Millwall vs. Coventry Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 1 October 2025

As we head into Round 8 of the Championship, Millwall takes on Coventry at The Den on 1 October 2025, with a 19:45 kickoff. This fixture sees the 10th-placed Millwall face the high-flying Coventry, currently sitting 2nd in the table.

Coventry is the bookmaker’s favorite with odds at 2.39 for an away win. They come into this match with strong momentum, having maintained an unbeaten run in the last seven games and recently trouncing Birmingham 3-0. Haji Wright, their top scorer, is in sizzling form with five goals already this season.

Millwall, under coach Alex Neil, has had a mixed start, earning 11 points. Despite some spirited performances, they’ve struggled at home lately, finding the net just once in their last three fixtures at The Den. Camiel Neghli, Millwall’s leading scorer, will be crucial if they are to buck that trend.

Injuries have plagued Millwall, with several key players sidelined, impacting their consistency. On the flip side, Coventry has the upper hand in terms of form and squad depth.

Match Prediction: Coventry’s strong form and Millwall’s home struggles suggest Coventry to win.

Millwall vs Coventry Prediction & Betting Tip

In this Round 8 Championship clash, Coventry’s consistent performance and superior form make them favorites to win. Coventry’s unbeaten record in their last seven games and Millwall’s struggles at home, with just one goal in three games at The Den, suggest an away victory.

Recommended Bet

Millwall vs Coventry Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Coventry to win	2.39

Reasons for Prediction:

• Coventry’s unbeaten run of 7 games showcases strong and consistent performance.
• Millwall’s recent home form is uninspiring, with only one goal scored in their last three home matches.
• Coventry has shown defensive solidity with two clean sheets in their last five games.

Coventry looks likely to capitalize on Millwall’s poor form, making this a value bet.

Millwall vs Coventry Odds

Understanding the odds can provide valuable insights for this Championship clash. Coventry comes into this game as the bookmaker’s favorite, reflecting their strong form and unbeaten streak in the last seven matches. Millwall, on the other hand, has struggled at home, affecting their standing with the oddsmakers.

Betting Odds

Millwall vs Coventry Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Millwall to win	2.82
Draw	3.37
Coventry to win	2.39

Coventry’s odds of 2.39 suggest a high probability of an away win, primarily due to their consistent performance and Millwall’s recent home woes. Millwall’s odds of 2.82 reflect their fighting spirit but also their recent struggles. With a draw at 3.37, the odds indicate that all outcomes are plausible, though Coventry remains the stronger bet.

Millwall Team Analysis

Millwall Recent Performance

Millwall’s recent form has been a mixed bag, as shown by their last five results: Draw, Loss, Draw, Win, and Draw. Despite their 10th place in the Championship table, Millwall has struggled to maintain consistency, scoring only 1.20 goals on average in their last five games. Their defense has managed just one clean sheet in this period, reflecting their vulnerabilities at the back.

Recent Form:

• Millwall 1-1 Swansea (A)
• Millwall 1-0 Watford (H)
• Crystal Palace 1-1 Millwall (A) – Penalties lost 4-2 (EFL Cup)
• Charlton 1-1 Millwall (A)
• Millwall 0-2 Wrexham (H)

Injuries have impacted Millwall’s performance significantly, with several key players sidelined. Millwall’s home struggles are evident, having scored just once in their last three fixtures at The Den. Coach Alex Neil will look to turn things around in this crucial match against Coventry.

Millwall Key Players

Millwall will be relying heavily on their top scorer Camiel Neghli, who has netted 2 goals this season. His performance could be pivotal if they are to overcome Coventry’s strong defense. However, with a string of key players injured, the burden will also fall on others to step up.

⚽ Key Players to Watch:

• Camiel Neghli (Center Forward), leading scorer with 2 goals.
• Josh Coburn (Center Forward), expected to spearhead the attack.
• Steven Benda (Goalkeeper), a crucial last line of defense.

Expected Lineup for Millwall:

• Goalkeeper: Steven Benda
• Defenders: Ryan Leonard, Tristan Crama, Jake Cooper, Joe Bryan
• Midfielders: Derek Mazou-Sacko, Massimo Luongo, Will Smallbone, Thierno Ballo, Aidomo Emakhu
• Forward: Josh Coburn

A critical matchup to watch will be Josh Coburn against Coventry’s center-backs, Bobby Thomas and Liam Kitching. Millwall needs these players firing on all cylinders if they are to challenge the high-flying Coventry.

Millwall Suspensions & Injuries

Millwall has been hit hard by injuries, impacting their consistency and performance. Key players, including Lukas Jensen (Achilles tendon), Danny McNamara (knee surgery), and Alfie Doughty (hamstring), are all out until early October. Additionally, Femi Azeez, Casper de Norre, Benicio Baker, and Luke Cundle remain sidelined with varying degrees of muscle and leg injuries.

Injury List:

• Lukas Jensen: Achilles tendon (Early October 2025)
• Danny McNamara: Knee surgery (Early October 2025)
• Alfie Doughty: Hamstring injury (Early October 2025)
• Femi Azeez: Muscle injury (Early October 2025)
• Casper de Norre: Muscle injury (Early October 2025)
• Benicio Baker: Groin injury (Mid October 2025)
• Luke Cundle: Leg injury (Mid October 2025)

With no suspensions currently affecting their squad, Coach Alex Neil will have to navigate this period with a weakened team. The depth and resilience of the squad will be thoroughly tested in this upcoming fixture against Coventry.

Millwall Tactics and Formation

Millwall will likely stick to their tried and tested formation for this clash, seeking to strike a balance between defense and attack.

Millwall Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Josh Coburn, expected to lead the line and provide a goal threat.
• Midfield Setup: With Derek Mazou-Sacko and Massimo Luongo sitting deep, Thierno Ballo will play the crucial attacking midfielder role, flanked by Aidomo Emakhu and Will Smallbone on the wings.
• Defense: Jake Cooper and Tristan Crama will anchor the defense, with Steven Benda as the last line of defense.
• Notable Strategy: Millwall has conceded most of their goals in the 76-90 minute interval, indicating a vulnerability late in games. Expect them to focus on closing out matches stronger.

Despite injuries, Millwall’s tactical acumen hinges on a solid defensive foundation coupled with quick transitions. Key matchups, such as Josh Coburn vs Coventry’s center-backs, will be pivotal.

Coventry Team Analysis

Coventry Recent Performance

Coventry has showcased solid form recently, and their last five matches indicate a consistent level of performance: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, and Win. Sitting in 2nd place with 13 points in the Championship table, Coventry has been resilient, maintaining an unbeaten streak in their last seven matches. They have averaged 1.40 goals per game in their recent five outings and secured two clean sheets, indicating a balanced approach between attack and defense.

Recent Form: LDDDW

• Coventry 3-0 Birmingham (H)
• Leicester 0-0 Coventry (A)
• Coventry 1-1 Norwich (H)
• Oxford 2-2 Coventry (A)
• Millwall 2-1 Coventry (A) – EFL Cup

Coventry’s recent performances underline their strong defensive solidity and capability to pick up crucial points, even in tough fixtures. Coach Frank Lampard’s side will aim to build on their current momentum as they face Millwall.

Coventry Key Players

Coventry will be looking to continue their impressive form with key contributions from several standout players. Haji Wright, leading the attack with five goals this season, is vital to their offensive prowess. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial against Millwall’s defense.

⚽ Key Players to Watch:

• Haji Wright (Center Forward), top scorer with 5 goals.
• Josh Eccles (Attacking Midfielder), pivotal in creating goal-scoring opportunities.
• Carl Rushworth (Goalkeeper), whose two clean sheets in the last five games reflect his reliability.

Expected Lineup for Coventry:

• Goalkeeper: Carl Rushworth
• Defenders: Milan van Ewijk, Bobby Thomas, Liam Kitching, Jay Dasilva
• Midfielders: Matt Grimes, Victor Torp, Tatsuhiro Sakamoto, Josh Eccles, Brandon Thomas-Asante
• Forward: Haji Wright

A key battle will be Haji Wright against Millwall’s center-backs, Tristan Crama and Jake Cooper. Coventry will aim to leverage their attacking and defensive strengths to outmaneuver Millwall.

Coventry Suspensions & Injuries

Coventry comes into this match relatively healthy, but they do have one significant absentee. Oliver Dovin, their backup goalkeeper, is sidelined with a cruciate ligament injury and is not expected to return until mid-December 2025.

Injury List:

• Oliver Dovin: Cruciate ligament injury (Mid December 2025)

Despite this, Coventry’s first-choice goalkeeper Carl Rushworth remains fit, which is crucial for maintaining their defensive solidity. The absence of Dovin might not impact the starting lineup but could affect depth in case of unforeseen circumstances during the match. The rest of the squad is fit and ready, providing Coach Frank Lampard a strong pool of talent to choose from for this fixture.

Coventry Tactics and Formation

Coventry’s tactical alignment under Coach Frank Lampard has been crucial to their successful run this season. They’re likely to stick to their largely effective 4-2-3-1 formation against Millwall.

Coventry Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Haji Wright, who will be a constant threat up front, given his five goals this season.
• Midfield Setup: With Matt Grimes and Victor Torp shielding the defense, Tatsuhiro Sakamoto, Josh Eccles, and Brandon Thomas-Asante will be expected to drive the attacking play.
• Defense: A solid backline comprising Milan van Ewijk, Bobby Thomas, Liam Kitching, and Jay Dasilva, with Carl Rushworth providing security between the posts.
• Notable Strategy: Coventry has looked particularly dangerous in the 31-45-minute interval, where they’ve scored the most goals this season.

Coventry’s strength lies in their balanced approach, capable of both defensive grit and offensive prowess. Expect Lampard’s side to exploit Millwall’s vulnerabilities, particularly in the latter stages of each half.

Millwall vs Coventry Head-to-Head Statistics

Analyzing the last five meetings between Millwall and Coventry, there’s a clear indication that Coventry has the upper hand. Here’s a breakdown of their recent encounters:

• 2025-08-26: Millwall 2-1 Coventry (EFL Cup)
• 2024-12-29: Coventry 0-0 Millwall (Championship)
• 2024-12-07: Millwall 0-1 Coventry (Championship)
• 2024-02-11: Coventry 2-1 Millwall (Championship)
• 2023-11-25: Millwall 0-3 Coventry (Championship)

Key Observations:

• Recent Form: Coventry has won three of the last five matches, indicating a psychological advantage over Millwall.
• Millwall’s Home Form: Millwall has managed just one win at home against Coventry in these last five outings, highlighting their struggles against Coventry at The Den.
• Goals: Coventry has been prolific, scoring ten goals in total while conceding just four.

With Coventry in excellent form and Millwall struggling, historic trends suggest Coventry might hold the edge in this upcoming game.

Odds accurate as of 29/09/2025 19:46, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.