VfB Stuttgart vs Freiburg Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, Sunday, 1 February

VfB Stuttgart face Freiburg in an intriguing Bundesliga clash on Sunday, 1 February. The match will be held at the MHPArena, with both teams eager to secure vital points. As we analyse this prediction, match preview, and betting tips, it’s important to note the significance of this encounter in the league standings.

Stuttgart, playing at home, will look to capitalise on their familiar surroundings to gain an advantage over Freiburg. Meanwhile, Freiburg will aim to disrupt Stuttgart’s plans and strengthen their position in the Bundesliga. With both teams keen to climb the league table, this fixture promises to be competitive, making it a must-watch for fans and bettors alike.

VfB Stuttgart vs Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Freiburg to win	4.58

When evaluating the market odds and current form, backing Freiburg to win in regular time appears a prudent choice. Stuttgart’s defensive frailties, combined with Freiburg’s disciplined and tactical approach, make this a solid bet.

• Stuttgart concede an average of 1.4 goals per match, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
• Freiburg have scored in 79% of their matches this season, showcasing offensive efficiency.
• Stuttgart’s inconsistency under pressure can be exploited by Freiburg’s organised and quick transitions.

Betting Odds

VfB Stuttgart step onto their home turf at MHPArena as the favourites, with bookmakers offering odds of 1.68 for a home win. Freiburg, on the other hand, are seen as underdogs at 4.58, which may appeal to those seeking a riskier punt.

Betting Tip	Odds
VfB Stuttgart to win	1.68
Draw	4.02
Freiburg to win	4.58

The draw is priced at 4.02, suggesting that while Stuttgart are favoured, a stalemate is not out of the question. For those interested in goal markets, considering Stuttgart’s attacking prowess, the over 2.5 goals market could be worth considering.

VfB Stuttgart Analysis & Recent Performance

VfB Stuttgart have shown commendable form recently, securing three wins in their last five matches across all competitions. Their recent 3-2 victory over BSC Young Boys in the Europa League highlights their attacking strength, with Deniz Undav contributing significantly to the team’s goal tally, having scored 11 goals this season.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
VfB Stuttgart	BSC Young Boys	3 – 2 (Win)	Europa League	29 Jan 2026
Borussia Mönchengladbach	VfB Stuttgart	0 – 3 (Win)	Bundesliga	25 Jan 2026
Roma	VfB Stuttgart	2 – 0 (Loss)	Europa League	22 Jan 2026
VfB Stuttgart	Union Berlin	1 – 1 (Draw)	Bundesliga	18 Jan 2026
VfB Stuttgart	Eintracht Frankfurt	3 – 2 (Win)	Bundesliga	13 Jan 2026

Recent Form:

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Stuttgart have been consistent at home, boasting a 60% win ratio at MHPArena over their last five home fixtures. They have scored in four of their last five matches, averaging 2.0 goals per game while conceding an average of 1.4. With two clean sheets in their last five league games, their defensive setup has shown moments of resilience. Currently sitting fifth in the Bundesliga, Stuttgart’s balance between attack and defence positions them as strong contenders for a top-four finish.

VfB Stuttgart Suspensions & Injuries

VfB Stuttgart face several challenges with key players missing due to injury. Dan-Axel Zagadou’s tendon injury leaves a gap in their defensive line, potentially affecting their stability at the back. His expected return in mid-February means Stuttgart will need to rely on Jeff Chabot and Ramon Hendriks to maintain defensive solidity. The absence of Tiago Tomás due to a muscle injury further complicates their attacking options, with his return also anticipated in mid-February.

Lazar Jovanović’s back injury, with an expected return in early February, limits Stuttgart’s midfield depth. This may push Angelo Stiller and Badredine Bouanani into more prominent roles, ensuring the midfield maintains its creative and defensive balance. The tactical impact of these injuries necessitates adjustments from coach Sebastian Hoeneß, who may need to adopt a more conservative formation to compensate for the missing players.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Dan-Axel Zagadou	Tendon injury	Mid-February 2026
Lazar Jovanović	Back injury	Early February 2026
Tiago Tomás	Muscle injury	Mid-February 2026

The lack of suspensions offers some relief, allowing Stuttgart to focus on effectively managing their injury list. However, these absences could still influence the betting markets, as Stuttgart’s ability to maintain consistent form may be questioned. Their current lineup, while capable, will need to step up to ensure continuity in their performance, especially against a competitive Freiburg side.

VfB Stuttgart Key Players

Deniz Undav stands out as VfB Stuttgart’s top scorer, having netted 11 goals this season. His prowess in front of goal is pivotal for Stuttgart’s attacking strategy, combining clinical finishing with intelligent positioning to exploit defensive weaknesses. Undav’s ability to link play and create space for teammates will be crucial against Freiburg’s defence.

Supporting Undav in attack is Ermedin Demirović, whose versatility and work rate are vital for Stuttgart’s fluid attacking movements. In midfield, Angelo Stiller orchestrates play with his vision and passing accuracy, often setting the tempo and unlocking defences with his creativity. Defensively, Jeff Chabot’s leadership and aerial dominance are essential for maintaining Stuttgart’s solidity at the back.

Expected lineup for VfB Stuttgart:

• Goalkeeper: Alexander Nübel
• Defence: Josha Vagnoman, Finn Jeltsch, Jeff Chabot, Ramon Hendriks
• Midfield: Atakan Karazor, Badredine Bouanani, Nikolas Nartey, Jamie Leweling, Angelo Stiller
• Forward: Ermedin Demirović

VfB Stuttgart Tactics and Formation

VfB Stuttgart Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Ermedin Demirović
• Midfield Pivot: Atakan Karazor and Angelo Stiller
• Defensive Lineup: Josha Vagnoman, Finn Jeltsch, Jeff Chabot, Ramon Hendriks
• Notable Strategy: High possession play and aggressive pressing

VfB Stuttgart’s 4-2-3-1 formation is designed to maintain high possession, as evidenced by their 61% possession in the last match against BSC Young Boys. The midfield pivot of Atakan Karazor and Angelo Stiller is crucial, providing defensive stability and facilitating transitions to attack. This formation allows for flexibility, with Badredine Bouanani and Jamie Leweling supporting from the wings.

Defensively, Stuttgart’s lineup includes Josha Vagnoman and Ramon Hendriks as full-backs, with Finn Jeltsch and Jeff Chabot as the central defensive pairing. Despite missing Dan-Axel Zagadou due to injury, the defence has shown resilience, keeping one clean sheet in recent fixtures.

Offensively, Stuttgart rely on Ermedin Demirović as the focal point up front, supported by a dynamic trio of attacking midfielders. Their aggressive pressing and ability to control the game through possession are key components of their strategy, aiming to exploit any defensive lapses from opponents.

Freiburg Analysis & Recent Performance

Freiburg’s recent form has been somewhat inconsistent, with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five matches. This includes a notable 2-1 victory against FC Köln and a resilient 1-0 win over Maccabi Tel Aviv in the Europa League. However, they suffered defeats to Lille (0-1) and RB Leipzig (0-2), indicating potential vulnerabilities against higher-calibre opposition.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Lille	Freiburg	1 – 0 (Loss)	Europa League	29 Jan 2026
Freiburg	FC Cologne	2 – 1 (Win)	Bundesliga	25 Jan 2026
Freiburg	Maccabi Tel Aviv	1 – 0 (Win)	Europa League	22 Jan 2026
Augsburg	Freiburg	2 – 2 (Draw)	Bundesliga	18 Jan 2026
RB Leipzig	Freiburg	2 – 0 (Loss)	Bundesliga	14 Jan 2026

Recent Form:
On average, Freiburg have scored 1.00 goal per match in their last five games, while conceding 1.20, suggesting a need for greater attacking potency. Defensively, they have managed just one clean sheet in this period, pointing to room for improvement at the back. Away from home, their form has been less impressive, with only one win in the last five outings, highlighting their struggle to secure points on the road.

Currently sitting seventh in the Bundesliga with 27 points, Freiburg’s overall win ratio stands at 37%. Their attack is led by Vincenzo Grifo, who has scored six goals this season, contributing significantly to their offence. However, with a goal difference of -1 over the last five matches, maintaining defensive discipline will be crucial as they look to solidify their position and potentially break into the top six.

• LWWDL

Freiburg Suspensions & Injuries

Freiburg will be without several key players for their Bundesliga clash against VfB Stuttgart. Daniel-Kofi Kyereh remains sidelined due to knee surgery, with an expected return in early February 2026. Similarly, Philipp Lienhart is unavailable due to an abdominal injury, limiting Freiburg’s options in central defence. Lukas Kübler’s hamstring injury has also ruled him out until late February, further impacting the team’s defensive depth.

Lucas Höler, who is dealing with an illness, might miss the game, but his return is anticipated in a few days. This absence could affect Freiburg’s attacking versatility, as Höler’s ability to play across the front line offers crucial flexibility in their tactical setup.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Daniel-Kofi Kyereh	Knee surgery	Early February 2026
Philipp Lienhart	Abdominal injury	Mid February 2026
Lukas Kübler	Hamstring injury	Late February 2026
Lucas Höler	Illness	Few days

With these absences, Freiburg are likely to rely on Max Rosenfelder and Philipp Treu to fill defensive gaps, while the midfield will need to be more dynamic to cover the loss of Kyereh’s creativity. Coach Julian Schuster may opt for a more conservative approach, focusing on a solid defensive structure to counter Stuttgart’s attacking threats.

These injuries might influence the betting markets, potentially skewing odds in Stuttgart’s favour given Freiburg’s depleted squad. Freiburg’s historical resilience, however, suggests they could still pose a challenge if their replacements step up to the mark.

Freiburg Key Players

Vincenzo Grifo stands out as Freiburg’s top scorer with six goals this season. Operating primarily as a creative force in midfield, Grifo’s ability to both score and assist makes him a dual threat that Stuttgart must carefully monitor. His precise set-pieces and vision can unlock defences, setting the stage for attacking opportunities.

Expected lineup for Freiburg

• Goalkeeper: Noah Atubolu
• Defenders: Bruno Ogbus, Matthias Ginter, Max Rosenfelder, Philipp Treu
• Midfielders: Maximilian Eggestein, Patrick Osterhage, Jan-Niklas Beste, Yuito Suzuki, Derry Scherhant
• Forward: Igor Matanović

Freiburg’s defensive solidity will rely heavily on Matthias Ginter, whose experience and leadership are pivotal in organising the backline. Alongside him, Bruno Ogbus adds youthful energy and tenacity, which will be crucial in neutralising Stuttgart’s attacking threats. In midfield, Maximilian Eggestein’s work rate and ball distribution provide the team with a stable platform to transition from defence to attack effectively.

Igor Matanović, leading the line, will be tasked with converting the chances created by Freiburg’s midfield. His physical presence and ability to hold up play can be vital in maintaining offensive pressure. The tactical interplay among these key players will shape Freiburg’s approach, aiming to exploit any weaknesses in Stuttgart’s setup and secure a valuable result.

Freiburg Tactics and Formation

Freiburg Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Igor Matanović
• Midfield Pivot: Maximilian Eggestein and Patrick Osterhage
• Defensive Strength: Matthias Ginter as a key figure in defence
• Notable Strategy: Focus on midfield control and quick transitions.

Freiburg’s 4-2-3-1 formation allows for a balanced approach between attack and defence, with Maximilian Eggestein and Patrick Osterhage anchoring the midfield. This setup provides defensive stability while enabling quick transitions to the forward line, where Igor Matanović leads the attack.

Defensively, Freiburg rely on Matthias Ginter’s experience and leadership, supported by Bruno Ogbus and Max Rosenfelder in the backline. Despite recent struggles to maintain clean sheets, the defensive unit is capable of resilience, especially in high-pressure situations.

Offensively, Freiburg emphasise midfield control, utilising Jan-Niklas Beste and Yuito Suzuki for creativity and support to the lone striker. The absence of key players like Daniel-Kofi Kyereh may necessitate tactical adjustments to maintain their attacking threat.

VfB Stuttgart vs Freiburg Head-to-Head Record

In the head-to-head record between VfB Stuttgart and Freiburg, Stuttgart hold the upper hand with 24 wins compared to Freiburg’s 14, alongside six draws. The last encounter saw Freiburg triumph 3-1 at home in the Bundesliga, but Stuttgart’s previous home fixture ended in a commanding 4-0 victory for them.

Stuttgart have been particularly strong at home, as evidenced by their 5-0 win in their last hosting of Freiburg. This fixture has often seen Stuttgart dominate, especially in the Bundesliga, where they’ve consistently outperformed Freiburg.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Freiburg	VfB Stuttgart	3 – 1	Bundesliga	2025-09-13
VfB Stuttgart	Freiburg	4 – 0	Bundesliga	2025-01-18
Freiburg	VfB Stuttgart	3 – 1	Bundesliga	2024-08-24
Freiburg	VfB Stuttgart	1 – 3	Bundesliga	2024-02-03
VfB Stuttgart	Freiburg	5 – 0	Bundesliga	2023-09-02