Como vs. Genoa Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 28 April 2025 - bettingexpert

In Serie A action on 28 April 2025, Como hosts Genoa at the Stadio G. Sinigaglia, with referee Alberto Arena in charge. Both teams find themselves mid-table, with Como in 12th and Genoa in 13th, each accumulating 39 points from 34 rounds. Their previous encounter ended in a 1-1 draw, showcasing how closely matched these teams are.

Como comes into this game in excellent form, unbeaten in their last four matches. Despite the unfortunate injury of top scorer Assane Diao, Como’s recent attacking prowess shouldn’t be underestimated.

Genoa, on the other hand, has struggled, having a tumultuous week marked by a 2-0 loss to Lazio and several key absences due to injuries and suspensions, such as Sebastian Otoa’s red card.

Given Como’s current momentum and home advantage, they are the bookmaker’s favourite with odds at 1.85 to win. Our prediction tips Como to seize a crucial victory, continuing their solid form and distancing themselves further from relegation worries.

Como vs Genoa Prediction & Betting tip

Given the current form and circumstances, Como appears to have the upper hand in this match.

Como vs Genoa Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Como to win	1.85

Here are three reasoned bullet points as to why this prediction is solid:

• Recent Form: Como is in excellent form, unbeaten in their last four matches, which significantly boosts their confidence going into this game.
• Home Advantage: Playing at the Stadio G. Sinigaglia, Como has the home crowd behind them, which can often be the extra push a team needs to secure a win.
• Genoa’s Struggles: Genoa has not been as strong recently, struggling in recent matches and having key players out due to injuries and suspensions.

Como vs Genoa Odds

Understanding the betting odds can provide valuable insights for anyone looking to wager on the Como vs Genoa match.

Como vs Genoa Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Como	1.85
Draw	3.42
Genoa	4.46

Given Como’s strong recent form and home advantage, they are seen as the favorites in this matchup with odds of 1.85 for a win. A draw is considered a plausible outcome with odds of 3.42, while a Genoa win is viewed as less likely, reflected in their higher odds of 4.46.

Combining these facts, it’s clear that bookmakers see Como as having a superior chance of securing all three points, especially with Genoa’s current struggles and injuries.

Como Team Analysis

Recent Performance

• Always include the last 5 matches
• Recent Form: A concise way of representing a team’s last 5 matches (e.g., WWLWD)
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Recent Performance

Recent Form: LDWWW
Como has been in fine form lately, boasting an impressive run in their last five matches. They secured three wins, one draw, and one loss. Coach Cesc Fabregas has the team playing cohesive and attractive football, which is evident from their recent performances.

Home team	Away team	Date	Competition	Result
Lecce	Como	2025-04-19	Serie A	0-3 (Win)
Como	Torino	2025-04-13	Serie A	1-0 (Win)
Monza	Como	2025-04-05	Serie A	1-3 (Win)
Como	Empoli	2025-03-29	Serie A	1-1 (Draw)
AC Milan	Como	2025-03-15	Serie A	2-1 (Loss)

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Como has been performing admirably, scoring an average of 1.80 goals per game over their last five matches and keeping two clean sheets. This solid form propels them into the mid-table, reducing relegation worries. Their recent victories show a potent attack and a resilient defence, making them favourites for this fixture.

Como Key Players

Como’s lineup is set to feature a mix of solid performers and promising talents. Despite the significant injury to top scorer Assane Diao, who is out for the season, other key players will need to step up. Anastasios Douvikas, with his sharp attacking prowess, will lead the line and be crucial in breaking down the Genoa defense.
In midfield, Nico Paz and Jonathan Ikoné will be pivotal in creating scoring opportunities. Mërgim Vojvoda and Marc Oliver Kempf will anchor the defense, aiming to maintain their recent run of clean sheets.

Expected lineup for Como:

• Goalkeeper: Jean Butez
• Defenders: Mërgim Vojvoda, Marc Oliver Kempf, Edoardo Goldaniga, Alberto Moreno
• Midfielders: Maxence Caqueret, Lucas Da Cunha, Gabriel Strefezza, Nico Paz, Jonathan Ikoné
• Attacker: Anastasios Douvikas

With top performers in their ranks, Como’s key players will look to secure another vital three points.

Como Suspensions & Injuries

Como faces several challenges with injuries and suspensions affecting their squad:

Player	Injury	Expected return
Alberto Dossena	Cruciate ligament injury	Early October 2025
Sergi Roberto	Muscle injury	Early May 2025
Álex Valle	Physical discomfort	Doubtful
Assane Diao	Broken leg	Out for season

Player	Suspension	Expected return
Maximo Perrone	Yellow cards	1 match left

These injuries, particularly the absence of top scorer Assane Diao, could significantly impact Como’s attacking options. Meanwhile, Maximo Perrone’s suspension adds a headache for coach Cesc Fabregas, necessitating adjustments in midfield to maintain their momentum.

Como Tactics and Formation

Como Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Anastasios Douvikas
• Midfield Structure: Maxence Caqueret and Lucas Da Cunha as defensive midfielders
• Defensive Setup: Two clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Strong attacking intent at home and consistent pressing

Cesc Fabregas’s Como will employ their tried-and-tested 4-2-3-1 formation. This setup allows for balance in both defensive solidity and attacking prowess. With Jean Butez in goal, the defensive line includes Mergim Vojvoda, Marc Oliver Kempf, Edoardo Goldaniga, and Alberto Moreno.

In midfield, Maxence Caqueret and Lucas Da Cunha will be the backbone, offering protection to the defense and linking play to the forward line. The wingers, Gabriel Strefezza and Jonathan Ikoné, along with attacking midfielder Nico Paz, will aim to provide Douvikas with ample scoring opportunities.

Expect Como to control the game from midfield, leveraging quick transitions and home advantage to keep Genoa on the back foot.

Genoa Team Analysis

Recent Performance

Genoa has had a mixed bag of results in their last five matches, showing a record of two wins, one draw, and two losses. With an average of 0.60 goals scored per game and managing to keep two clean sheets, Genoa’s form has been somewhat inconsistent.

Home team	Away team	Date	Competition	Result
Genoa	Lazio	2025-04-23	Serie A	0-2 (Loss)
Verona	Genoa	2025-04-13	Serie A	0-0 (Draw)
Genoa	Udinese	2025-04-04	Serie A	1-0 (Win)
Juventus	Genoa	2025-03-29	Serie A	1-0 (Loss)
Genoa	Lecce	2025-03-14	Serie A	2-1 (Win)

Despite their defensive solidity, their recent goal tally has been underwhelming, averaging just over half a goal per game. This has left them hovering in mid-table and looking to bounce back strongly.

Genoa Key Players

Genoa’s squad boasts several key figures who could influence the outcome of the match. Their top scorer, Andrea Pinamonti, who has netted 8 goals so far, will be crucial in breaking down Como’s defense. Alongside him, Morten Thorsby, an all-action midfielder, will be essential in controlling the tempo of the game and providing support both defensively and offensively.

Expected lineup for Genoa:

• Goalkeeper: Nicola Leali
• Defenders: Brooke Norton-Cuffy, Koni De Winter, Johan Vásquez, Aaron Martin
• Midfielders: Morten Frendrup, Patrizio Masini, Junior Messias, Morten Thorsby, Vitinha
• Attacker: Andrea Pinamonti

Key individual battles to watch include Pinamonti versus Como’s center-backs Marc Oliver Kempf and Edoardo Goldaniga, and Thorsby in the midfield against Nico Paz. These matchups will be pivotal in deciding the game’s outcome.

Genoa Suspensions & Injuries

Genoa will face Como with some notable absences that could impact their performance. Key players are missing due to various injuries and suspensions:

Player	Injury	Expected return
Mario Balotelli	Broken hand	Unknown
Maxwel Cornet	Muscle injury	Doubtful
Hugo Cuenca	Muscle injury	Doubtful
Ruslan Malinovskyi	Leg injury	Early May 2025
Caleb Ekuban	Physical discomfort	Doubtful
Fabio Miretti	Shoulder injury	Out for the season

Player	Suspension	Expected return
Sebastian Otoa	Red card	1 match

With several first-team players unavailable, Coach Patrick Vieira will need to rely on his squad’s depth. The absence of Sebastian Otoa in defense and key figures like Malinovskyi and Balotelli will necessitate tactical adjustments and could hamper Genoa’s effectiveness, particularly in attack and defense.

Genoa Tactics and Formation

Genoa’s Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Andrea Pinamonti
• Midfield Duo: Morten Frendrup, Patrizio Masini
• Defensive Strategy:
• Two clean sheets in the last five games.
• Suspended key defender Sebastian Otoa will be a crucial absence, necessitating adjustments.

Under Patrick Vieira, Genoa prefers a compact defense and relies on the creativity of their midfield. With Morten Thorsby positioned as the attacking midfielder, they will look to break Como’s lines and supply their forward, Andrea Pinamonti, who is their top scorer with eight goals.

Expect Genoa to focus on counter-attacks, particularly utilizing the speed of Junior Messias and Vitinha on the wings. They must, however, adapt to the absence of some crucial players due to injuries and suspensions, which may affect their overall stability.

Como vs Genoa Head-to-Head Statistics

Home team	Away team	Date	Competition	Result
Genoa	Como	2024-11-07	Serie A	1-1 (Draw)
Como	Genoa	2023-04-10	Serie B	2-2 (Draw)
Genoa	Como	2022-11-13	Serie B	1-1 (Draw)
Como	Genoa	2004-05-29	Serie Bwin	1-3 (Loss)
Genoa	Como	2004-01-06	Serie Bwin	0-1 (Win)

Como and Genoa have been neck and neck in their past five encounters, with three matches ending in draws. Como managed a notable away win back in early 2004, while Genoa secured a solitary victory in the same year.
These recent encounters suggest a balanced matchup, often producing tight contests.

Odds accurate as of 24/04/2025 14:02, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.