Palmeiras vs Fluminense Prediction, Match Preview, Sunday, 23 November

Palmeiras vs Fluminense Prediction, Match Preview, Sunday, 23 November. As the Serie A season progresses, Palmeiras will host Fluminense at Allianz Parque. Both teams are looking to secure crucial points in the league standings. Palmeiras, renowned for their strong home performances, will aim to make the most of their home advantage.

Fluminense, meanwhile, will be eager to challenge Palmeiras and improve their position in the Serie A table. The match at Allianz Parque promises to be a competitive encounter, with both teams set to bring their best to the pitch. This fixture is significant for both sides as they strive to achieve their season objectives.

Palmeiras vs Fluminense Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Palmeiras to Win	1.51

Palmeiras are looking particularly strong at home and have a solid head-to-head record against Fluminense. Given Palmeiras’ dominance at Allianz Parque and Fluminense’s key absences, a home win appears to be a valuable bet.

• Palmeiras have scored in 72% of their home matches this season, demonstrating their attacking prowess.
• Fluminense concede an average of 1.1 goals per game, which Palmeiras may be able to exploit.
• With Fluminense missing key attacking players, their reduced firepower makes a Palmeiras win more likely.

Betting Odds

Palmeiras step onto their home turf at Allianz Parque as strong favourites, with betting odds reflecting their dominance in Serie A. With odds of 1.51 for a home win, it’s clear that bookmakers are backing Palmeiras to secure all three points.

Betting Tip	Odds
Palmeiras to win	1.51
Draw	3.98
Fluminense to win	6.18

Fluminense, on the other hand, are seen as underdogs at 6.18. However, for those seeking a potential upset, this could be a tempting punt. The draw is priced at 3.98, offering a middle ground for those expecting a closely contested match.

Palmeiras Analysis & Past Performance

Palmeiras have shown mixed form in recent fixtures, recording two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five games. This run includes a solid 2-0 home victory over Santos FC and an away win at Juventude by the same scoreline, but also a disappointing 1-0 loss to Santos FC and a 2-1 defeat to Mirassol.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Palmeiras	Vitoria	0 – 0 (Draw)	Serie A	19 Nov 2025
Santos FC	Palmeiras	1 – 0 (Loss)	Serie A	16 Nov 2025
Mirassol	Palmeiras	2 – 1 (Loss)	Serie A	9 Nov 2025
Palmeiras	Santos FC	2 – 0 (Win)	Serie A	7 Nov 2025
Juventude	Palmeiras	0 – 2 (Win)	Serie A	2 Nov 2025

Recent Form:

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Palmeiras’ attack has averaged 1.00 goals per game over their last five matches, while defensively they’ve been relatively solid, conceding just 0.60 goals per game and keeping three clean sheets. Their home form remains strong, with no losses in their last five home games (three wins and two draws). Currently sitting second in the league with 69 points, Palmeiras have demonstrated resilience at home, boasting an impressive 80% win ratio across their last ten home matches, which is a testament to their strong defensive and attacking balance in front of their fans.

Palmeiras Suspensions & Injuries

Palmeiras face a challenging situation with several key players unavailable due to injuries and suspensions. The absence of Andreas Pereira, suspended following a red card, will impact the midfield dynamics and reduce the creative options available to coach Abel Ferreira. This suspension may force the team to rely more heavily on players such as Raphael Veiga and Allan to maintain midfield control against Fluminense.

Player	Ban	Matches Remaining	Expected Return
Andreas Pereira	Red card	1	Unknown

Injuries further complicate Palmeiras’ preparations, with Figueiredo, Paulinho, and Lucas Evangelista all ruled out for the season. Weverton’s broken hand adds to the woes, although he is expected to return in about 1-2 weeks. This string of injuries particularly affects the defensive and midfield depth, potentially leading to a reshuffle in the starting XI, with Carlos Miguel likely to retain his place in goal.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Figueiredo	Cruciate ligament injury	Out for season
Paulinho	Shin injury	Out for season
Lucas Evangelista	Thigh injury	Out for season
Weverton	Broken hand	About 1-2 weeks

The tactical implications of these absences are significant, as Palmeiras may need to adjust their formation or adopt a more conservative approach. These unavailability issues could influence betting markets, with Palmeiras’ odds potentially lengthening due to their weakened squad depth. The resilience and adaptability of the remaining squad will be crucial in maintaining their competitive edge.

Palmeiras Key Players

Leading the line for Palmeiras is Vitor Roque, their top scorer with 16 goals this season. Roque’s clinical finishing makes him a constant threat to any defence. His agility and sharp positioning in the forward line enable him to exploit spaces effectively, making him a pivotal figure in Palmeiras’ attacking strategy.

In midfield, Emiliano Martínez and Aníbal Moreno are crucial for controlling the tempo and providing creative outlets. Martínez’s vision and passing range allow him to orchestrate play, while Moreno’s box-to-box abilities offer both defensive solidity and attacking support. Defensively, Gustavo Gómez stands out as a commanding presence; his leadership and aerial prowess are indispensable in maintaining structure and discipline at the back.

Expected lineup for Palmeiras:

• Goalkeeper: Carlos Miguel
• Defence: Khellven, Gustavo Gómez, Murilo Cerqueira, Joaquín Piquerez
• Midfield: Emiliano Martínez, Aníbal Moreno, José Manuel López
• Forward: Felipe Anderson, Facundo Torres, Vitor Roque

This ensemble of key players underlines Palmeiras’ tactical approach, which hinges on a blend of solid defence and dynamic attacking options. The synergy between Roque’s finishing, Martínez’s playmaking, and Gómez’s defensive leadership could shape the outcome of their upcoming clash. If effectively harnessed, these strengths position Palmeiras as a formidable opponent poised to exploit any weaknesses in the opposition.

Palmeiras Tactics and Formation

Palmeiras Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Expected 3-4-3
• Key Forward: José Manuel López
• Midfield Engine: Andreas Pereira and Allan
• Defensive Strength: Three clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: High possession play and strategic pressing.

Palmeiras often deploy a 3-4-3 formation under Abel Ferreira, focusing on controlling the game through midfield dominance and high possession. Andreas Pereira and Allan are pivotal in the midfield, offering both defensive cover and creative outlets. The wide play is enhanced by wing-backs, allowing Raphael Veiga and Jefte to contribute offensively.

Defensively, Palmeiras utilise a back three, with Murilo Cerqueira, Micael, and Bruno Fuchs forming a robust line. This structure has been effective, as evidenced by their recent clean sheets, underscoring their defensive resilience.

Offensively, the team emphasises quick transitions and tactical pressing, aiming to exploit opposition weaknesses. With José Manuel López leading the attack, supported by Bruno Rodrigues, Palmeiras seek to capitalise on their attacking prowess, especially in high-pressure situations at Allianz Parque.

Fluminense Analysis & Past Performance

Fluminense have experienced mixed results recently, recording a win ratio of 60% over their last ten matches. Their recent performances include victories against Flamengo (2-1) and Mirassol (1-0), but they have also suffered setbacks, such as a 2-0 defeat to Ceará. Overall, Fluminense have secured 6 wins, 3 losses, and 1 draw in these fixtures, showcasing a reasonable level of form in Serie A.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Fluminense	Flamengo	2 – 1 (Win)	Serie A	20 Nov 2025
Cruzeiro	Fluminense	0 – 0 (Draw)	Serie A	9 Nov 2025
Fluminense	Mirassol	1 – 0 (Win)	Serie A	6 Nov 2025
Ceará	Fluminense	2 – 0 (Loss)	Serie A	2 Nov 2025
Fluminense	Ceará	1 – 0 (Win)	Serie A	29 Oct 2025

Recent Form:
In their last five matches, Fluminense averaged 0.80 goals per game, highlighting some challenges in converting chances. Their defensive efforts have been more commendable, with an average of 0.60 goals conceded per game and three clean sheets. However, their away form remains a concern, as they’ve failed to win in their last five away fixtures, drawing twice and losing three times. This stark contrast to their home performances could be a critical factor in their upcoming match against Palmeiras.

Fluminense’s current league position is 6th with 54 points, suggesting a solid season but with room for improvement, especially on the road. Germán Cano remains a key player, having scored 6 goals this season, and his form will be crucial for Fluminense’s attacking prospects. The team needs to enhance its away strategy to maintain competitive pressure in the league as they aim to solidify their top-six standing.

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Fluminense Suspensions & Injuries

Fluminense are facing significant challenges as they prepare to face Palmeiras, with key players sidelined due to injuries and suspensions. The absence of Germán Cano, who is doubtful with a sprained knee injury, could severely impact Fluminense’s attacking options. Cano’s prolific scoring ability has been crucial for the team, and finding a suitable replacement may prove difficult. Matheus Reis and Manoel are both out with long-term injuries, which affects defensive solidity, further compounded by René’s suspension due to yellow card accumulation.

Player	Suspension	Matches Remaining	Expected Return
René	Yellow cards	1	Unknown

The suspension of René, a key defensive player, forces Fluminense coach Luis Zubeldía to reconsider his defensive lineup. This might mean a reshuffle, with possible promotions from the reserve squad or tactical adjustments to cover for the defensive gaps. The midfield and forward positions may also see changes, with Fluminense potentially adopting a more conservative approach to mitigate the loss of their attacking prowess.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Matheus Reis	Cruciate ligament injury	Late November 2025
Manoel	Knee injury	Late November 2025
Germán Cano	Sprained knee injury	Doubtful

These absences could influence betting odds, as Fluminense’s weakened squad may struggle against a strong Palmeiras team. Bettors might consider the impact of these unavailabilities when assessing potential match outcomes. With the team’s depth tested, Fluminense’s resilience will be on display as they seek to overcome these adversities.

Fluminense Key Players

For Fluminense, the absence of their top scorer Germán Cano due to injury is a significant blow. With 6 goals this season, Cano’s finishing prowess and ability to find space in the box have been pivotal to Fluminense’s attacking strategy. In his absence, the responsibility will likely fall on Everaldo, who is expected to lead the forward line. Everaldo’s pace and dribbling skills make him a constant threat on the counter-attack.

In midfield, Luciano Acosta stands out as a key playmaker. Acosta’s vision and passing range can unlock defences, providing critical support to the forwards. His interplay with Martinelli will be crucial in maintaining possession and dictating the tempo of the game. Defensively, Thiago Silva’s experience and leadership at the back will be vital in organising the defence and dealing with Palmeiras’ attacking threats.

• Goalkeeper: Fábio
• Defence: Samuel Xavier, Thiago Silva, Juan Pablo Freytes, Gabriel Fuentes
• Midfield: Hércules, Martinelli, Luciano Acosta
• Forward: Kevin Serna, Agustín Canobbio, Everaldo

The tactical impact of these players is significant. Acosta’s ability to control the midfield could allow Fluminense to dominate possession, while Silva’s defensive acumen will be essential in countering Palmeiras’ attacks. The combination of Everaldo’s speed and Acosta’s creativity presents a formidable challenge for any opposition, suggesting Fluminense will focus on a balanced approach between solid defence and swift counter-attacks.

Fluminense Tactics and Formation

Fluminense Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Everaldo
• Midfield Pivot: Hércules and Martinelli
• Defensive Strength: Three clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Strong defensive structure and quick transitional play.

Fluminense’s 4-2-3-1 formation emphasises a solid defensive base with Samuel Xavier and Thiago Silva providing experience and stability at the back. Hércules and Martinelli form the midfield pivot, offering a blend of defensive cover and forward progression. The presence of Luciano Acosta as the central attacking midfielder allows for creative link-up play with the lone striker, Everaldo.

Defensively, Fluminense’s recent performances have been robust, evidenced by their three clean sheets in the last five matches. The defensive unit, marshalled by Thiago Silva, has proven effective in maintaining shape and denying opponents clear scoring opportunities.

Offensively, Fluminense focus on swift transitional play, exploiting the flanks with wingers Agustín Canobbio and Kevin Serna. This approach has been crucial in breaking down opposition defences, though their away form remains a concern, having not secured a win in their last five away games.

Palmeiras vs Fluminense Head-to-Head Record

Palmeiras and Fluminense have faced off 45 times, with Palmeiras leading the head-to-head record with 21 wins to Fluminense’s 17, alongside 7 draws. Their last encounter saw Palmeiras clinch a 2-1 victory away at Fluminense in a Serie A match, showcasing their ability to perform on the road.

In Serie A, the head-to-head record is quite competitive, with Palmeiras narrowly ahead. The matches are often closely contested, and both teams have shown they can win away from home, making this upcoming clash at Allianz Parque an intriguing prospect.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	League	Date
Fluminense	Palmeiras	1 – 2	Serie A	2025-07-23
Palmeiras	Fluminense	0 – 1	Serie A	2024-12-08
Fluminense	Palmeiras	1 – 0	Serie A	2024-07-25
Palmeiras	Fluminense	1 – 0	Serie A	2023-12-03
Fluminense	Palmeiras	2 – 1	Serie A	2023-08-06