	Brest	2 – 1 (Loss)	Ligue 1	18 Jan 2026
Brest	Auxerre	2 – 0 (Win)	Ligue 1	4 Jan 2026
Avranches	Brest	N/A	Coupe de France	19 Dec 2025
Rennes	Brest	3 – 1 (Loss)	Ligue 1	13 Dec 2025
Brest	Monaco	1 – 0 (Win)	Ligue 1	5 Dec 2025

Recent Form:

• LWLLW

Brest’s attack has been relatively productive, averaging 2.00 goals per game over their last five fixtures. However, defensively, they have struggled, conceding an average of 2.20 goals per match. Despite this, Brest have managed to keep two clean sheets, indicating potential for defensive solidity. Their home form has been more stable, with three wins and only one loss from their last five home encounters. This home advantage could prove crucial as they face Toulouse.

Brest Suspensions & Injuries

Brest face a couple of notable absences for their upcoming match against Toulouse. Romain Del Castillo, a pivotal figure in their attacking line-up, is suspended due to a red card. His absence leaves a significant gap in creativity and goal-scoring potential, which might force coach Éric Roy to rely more heavily on Kamory Doumbia and Ludovic Ajorque to spearhead the attack. The team may need to adjust their approach, possibly adopting a more conservative style to mitigate the loss of their key forward.

Player	Suspension	Matches Remaining	Expected Return
Romain Del Castillo	Red card	1	Unknown

Mama Baldé is currently dealing with a shin injury and is listed as doubtful for the match. While Baldé’s presence would bolster the squad’s attacking options, Brest will need to adapt by possibly giving more playtime to Rémy Lascary, who has been included in the starting line-up. This scenario could also prompt the team to focus on maintaining a solid defensive structure given the reduced depth in their forward line.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Mama Baldé	Shin injury	Doubtful

Brest Key Players

Brest will miss their top scorer Romain Del Castillo due to suspension, but they will rely heavily on the attacking prowess of Ludovic Ajorque. Ajorque is expected to lead the line, and his ability to hold up play and create chances will be vital against Toulouse. His physical presence and aerial ability provide Brest with a distinct advantage in the attacking third.

In midfield, Joris Chotard and Lucas Tousart will be crucial in dictating the tempo of the game. Chotard’s passing range and Tousart’s defensive work rate complement each other, offering both creativity and solidity. They are expected to play a pivotal role in transitioning from defence to attack, supporting both the forwards and the backline effectively.

Expected line-up for Brest:

• Goalkeeper: Grégoire Coudert
• Defenders: Kenny Lala, Brendan Chardonnet, Soumaila Coulibaly, Bradley Locko
• Midfielders: Joris Chotard, Hugo Magnetti, Lucas Tousart
• Forwards: Kamory Doumbia, Ludovic Ajorque, Rémy Lascary

Brest Tactics and Formation

Brest Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Ludovic Ajorque
• Midfield Trio: Joris Chotard, Hugo Magnetti, Lucas Tousart
• Defensive Stability: Two clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on midfield control and wide play.

Brest’s 4-3-3 formation is structured to maintain a balance between defensive solidity and attacking fluidity. The midfield trio of Joris Chotard, Hugo Magnetti, and Lucas Tousart is pivotal in controlling the game’s tempo, offering both defensive coverage and distribution capabilities.

In defence, the backline featuring Kenny Lala and Brendan Chardonnet provides experience and reliability, helping Brest achieve two clean sheets in their last five matches. This stability at the back allows the team to absorb pressure effectively and transition into attack.

Offensively, Brest focus on utilising the width with Kamory Doumbia and Rémy Lascary flanking Ludovic Ajorque, who acts as the central target man. This approach is designed to stretch opposition defences and create scoring opportunities through crosses and quick interplays.

Toulouse Analysis & Past Performance

Toulouse have shown remarkable resilience in their recent form, winning four out of their last five matches across all competitions, including a convincing 5-1 victory over Nice. Their attacking prowess is evident, having scored 17 goals in these games, which translates to an impressive average of 3.40 goals per match.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Toulouse	Nice	5 – 1 (Win)	Ligue 1	17 Jan, 2026
Angers	Toulouse	N/A	Coupe de France	10 Jan, 2026
Toulouse	Lens	0 – 3 (Loss)	Ligue 1	2 Jan, 2026
Lyon La Duchère	Toulouse	1 – 2 (Win)	Coupe de France	20 Dec, 2025
Paris FC	Toulouse	0 – 3 (Win)	Ligue 1	13 Dec, 2025

Recent Form:

• WWLWW

Toulouse’s away form has been particularly noteworthy, maintaining an unbeaten record in their last five away fixtures with three wins and two draws. This includes a significant 3-0 triumph against Paris FC. Their defence, although conceding 11 goals in the last five outings, managed to secure one clean sheet, highlighting a need for improved defensive stability. Their win ratio of 60% in away matches this season underscores their capability to perform under pressure on the road.

Toulouse Suspensions & Injuries

Toulouse face a significant impact due to the suspension of Emersonn, who is serving a two-match ban from a red card, leaving them without a key defensive option. This absence will necessitate a reshuffle at the back, potentially affecting their defensive solidity. Djibril Sidibé and Charlie Cresswell will need to step up in his absence, ensuring the backline remains robust against Brest.

Player	Suspension	Matches Remaining	Expected Return
Emersonn	Red card	1	Unknown

The injury list for Toulouse is headlined by Abu Francis, who is sidelined for the season with a broken ankle. Additionally, Dayann Methalie is out following knee surgery, with a return expected in early February 2026. These injuries primarily affect the depth of the midfield, as both players have been unable to contribute recently. With Ilyas Azizi also unavailable, Toulouse’s options in the middle of the park are limited, forcing coach Carles Martínez to rely heavily on the likes of Pape Demba Diop and Alexis Vossah.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Abu Francis	Broken ankle	Out for the season
Dayann Methalie	Knee surgery	Early February 2026

These unavailabilities could influence betting markets, as Toulouse’s reduced depth might impact their performance. However, with a solid attacking line-up still intact, the team will aim to mitigate these challenges by focusing on their offensive strengths.

Toulouse Key Players

Frank Magri has been the standout performer for Toulouse, leading the attacking line with five goals this season. Known for his agility and clinical finishing, Magri’s ability to find space and convert chances will be crucial against Brest. His partnership with Yann Gboho and Santiago Hidalgo in the forward line promises a dynamic attack capable of unsettling any defence.

In midfield, Pape Demba Diop provides both defensive stability and creative spark. His vision and passing range make him a key distributor, linking play between defence and attack. Rafik Messali’s energy and tenacity in the midfield battle will be vital in disrupting Brest’s rhythm and regaining possession.

At the back, the defensive trio of Djibril Sidibé, Charlie Cresswell, and Rasmus Nicolaisen will be tasked with maintaining a solid defensive line. Sidibé’s experience and leadership, combined with Cresswell’s aerial ability and Nicolaisen’s robust tackling, form a formidable barrier to opposing forwards.

Expected line-up for Toulouse:

• Goalkeeper: Guillaume Restes
• Defenders: Djibril Sidibé, Charlie Cresswell, Rasmus Nicolaisen
• Midfielders: Rafik Messali, Alexis Vossah, Pape Demba Diop, Aron Dønnum
• Forwards: Frank Magri, Yann Gboho, Santiago Hidalgo

Toulouse Tactics and Formation

Toulouse Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-3
• Key Forward: Frank Magri
• Midfield Dynamics: Pape Demba Diop and Alexis Vossah
• Defensive Concern: Only one clean sheet in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: High pressing and rapid attacks down the flanks.

Toulouse’s 3-4-3 formation is designed to maximise width and attacking options, with Frank Magri leading the forward line. This setup facilitates quick transitions from defence to attack, utilising the pace and creativity of wingers Yann Gboho and Santiago Hidalgo.

In midfield, Pape Demba Diop and Alexis Vossah are pivotal, responsible for maintaining possession and breaking up opposition play. Their ability to link defence and attack is crucial, particularly against teams that press high.

Defensively, the trio of Djibril Sidibé, Charlie Cresswell, and Rasmus Nicolaisen must address their vulnerability, having kept only one clean sheet in recent matches. The defensive unit will need to be well-organised to counter Brest’s attacking threats, relying on goalkeeper Guillaume Restes for crucial saves.

Brest vs Toulouse Head-to-Head Record

Looking at the head-to-head record between Brest and Toulouse, Brest have secured six wins, while Toulouse have five victories, and they have drawn five times. Their last encounter saw Toulouse triumph 2-0 at home in Ligue 1 back in August 2025.

The last time Brest hosted Toulouse at Stade Francis-Le Blé, it ended in a 1-1 draw in October 2023. Brest have generally been solid at home, with their last home win against Toulouse being a 2-0 victory in September 2024.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	League	Date
Toulouse	Brest	2 – 0	Ligue 1	2025-08-24
Toulouse	Brest	2 – 4	Ligue 1	2025-03-30
Brest	Toulouse	2 – 0	Ligue 1	2024-09-22
Toulouse	Brest	0 – 3	Ligue 1	2024-05-19
Brest	Toulouse	1 – 1	Ligue 1	2023-10-08