Casa Pia AC vs. Estrela da Amadora Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 1 November 2025

Get ready for an intriguing clash in Liga Portugal as Casa Pia AC, sitting 14th, takes on 16th-placed Estrela da Amadora at the Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior. Both teams are looking to climb out of the lower ranks of the league, making this match quite significant.
Casa Pia, slightly favoured by bookmakers, are winless in their last four league outings and will be eager to secure a home victory. They have a top scorer in Jeremy Livolant with 3 goals so far but face some injury concerns with Claudio Mendes and Kiki Silva likely sidelined.
On the other hand, Estrela da Amadora is looking to find consistency after losing three of their last four matches. Notably, they have shown defensive resilience with two clean sheets in the last five games.
Given both teams’ recent performances and the tendency for low-scoring encounters between them, betting on a draw seems prudent. With both sides struggling for goals and key players missing, a tight, closely-fought contest is expected.

Casa Pia AC vs Estrela da Amadora Prediction & Betting Tip

Given the tight nature of this matchup and the current form of both teams, betting on a draw is a sensible prediction. Casa Pia AC have struggled recently, sitting 14th with 8 points, while Estrela da Amadora are 16th with 7 points. Key players missing and defensive resilience from both sides suggest a low-scoring contest.

• Both teams are closely matched with only one point separating them in the standings.
• Estrela da Amadora have drawn three of their last four away games, indicating a penchant for sharing points on the road.
• Neither team averages more than one goal per match, underlining a likely low-scoring affair.

All this points to a draw being the most balanced and risk-conscious prediction for this encounter.

Casa Pia AC vs Estrela da Amadora Odds

For this Liga Portugal matchup between Casa Pia AC and Estrela da Amadora, the bookmakers slightly favour Casa Pia due to their home advantage. However, the odds suggest a fairly balanced game, reflecting the narrow gap in performance and standings between the two teams.

Casa Pia AC, currently 14th in the league, are given odds of 2.05 to win this match. Meanwhile, Estrela da Amadora, who are 16th, are considered the underdogs with odds of 3.69.
The draw, priced at 3.16, is a compelling option considering both teams’ recent form and the likelihood of a low-scoring encounter. The narrow margins in the odds emphasize the expectations of a closely fought contest.

Casa Pia AC Team Analysis

Casa Pia AC Recent Performance

Casa Pia AC have been struggling for consistency in Liga Portugal with their recent form showing a mixed bag of results:

• 26 Oct: Braga 4-0 Casa Pia AC
• 19 Oct: Anca FC 0-3 Casa Pia AC (Taça de Portugal)
• 3 Oct: Casa Pia AC 2-2 Estoril
• 27 Sep: Moreirense 2-1 Casa Pia AC
• 21 Sep: Casa Pia AC 1-1 Famalicão

This rollercoaster of performances leaves them 14th in the standings with 8 points from 9 matches.
Although they have a poor goal difference (-9) and recorded only one clean sheet in their last five league games, they have averaged 1.40 goals per match in the same period. This shows that while they can score, defensive issues remain a significant concern. Their recent heavy loss to Braga highlighted vulnerabilities that coach João Pereira will need to address before their encounter with Estrela da Amadora.

Casa Pia AC Key Players

Casa Pia AC will be looking to their key players to make an impact against Estrela da Amadora. Jeremy Livolant, their top scorer with 3 goals, will be crucial in breaking down Estrela’s defense. His partnership with Dailon Rocha Livramento, who adds flair to the attack, could tip the scales in Casa Pia’s favour.
In midfield, Seba Pérez and Renato Sam Na Nhaga are expected to control the centre of the park, providing both defensive cover and creative passing to link up with the forward line. The defensive trio of Kaique Rocha, João Goulart, and David Sousa will need to be resolute to keep out any threats from Estrela’s forwards.

Expected line-up for Casa Pia AC:

• Goalkeeper: Daniel Azevedo
• Defenders: Kaique Rocha, João Goulart, David Sousa
• Midfielders: Gaizka Larrazabal, Seba Pérez, Miguel Sousa, Renato Sam Na Nhaga, Andres Geraldes
• Forwards: Jeremy Livolant, Dailon Rocha Livramento

Key individual battles will include Livolant taking on Estrela’s defense, particularly against Luan Patrick and Otávio Manoel Galdino Fernandes, making for an intriguing contest.

Casa Pia AC Suspensions & Injuries

Casa Pia AC are facing some injury concerns that might impact their performance against Estrela da Amadora. Claudio Mendes is sidelined with a cruciate ligament injury and his return remains doubtful, while Kiki Silva is also dealing with a knee injury, further depleting their defensive options.
These absences mean that manager João Pereira will need to rely on the likes of Kaique Rocha and João Goulart to step up at the back. The lack of depth due to these injuries could make Casa Pia more vulnerable, especially against an Estrela side looking to capitalize on any weaknesses.
No suspensions are reported, allowing Pereira to field his strongest available lineup. The team’s ability to adapt and cover these missing players will be critical in determining the outcome of the match.

Casa Pia AC Tactics and Formation

Casa Pia AC will likely stick to their preferred 3-4-3 formation for their match against Estrela da Amadora, which offers a balance between defensive solidity and attacking potential.
Casa Pia AC Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-3
• Key Forward: Jeremy Livolant (3 goals this season)
• Key Midfielders: Seba Pérez, Renato Sam Na Nhaga, Miguel Sousa
• Defensive Line: Kaique Rocha, João Goulart, David Sousa
• Strengths: Despite occasional defensive lapses, they can score with an average of 1.40 goals per match in their last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Casa Pia often employ a high press, particularly successful in the first half of matches to unsettle opponents.

With João Pereira at the helm, Casa Pia focuses on controlling the midfield and exploiting the width through their wingbacks Gaizka Larrazabal and Andres Geraldes. They’ll look to press Estrela’s defense early, hoping to convert early opportunities into goals.

Estrela da Amadora Team Analysis

Estrela da Amadora Recent Performance

Estrela da Amadora’s recent form has been a cause for concern as they head into this Liga Portugal encounter:

• 25 Oct: Estrela da Amadora 1-2 Rio Ave
• 18 Oct: Alpendorada 3-1 Estrela da Amadora (Taça de Portugal)
• 4 Oct: Gil Vicente 2-0 Estrela da Amadora
• 27 Sep: Estrela da Amadora 3-0 AVS Futebol SAD
• 21 Sep: Tondela 0-0 Estrela da Amadora

This sequence of results places them 16th in the league with 7 points from 9 matches. Their recent struggles are reflected in their current position and a slowdown in scoring, averaging only 1.00 goal per match over the last five games. However, they have managed to secure two clean sheets, showcasing moments of defensive resilience amidst a challenging spell. Under the guidance of coach José Faria, Estrela will need to exploit any weaknesses in Casa Pia’s defensive lines to boost their chances of securing much-needed points.

Estrela da Amadora Key Players

Estrela da Amadora will rely heavily on their key players to turn their fortunes around against Casa Pia AC. Kikas, their top scorer with 2 goals, will be pivotal in breaking down Casa Pia’s defense. His strike partnership with Jorge Meireles, backed by the creative play of Abraham Marcus, could be the key to finding the net.
In midfield, Paulo Moreira and Oumar Ngom are expected to provide the necessary support and distribution to keep the team ticking. The defensive trio of Atanas Chernev, Luan Patrick, and Otávio Manoel Galdino Fernandes will be crucial in maintaining their recent defensive resilience, having secured two clean sheets in their last five games.

Expected line-up for Estrela da Amadora:

• Goalkeeper: Renan Ribeiro
• Defenders: Atanas Chernev, Luan Patrick, Otávio Manoel Galdino Fernandes
• Midfielders: Jefferson Encada, Paulo Moreira, Oumar Ngom, Sidny Cabral
• Forwards: Abraham Marcus, Kikas, Jorge Meireles

Key individual battles will include Kikas and Meireles attempting to outfox the Casa Pia defense, particularly against Kaique Rocha and João Goulart.

Estrela da Amadora Suspensions & Injuries

Estrela da Amadora have some injury worries that could impact their performance against Casa Pia AC. Nilton, suffering from a foot injury, remains doubtful for the match, and Semeu Commey is also questionable due to an unspecified injury.
These absences will test the squad depth of coach José Faria, particularly at the back where Nilton’s experience would have been invaluable. Without them, the likes of Atanas Chernev and Luan Patrick will need to step up to ensure the defense remains sturdy.
No suspensions have been reported for Estrela da Amadora, so Faria can field his best available lineup. How well the team adapts to these injury-enforced changes will be crucial in determining their prospects against Casa Pia AC.

Estrela da Amadora Tactics and Formation

Estrela da Amadora are likely to stick with their tried and tested 3-4-3 formation as they take on Casa Pia AC.
Estrela da Amadora Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-3
• Key Forward: Kikas (2 goals this season)
• Key Midfielders: Paulo Moreira, Oumar Ngom
• Defensive Line: Atanas Chernev, Luan Patrick, Otávio Manoel Galdino Fernandes
• Strengths: They have managed two clean sheets in their last five matches, showing defensive resilience.
• Notable Strategy: Estrela often focus on maintaining a solid defensive structure and capitalizing on counter-attacks, particularly effective in away games.

Under the guidance of José Faria, Estrela will aim to exploit Casa Pia’s occasional defensive frailties. Their strategy might involve sitting deep and hitting on the break, utilizing the pace and creativity of forwards like Abraham Marcus and Jorge Meireles.

Casa Pia AC vs Estrela da Amadora Head-to-Head Statistics

Analyzing the last five encounters between Casa Pia AC and Estrela da Amadora reveals an evenly matched rivalry.

• 9 Feb 2025: Casa Pia AC 1-0 Estrela da Amadora (Liga Portugal)
• 31 Aug 2024: Estrela da Amadora 0-1 Casa Pia AC (Liga Portugal)
• 8 Mar 2024: Estrela da Amadora 3-1 Casa Pia AC (Liga Portugal)
• 8 Oct 2023: Casa Pia AC 0-1 Estrela da Amadora (Liga Portugal)
• 23 Apr 2022: Casa Pia AC 3-0 Estrela da Amadora (Liga Portugal 2)

Casa Pia has had the upper hand with three wins in these encounters, while Estrela managed two victories. It’s notable that less than 2.5 goals have been scored in 75% of these meetings, pointing to generally tight and low-scoring affairs. Given their current league standings and recent form, this match promises to be another closely contested battle, aligning well with our prediction of a draw.

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