Sevilla vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 18 May 2025 - bettingexpert
Sevilla host Real Madrid on 18 May 2025 at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán in the penultimate round of LaLiga. This clash is crucial for both teams. Sevilla, sitting 14th with 41 points, desperately needs a win or draw to avoid relegation worries, while second-placed Real Madrid, with 78 points, aims to keep their faint title hopes alive.
Despite numerous injuries, Real Madrid are the favourites, riding high off a recent dramatic win against Mallorca. Sevilla, led by coach Joaquín Caparrós, have only managed one win in their last five games, making their task tougher against a Madrid side known for scoring in 94% of their matches this season.
Sevilla might pull off a surprising performance at home, given Real Madrid’s extensive injury list and potential squad rotation, making a draw or home win a recommended bet. Expect a fiercely contested match with both teams highly motivated to secure crucial points.
Sevilla vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting tip
Sevilla vs Real Madrid Prediction
| Sevilla vs Real Madrid Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Sevilla to win or draw | 3.98 |
- Real Madrid may rest key players after already securing their place near the top of the standings.
- Despite Sevilla’s rocky form in recent matches, they will be highly motivated to perform well in front of their home crowd to avoid any relegation tension.
- Real Madrid will field a weakened squad due to multiple injuries, which could hinder their usual dominant performance.
Sevilla vs Real Madrid Odds
| Sevilla vs Real Madrid Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Sevilla | 4.14 |
| Draw | 3.98 |
| Real Madrid | 1.76 |
Real Madrid enters the match as the bookmakers’ favorite despite a series of injuries. Sevilla, playing at home and battling relegation, might offer an intriguing bet for those looking for higher returns. Their inconsistent form, combined with Real Madrid’s potential to rest key players, makes the "win or draw" bet for Sevilla an appealing option.
Sevilla Team Analysis
Sevilla Recent Performance
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Las Palmas | 2025-05-13 | LaLiga | 1-0 (Win) |
| Celta Vigo | Sevilla | 2025-05-10 | LaLiga | 3-2 (Loss) |
| Sevilla | Leganes | 2025-05-04 | LaLiga | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Osasuna | Sevilla | 2025-04-24 | LaLiga | 1-0 (Loss) |
| Sevilla | Deportivo Alaves | 2025-04-20 | LaLiga | 1-1 (Draw) |
Recent Form: WLDLD
Sevilla’s recent form has been a rollercoaster, with just one win in their last five matches (WLDLD). They managed to grab a vital victory against Las Palmas, but defeats to Celta Vigo and Osasuna have highlighted their defensive frailties. Despite these struggles, they’ve found the back of the net fairly regularly, with an average of 1.2 goals per game in their last five matches.
However, they also conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game this season, indicating a need for tighter defence. They kept only 1 clean sheet in the last five games, which could be a concern against Real Madrid’s potent attack.
Sevilla Key Players
Sevilla will rely heavily on the talents of Dodi Lukebakio, their top scorer with 11 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net could be crucial in breaking down Real Madrid’s defense. In the midfield, Suso and Djibril Sow will be key in controlling play and providing support to the attacking line. Defensively, Loic Bade and Kike Salas will need to be at their best to contain Real Madrid’s attack, especially with the threat of Kylian Mbappe looming large.
Expected lineup for Sevilla:
- Goalkeeper: Ørjan Nyland
- Defenders: Jose Angel Carmona, Loic Bade, Kike Salas, Adria Pedrosa
- Midfielders: Lucien Agoume, Suso, Djibril Sow
- Attackers: Dodi Lukebakio, Chidera Ejuke, Isaac Romero
The individual battle between Lukebakio and Real Madrid’s Jacobo Ramon will be one to watch.
Sevilla Suspensions & Injuries
Sevilla faces significant challenges due to various injuries that may affect their performance against Real Madrid. Here are the current injuries:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Tanguy Nianzou Kouassi | Thigh injury | Unknown |
| Ruben Vargas | Hamstring injury | Doubtful |
| Akor Adams | Thigh injury | Mid June 2025 |
| Diego Hormigo | Muscle injury | Early June 2025 |
These injuries could potentially impact Sevilla’s defensive and offensive strategies. The absence of key players might require Joaquín Caparrós to tweak his tactics and rely on less experienced squad members.
Sevilla will need to dig deep to cope with these setbacks, particularly against a strong Real Madrid side.
Sevilla Tactics and Formation
Sevilla Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Isaac Romero
- Midfield Creativity: Suso, Djibril Sow, Lucien Agoume
- Defensive Setup: Ørjan Nyland in goal, supported by a back four of José Ángel Carmona, Loïc Badé, Kike Salas, and Adrià Pedrosa
- Known Issue: Only one clean sheet in the last five games
Sevilla aims to utilize a balanced approach with two central defensive midfielders providing stability. Dodi Lukebakio, Sevilla’s top scorer, operates on the right attacking midfield position, crucial for creating and finishing chances.
With recent injury struggles, Joaquín Caparrós must rely on squad depth and tweaks to this formation to contend with Real Madrid.
Real Madrid Team Analysis
Real Madrid Recent Performance
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Mallorca | 2025-05-14 | LaLiga | 2-1 (Win) |
| Barcelona | Real Madrid | 2025-05-11 | LaLiga | 4-3 (Loss) |
| Real Madrid | Celta Vigo | 2025-05-04 | LaLiga | 3-2 (Win) |
| Barcelona | Real Madrid | 2025-04-26 | Copa del Rey | 2-2 (ET Loss) |
| Getafe | Real Madrid | 2025-04-23 | LaLiga | 0-1 (Win) |
Real Madrid have had a bit of a mixed bag in their last five games, showing some inconsistency with three wins and two losses. This string of results includes close encounters, with an average of 2.20 goals scored per game and a clean sheet in just one of these matches. Carlo Ancelotti’s side will look to maintain their attacking prowess while tightening their defence as they head into this crucial away fixture.
Real Madrid Key Players
Real Madrid boast a powerhouse squad, even with a raft of injuries. Leading the line, Kylian Mbappe stands out as the star performer, having netted an impressive 28 goals this season. His speed and finishing will be pivotal against Sevilla’s defense.
Jude Bellingham, anchoring the midfield, has been crucial with his box-to-box dynamism, while Luka Modric’s vast experience and creativity provide a steady midfield presence.
At the back, Thibaut Courtois remains rock solid between the sticks, making crucial saves.
Expected lineup for Real Madrid:
- Goalkeeper: Thibaut Courtois
- Defenders: Federico Valverde, Jacobo Ramon, Raul Asencio, Fran García
- Midfielders: Luka Modric, Daniel Ceballos, Arda Guler, Jude Bellingham
- Forwards: Kylian Mbappe, Endrick
Real Madrid Suspensions & Injuries
Real Madrid are facing yet another challenge with a raft of injuries and a key suspension. Here’s a detailed look at who’s out and when they might be back:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Carvajal | Cruciate ligament injury | Early November 2025 |
| Eder Militao | Cruciate ligament injury | Late June 2025 |
| Eduardo Camavinga | Tendon injury | Early August 2025 |
| Antonio Rüdiger | Meniscus injury | Late July 2025 |
| David Alaba | Meniscus injury | Early August 2025 |
| Ferland Mendy | Muscle injury | Early August 2025 |
| Rodrygo | Thigh injury | Doubtful |
| Lucas Vazquez | Thigh injury | Doubtful |
| Vinicius Junior | Sprained ankle | Early June 2025 |
| Andriy Lunin | Hand injury | Doubtful |
| Brahim Diaz | Muscle injury | Early June 2025 |
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Antonio Rüdiger | Red card | 6 matches left on his ban |
With multiple key players sidelined, Carlo Ancelotti has to adapt his lineup significantly. Regular starters, including the likes of Carvajal and Rüdiger, will be missed, potentially affecting the team’s defensive stability. This scenario offers fringe players a chance, but it could also disrupt Real Madrid’s usual coherence and rhythm on the field, putting extra pressure on their star performers like Mbappe and Bellingham.
Real Madrid Tactics and Formation
Real Madrid’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Kylian Mbappe
- Midfield Stability: Luka Modric and Daniel Ceballos
- Creative Spark: Jude Bellingham centrally
- Defensive Setup: Courtois in goal, flanked by a defense missing several key players
Despite numerous injuries, Carlo Ancelotti sticks to an attack-heavy 4-2-3-1, aiming to utilize Mbappe’s speed and finishing prowess. Modric and Ceballos provide a blend of experience and control in midfield, while Bellingham is deployed in an advanced role to exploit gaps and create opportunities.
In defense, Courtois remains the bedrock. Yet, the absence of regulars like Eder Militao and Antonio Rüdiger means the backline is less settled, potentially vulnerable under pressure. Ensuring harmonious coordination among the defenders and closing down spaces efficiently will be crucial for Real Madrid.
Sevilla vs Real Madrid Head-to-Head Statistics
| Sevilla | Real Madrid | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Sevilla | 2024-12-22 | LaLiga | 4-2 (Win) |
| Real Madrid | Sevilla | 2024-02-25 | LaLiga | 1-0 (Win) |
| Sevilla | Real Madrid | 2023-10-21 | LaLiga | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Sevilla | Real Madrid | 2023-05-27 | LaLiga | 1-2 (Win) |
| Real Madrid | Sevilla | 2022-10-22 | LaLiga | 3-1 (Win) |
Real Madrid have dominated the head-to-head encounters against Sevilla in recent times, winning four out of the last five meetings and drawing one. These matches highlight Real Madrid’s offensive prowess and ability to pull off victories both at home and away. With Sevilla looking to improve their position in the league, another intense clash is anticipated.
Odds accurate as of 16th May 2025, 6:01 PM, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
