Girona vs Celta Vigo Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, Sunday, March 1st

This Sunday, 1 March, all eyes will be on the Estadi Municipal de Montilivi as Girona host Celta Vigo in a crucial LaLiga encounter. Girona, playing at home, will look to capitalise on their familiarity with the venue to secure valuable points. Meanwhile, Celta Vigo will aim to disrupt Girona’s plans and climb up the league standings.

Both teams are eager to improve their positions in the LaLiga table, making this matchup significant for their respective campaigns. Girona’s home advantage could play a pivotal role, but Celta Vigo’s determination to succeed away from home adds an intriguing layer to the contest. As we delve into the prediction, match preview, and betting tips, this clash promises plenty of excitement for fans and punters alike.

Girona vs Celta Vigo Prediction & Betting Tip

Bet Recommendation	Odds
Draw	3.37

Considering the recent form of both teams, our recommended betting tip is a draw. Girona have drawn three of their last five games, while Celta Vigo have recorded similar results in their recent outings. Furthermore, their last three head-to-head encounters have all ended in a draw.

• Girona have managed to avoid defeat in most of their recent matches, showing solid form and defensive stability.
• Celta Vigo have been consistent in scoring, finding the net in 84% of their matches this season.
• The historical trend of draws in their head-to-head meetings suggests another closely contested game.

Betting Odds

Girona are slight favourites in this LaLiga clash, with odds of 2.49 to secure a home victory at Estadi Municipal de Montilivi. Celta Vigo, however, are not far behind with odds of 2.86, suggesting a closely contested match.

Betting Tip	Odds
Girona to win	2.49
Draw	3.37
Celta Vigo to win	2.86

The draw is priced at 3.37, indicating that bookmakers expect a competitive encounter. Punters may find value in betting on both teams to score, given the attacking potential on display.

Girona Analysis & Past Performance

Girona’s recent form has been somewhat inconsistent, with only one victory in their last five matches. The team has drawn three and lost one, including a notable 2-2 draw against Deportivo Alavés. Their ability to score is evident, having netted in four out of their last five games, resulting in an average of 1.20 goals per match.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Deportivo Alavés	Girona	2 – 2 (Draw)	LaLiga	23 Feb 2026
Girona	Barcelona	2 – 1 (Win)	LaLiga	16 Feb 2026
Sevilla	Girona	1 – 1 (Draw)	LaLiga	8 Feb 2026
Real Oviedo	Girona	1 – 0 (Loss)	LaLiga	31 Jan 2026
Girona	Getafe	1 – 1 (Draw)	LaLiga	26 Jan 2026

Recent Form:

• DWDLD

Defensively, Girona have struggled, conceding an average of 1.20 goals per game in their last five outings and failing to secure a single clean sheet. Despite this, they have shown resilience at home, winning two of their last five home fixtures. Their most impressive result came against Barcelona, where they secured a 2-1 victory, highlighting their potential to challenge top teams. Currently positioned 11th in LaLiga with 30 points, Girona’s performance at Estadi Municipal de Montilivi has been slightly better, boasting a home win ratio of 40% over the last ten matches. Their reliance on Vladyslav Vanat, who has scored 8 goals this season, is a key aspect of their attacking strategy.

Girona Suspensions & Injuries

Girona are currently dealing with a significant list of injuries that could heavily influence their tactical setup against Celta Vigo. Key player Juan Carlos is out with a cruciate ligament injury but is expected to return in early March 2026. This presents a challenge for Girona in the goalkeeping department, as Paulo Gazzaniga is also listed as doubtful with a finger injury. Marc-André ter Stegen’s hamstring injury, sidelining him until early April 2026, further complicates matters in goal.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Ricard Artero	Broken ankle	Unknown
Juan Carlos	Cruciate ligament injury	Early March 2026
Donny van de Beek	Cruciate ligament injury	Late April 2026
Portu	Cruciate ligament injury	Out for season
Marc-André ter Stegen	Hamstring injury	Early April 2026
Álex Moreno	Calf injury	Early March 2026
Thomas Lemar	Physical discomfort	Doubtful
Paulo Gazzaniga	Finger injury	Doubtful

In midfield, the absence of Donny van de Beek, who is out until late April 2026 due to a cruciate ligament injury, limits Girona’s creativity and depth. The long-term absence of Portu, out for the season with a similar injury, continues to be a tactical blow. However, Thomas Lemar, despite recent physical discomfort, is expected to feature, providing some relief in midfield.

Defensively, Álex Moreno’s calf injury might see him return in early March 2026, which could bolster Girona’s backline. In the meantime, Daley Blind and Arnau Martínez are expected to maintain their positions, with potential for tactical adjustments depending on Moreno’s fitness. The tactical impact of these injuries could see Girona adopting a more conservative approach, especially if Gazzaniga is unable to play. This could affect betting markets, with Girona potentially seen as less dominant due to their weakened squad.

The potential absence of crucial players may lead Girona to rely on their bench strength, with possible tactical adjustments to accommodate the available squad members. The team’s ability to adapt to these challenges will be crucial in maintaining their competitive edge in the upcoming match.

Girona Key Players

Vladyslav Vanat stands out as Girona’s top scorer, having found the back of the net eight times this season. His clinical finishing and intelligent runs make him a constant threat to the opposition’s defence. Vanat’s ability to exploit spaces and convert chances will be pivotal against Celta Vigo. Supporting him in attack, Viktor Tsyhankov’s pace and crossing ability on the wing can create numerous goal-scoring opportunities, while Axel Witsel’s experience and composure in midfield provide the team with a solid foundation to build their attacks.

In defence, Daley Blind’s leadership and tactical awareness will be crucial in organising the backline and thwarting Celta Vigo’s offensive plays. Blind’s versatility allows him to contribute both defensively and in initiating attacks from the back, which could be key to Girona’s tactical approach. Together, these players form the backbone of Girona’s strategy, with their individual strengths complementing the team’s overall play.

Expected lineup for Girona

• Goalkeeper: Paulo Gazzaniga
• Defence: Hugo Rincón, Vitor Reis, Daley Blind, Arnau Martínez
• Midfield: Viktor Tsyhankov, Thomas Lemar, Axel Witsel, Iván Martín, Bryan Gil
• Forward: Vladyslav Vanat

Girona Tactics and Formation

Girona Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-5-1
• Key Forward: Vladyslav Vanat
• Midfield Depth: Thomas Lemar and Axel Witsel
• Defensive Record: No clean sheets in last five games
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on midfield control and wing play.

Girona’s 4-5-1 formation is designed to provide midfield dominance while facilitating effective play on the flanks. With Axel Witsel and Thomas Lemar anchoring the midfield, the team aims to control possession and dictate the tempo. Bryan Gil and Viktor Tsyhankov are tasked with exploiting spaces on the wings to support lone striker Vladyslav Vanat.

Defensively, the back four, led by Daley Blind and Vitor Reis, faces challenges as the team has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five outings. This highlights potential vulnerabilities, particularly against teams with pacey attackers.

Offensively, Girona rely on leveraging their midfield depth to create opportunities, with an emphasis on quick transitions and utilising the width of the pitch. Vladyslav Vanat, their top scorer, plays a pivotal role in capitalising on these chances, supported by creative inputs from the midfield.

Celta Vigo Analysis & Past Performance

Celta Vigo come into this match with strong recent form, having secured three wins in their last five matches. This includes impressive victories over Mallorca (2-0) in LaLiga and a narrow Europa League win against PAOK Thessaloniki FC (1-0). Their only defeat in this period came at the hands of Osasuna (1-2), highlighting occasional defensive lapses.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Celta Vigo	PAOK Thessaloniki FC	1 – 0 (Win)	Europa League Final Stage	26 Feb 2026
Celta Vigo	Mallorca	2 – 0 (Win)	LaLiga	22 Feb 2026
PAOK Thessaloniki FC	Celta Vigo	1 – 2 (Win)	Europa League Final Stage	19 Feb 2026
Espanyol	Celta Vigo	2 – 2 (Draw)	LaLiga	14 Feb 2026
Celta Vigo	Osasuna	1 – 2 (Loss)	LaLiga	6 Feb 2026

Recent Form:
Celta Vigo’s attacking prowess is clear, averaging 1.60 goals per match in their last five fixtures, while the defence has been reasonably solid, conceding only 1.00 goals per game. Notably, they have managed to keep two clean sheets, demonstrating improved defensive organisation. Away from home, Celta have managed a balanced record with one win, three draws, and one loss over their last five away games, showing resilience on the road.

Key Insights:

• WWWDL

With Borja Iglesias as their top scorer, netting ten goals this season, Celta Vigo’s attack remains a constant threat. Their performance statistics reveal a 60% win ratio in recent matches, underpinned by consistent scoring, having found the back of the net in every game during this period. As they prepare to face Girona, maintaining their defensive integrity and capitalising on scoring opportunities will be crucial.

Celta Vigo Suspensions & Injuries

Celta Vigo face a significant challenge with the absence of Borja Iglesias, who is suspended for accumulated yellow cards. As a key forward, his absence means Celta will need to find a suitable replacement to maintain their attacking threat. Fer López or Ferran Jutglà could step up in the forward line, but replicating Iglesias’s influence will be no easy task.

Player	Suspension	Matches Remaining	Expected Return
Borja Iglesias	Yellow cards	1	Unknown

The injury list for Celta Vigo further complicates matters, with several key players sidelined. Franco Cervi, Hugo Sotelo, and Andrés Antañón are among those expected to return in early March, which might not be in time for the upcoming clash. Their absence could force coach Claudio Giráldez to adjust his midfield setup, potentially giving Matías Vecino a more prominent role.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Jaime Vázquez	Groin strain	Unknown
Andrés Antañón	Muscle strain	Early March 2026
Franco Cervi	Muscle strain	Early March 2026
Hugo Sotelo	Ankle sprain	Early March 2026
Pablo Durán	Knee injury	Late March 2026

With Jaime Vázquez’s return date still unknown, the depth of the squad is tested, particularly in the midfield and defensive areas. Pablo Durán’s knee injury keeps him out until late March, limiting options for tactical flexibility. These absences might influence Celta Vigo’s ability to execute their preferred style of play, possibly impacting betting markets as they face Girona.

Celta Vigo Key Players

Celta Vigo’s attacking threat is significantly driven by the dynamic forward Ferran Jutglà. With Borja Iglesias suspended, Jutglà’s role becomes even more pivotal. Known for his agility and sharp finishing, Jutglà is likely to be the focal point of Celta Vigo’s offensive strategies. His ability to exploit spaces and create opportunities will be crucial against Girona’s defence. Supporting him in attack, Fer López brings versatility and pace, making him a constant threat on the wings.

In midfield, Matías Vecino stands out as the key playmaker. Vecino’s vision and passing accuracy are vital for linking defence and attack, orchestrating plays that could unlock Girona’s defensive setup. His contributions are complemented by Miguel Román’s energetic presence, offering both defensive support and forward momentum.

Expected lineup for Celta Vigo:

• Goalkeeper: Ionuț Andrei Radu
• Defence: Javi Rodríguez, Joseph Aidoo, Marcos Alonso
• Midfield: Javi Rueda, Miguel Román, Matías Vecino, Hugo Álvarez
• Forward: Borja Iglesias, Fer López, Ferran Jutglà

Defensively, Joseph Aidoo is a central figure, with his robust tackling and aerial dominance providing stability at the back. Alongside him, Marcos Alonso’s experience and ability to push forward add an extra dimension to Celta Vigo’s tactical setup. Overall, their combined strengths in defence and attack could shape the tactical approach and be decisive in the match against Girona.

Celta Vigo Tactics and Formation

Celta Vigo Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-3
• Key Forward: Borja Iglesias
• Midfield Pivot: Matías Vecino and Miguel Román
• Defensive Structure: Three-man defence featuring Marcos Alonso
• Notable Strategy: Versatility in attacking transitions and defensive compactness.

Celta Vigo’s 3-4-3 formation under Claudio Giráldez is designed to maximise their attacking prowess while maintaining defensive stability. The use of a back three with Joseph Aidoo, Javi Rodríguez, and Marcos Alonso provides a solid foundation, allowing wing-backs Javi Rueda and Hugo Álvarez to push forward and support attacks.

Borja Iglesias, the team’s top scorer with ten goals, leads the line in the forward trio alongside Fer López and Ferran Jutglà. This setup allows for fluid attacking movements and versatility in transitions, which is crucial in breaking down opposition defences.

Defensively, Celta Vigo have managed two clean sheets in their last five matches, showcasing their ability to remain compact and organised. The midfield duo of Matías Vecino and Miguel Román play a pivotal role in both defending and initiating counterattacks, providing balance and depth to the team’s overall strategy.

Girona vs Celta Vigo Head-to-Head Record

In their last 20 head-to-head encounters, Celta Vigo have a slight edge with seven wins to Girona’s six, while they have drawn seven times. Their most recent meeting ended in a 1-1 draw at Celta’s home ground, keeping things tight in LaLiga.

The last time Girona hosted Celta Vigo, it was a thrilling 2-2 draw in March 2025. Girona have shown resilience at home, managing to hold Celta to a draw or better in recent fixtures. Both teams have scored 26 goals each in these encounters, highlighting the evenly matched nature of this rivalry.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Celta Vigo	Girona	1 – 1	LaLiga	2025-09-14
Girona	Celta Vigo	2 – 2	LaLiga	2025-03-01
Celta Vigo	Girona	1 – 1	LaLiga	2024-09-29
Celta Vigo	Girona	0 – 1	LaLiga	2024-01-28
Girona	Celta Vigo	1 – 0	LaLiga	2023-10-27