Lazio vs Genoa Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, Friday, 30 January

Lazio vs Genoa Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips: On Friday, 30 January, Lazio will face Genoa in a crucial Serie A clash at the iconic Stadio Olimpico in Rome. This encounter promises to be a significant test for both teams as they vie for valuable points in the league standings. Lazio, playing at home, will be looking to capitalise on their familiar surroundings and the support of their fans to secure a win.

Genoa, on the other hand, will aim to upset the odds and take home a positive result from this challenging away fixture. With both teams eager to improve their positions in the Serie A table, this match is set to be a compelling contest. The outcome could have important implications for their respective campaigns, making it a must-watch for fans and bettors alike.

Lazio vs Genoa Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Draw	3.01

Given Genoa’s defensive struggles and Lazio’s strong scoring ability, particularly at home, our recommended betting tip is a win for Lazio. The odds favour Lazio, making this a calculated choice given the current form and historical performance.

• Lazio’s home advantage and their superior goal-scoring record, particularly in the 76-90 minute interval.
• Genoa’s defensive vulnerabilities, as highlighted by their frequent concessions and low league standing.
• Historical data shows that Lazio won convincingly the last time these teams met at the Stadio Olimpico.

Despite some inconsistencies, Lazio have shown they can dominate weaker teams, especially at home.

Betting Odds

Lazio are stepping onto the pitch at Stadio Olimpico as the favourites, with betting odds of 2.04 reflecting their strong home advantage. Genoa, on the other hand, are seen as the underdogs with odds of 4.2, but do not count them out just yet as they have been known to pull off surprises.

Betting Tip	Odds
Lazio to win	2.04
Draw	3.01
Genoa to win	4.2

The odds for a draw sit at 3.01, which could be tempting for those expecting a tightly contested match. With both teams having a knack for finding the net, punters might also want to explore the over 2.5 goals market for some added value.

Lazio Analysis & Past Performance

Lazio’s recent form has been inconsistent, characterised by a record of one win, two losses, and two draws in their last five Serie A matches. A notable victory was their 1-0 win against Verona, yet they suffered a disappointing 0-3 home defeat to Como, showcasing their struggles in maintaining momentum.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Lecce	Lazio	0 – 0 (Draw)	Serie A	24 Jan 2026
Lazio	Como	0 – 3 (Loss)	Serie A	19 Jan 2026
Verona	Lazio	0 – 1 (Win)	Serie A	11 Jan 2026
Lazio	Fiorentina	2 – 2 (Draw)	Serie A	7 Jan 2026
Lazio	SSC Napoli	0 – 2 (Loss)	Serie A	4 Jan 2026

Recent Form:
In the last five games, Lazio have scored an average of 0.60 goals per match, while conceding 1.40 on average, highlighting a need for improvement in both attack and defence. They have secured two clean sheets during this period, which points to some defensive resilience. Notably, their win ratio stands at 20%, and they have failed to win any of their last five home fixtures, with three draws and two losses.

Lazio’s season statistics reflect a mid-table performance, sitting ninth in Serie A with 29 points. Matteo Cancellieri has been a key player, leading the team’s scoring chart with three goals. However, the team have only scored in 11 of their 22 matches, underlining a lack of consistent threat in attack. Defensively, they have kept 11 clean sheets, indicating a certain degree of solidity at the back.

• DLWDL

Lazio Suspensions & Injuries

Lazio face the upcoming match against Genoa with several players unavailable due to injuries. Samuel Gigot and Patric are sidelined with muscle injuries, and Nicolò Rovella is doubtful, which could affect Maurizio Sarri’s defensive options. Patric’s absence until early February 2026 necessitates a reshuffle in the backline, potentially increasing the workload on Mario Gila and Alessio Romagnoli, who remain fit for selection.

The midfield might see some tactical adjustments as well, with Nicolò Rovella’s doubtful status potentially limiting the depth of options. Kenneth Taylor may need to step up, providing the necessary dynamism and control in the centre of the park. This gives an opportunity for other squad members to prove their capabilities and maintain Lazio’s competitive edge in Serie A.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Samuel Gigot	Muscle strain	Unknown
Patric	Muscle strain	Early February 2026
Nicolò Rovella	Muscle strain	Uncertain

The absence of these players could influence the betting markets, as Lazio’s squad depth is tested. However, with a strong attacking lineup still intact, featuring the likes of Boulaye Dia and Mattia Zaccagni, Lazio remain a formidable opponent. The tactical impact of these injuries will be closely monitored, especially in how Sarri manages his defensive setup against Genoa.

Lazio Key Players

Lazio will be relying heavily on Matteo Cancellieri, the team’s top scorer with three goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net, combined with his agility and quick decision-making, makes him a key threat against Genoa’s defence. Positioned up front alongside Boulaye Dia and Mattia Zaccagni, Cancellieri’s scoring prowess is expected to be a focal point of Lazio’s attacking strategy.

In the midfield, Matías Vecino and Kenneth Taylor are instrumental. Vecino’s experience and ability to dictate the tempo of the game will be crucial, while Taylor’s dynamic playmaking skills can unlock Genoa’s defensive lines. Defensively, Alessio Romagnoli’s leadership and Mario Gila’s solid performances will be central to maintaining a strong backline.

Expected lineup for Lazio

• Goalkeeper: Ivan Provedel
• Defenders: Mario Gila, Alessio Romagnoli, Adam Marušić, Manuel Lazzari
• Midfielders: Toma Bašić, Matías Vecino, Kenneth Taylor
• Forwards: Matteo Cancellieri, Boulaye Dia, Mattia Zaccagni

Lazio Tactics and Formation

Lazio Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Boulaye Dia
• Midfield Pivot: Toma Bašić and Matías Vecino
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five matches
• Notable Strategy: High possession play and wide attacking threats.

Maurizio Sarri’s Lazio line up in a 4-3-3 formation, emphasising possession-based football. This setup allows them to control the midfield through Toma Bašić and Matías Vecino, who are pivotal in transitioning play from defence to attack. Kenneth Taylor adds creative flair, linking up with forwards Matteo Cancellieri and Mattia Zaccagni on the wings.

Defensively, the back four comprising Mario Gila, Alessio Romagnoli, Adam Marušić, and Manuel Lazzari provides a stable foundation. Ivan Provedel, the goalkeeper, has been crucial in maintaining clean sheets in two of the last five games, showcasing their defensive resilience.

Offensively, Lazio leverages the pace and skill of Boulaye Dia as the central striker, supported by the dynamic wing play of Cancellieri and Zaccagni. Their strategy revolves around maintaining high possession, evidenced by their 61% possession in the last match against Lecce, and exploiting wide areas to stretch opposition defences.

Genoa Analysis & Past Performance

Genoa have demonstrated a commendable level of consistency in their recent performances, remaining unbeaten in their last five Serie A fixtures. This stretch includes two wins and three draws, highlighting their resilience, especially with a notable 3-2 victory against Bologna in their latest home match.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Genoa	Bologna	3 – 2 (Win)	Serie A	25 Jan 2026
Parma Calcio 1913	Genoa	0 – 0 (Draw)	Serie A	18 Jan 2026
Genoa	Cagliari	3 – 0 (Win)	Serie A	12 Jan 2026
AC Milan	Genoa	1 – 1 (Draw)	Serie A	8 Jan 2026
Genoa	Pisa	1 – 1 (Draw)	Serie A	3 Jan 2026

Recent Form:
In their last five matches, Genoa have averaged 1.60 goals per game, showcasing a decent attacking output with a total of eight goals scored. Defensively, they have managed to keep two clean sheets, conceding an average of 0.80 goals per game, which indicates a relatively solid backline.

Away Performance:
Genoa’s away form, however, remains a point of concern, with only one win in their last five travels, accompanied by two draws and two losses. Their away win ratio stands at 20%, underlining the need for improved performances on the road.

Team Dynamics:

• WDWDD

Lorenzo Colombo has emerged as a key figure in attack, contributing significantly with five goals this season. Despite sitting 13th in the league standings, Genoa’s ability to score in 80% of their recent matches suggests a team that can pose a threat, particularly if they consolidate their defensive efforts.

Genoa Suspensions & Injuries

Genoa face this clash without the services of Benjamin Siegrist, Albert Grønbæk, and Tommaso Baldanzi due to injuries. Siegrist’s broken finger keeps him out until early February, while Grønbæk’s muscle injury status remains doubtful. Baldanzi, also sidelined with a muscle injury, is expected back around the same time as Siegrist. The absence of these players may not drastically alter the starting lineup, given that all key starters are available, but it does affect Genoa’s depth, particularly in goal and midfield.

With Siegrist out, the goalkeeping duties fall squarely on Justin Bijlow, who has been the preferred choice between the posts. In midfield, the absence of Grønbæk and Baldanzi means that players like Vitinha and Morten Frendrup will need to shoulder more responsibility. This could lead to a more conservative approach in midfield to maintain stability against Lazio.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Benjamin Siegrist	Broken finger	Early February 2026
Albert Grønbæk	Muscle injury	Doubtful
Tommaso Baldanzi	Muscle injury	Early February 2026

Tactically, Genoa might opt for a slightly cautious formation to mitigate the impact of their reduced bench strength. The 3-5-2 formation will likely remain, but the team might focus on compactness and disciplined defensive play to counter Lazio’s attacking threats. This cautious strategy could influence betting markets, with punters possibly seeing value in a lower-scoring affair.

Genoa Key Players

Leading Genoa’s attacking line, Lorenzo Colombo stands out as the team’s top scorer with five goals this season. His sharp finishing and ability to find space in the box make him a constant threat to Lazio’s defence. Colombo’s partnership with Jeff Ekhator up front is essential, as they look to exploit any defensive gaps with their combined pace and technical skills.

In midfield, Vitinha plays a pivotal role as the playmaker, orchestrating Genoa’s attacks and linking play between defence and attack. Morten Frendrup provides the necessary balance with his defensive capabilities, breaking up opposition plays and supporting the backline. On the flanks, Brooke Norton-Cuffy and Aarón Martín Caricol offer width and crossing ability, crucial for stretching Lazio’s defence.

Expected lineup for Genoa

• Goalkeeper: Justin Bijlow
• Defenders: Sebastian Otoa, Johan Vásquez, Alessandro Marcandalli
• Midfielders: Brooke Norton-Cuffy, Vitinha, Morten Frendrup, Mikael Egill Ellertsson, Aarón Martín Caricol
• Forwards: Jeff Ekhator, Lorenzo Colombo

Defensively, Johan Vásquez and Alessandro Marcandalli form a robust central partnership, tasked with keeping Lazio’s forwards at bay. Vásquez’s aerial strength and Marcandalli’s tackling prowess will be key in maintaining a solid defensive line. The tactical impact of these players will be vital as Genoa aim to secure a positive result against a challenging opponent.

Genoa Tactics and Formation

Genoa Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-5-2
• Key Forward: Lorenzo Colombo
• Midfield Pivot: Vitinha and Morten Frendrup
• Defensive Setup: Three-man backline with Johan Vásquez anchoring
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on width and midfield control

Genoa’s 3-5-2 formation facilitates a strong midfield presence, with Vitinha and Morten Frendrup crucial in both defensive transitions and initiating attacks. This setup allows Genoa to maintain midfield dominance, crucial against teams like Lazio who thrive on controlling the central areas.

Defensively, the three-man backline, led by Johan Vásquez, provides a solid base, although the lack of clean sheets in recent games suggests vulnerability against high-pressing opponents. The wing-backs, Brooke Norton-Cuffy and Aarón Martín Caricol, are tasked with providing width and supporting both defensive and offensive phases.

Offensively, Genoa rely heavily on the prowess of Lorenzo Colombo, their top scorer, to lead the attack. The partnership with Jeff Ekhator aims to capitalise on quick transitions and exploit any defensive lapses by the opposition, a strategy that yielded three goals in their recent match against Bologna.

Lazio vs Genoa Head-to-Head Record

Lazio have the upper hand in their head-to-head record against Genoa, boasting 20 wins to Genoa’s 13, with five matches ending in a draw. In their most recent encounter, Lazio secured a convincing 3-0 victory away at Genoa in September 2025, continuing their strong form in Serie A.

The last time these two faced off at the Stadio Olimpico in Serie A, Lazio came out on top with a 3-0 win in October 2024. Historically, Lazio have been dominant at home, and with 67 goals scored in these fixtures, they have a knack for finding the back of the net against Genoa.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Genoa	Lazio	0 – 3	Serie A	2025-09-29
Genoa	Lazio	0 – 2	Serie A	2025-04-23
Lazio	Genoa	3 – 0	Serie A	2024-10-27
Genoa	Lazio	0 – 1	Serie A	2024-04-19
Lazio	Genoa	1 – 0	Italian Cup	2023-12-05