Real Madrid vs Getafe Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, Monday, 2 March

Real Madrid will host Getafe at the iconic Estadio Santiago Bernabéu on Monday, 2 March, in what promises to be an intriguing LaLiga encounter. This match is crucial for both teams: Real Madrid are looking to consolidate their position at the top of the league, while Getafe aim to climb the table and secure a place in European competitions. The phrase ‘Real Madrid vs Getafe Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips’ underlines the significance of this fixture in the context of the league standings.

Playing at home, Real Madrid will be eager to make the most of their advantage at the Bernabéu, where they have been formidable this season. Getafe, meanwhile, must produce their best performance to challenge the hosts and potentially cause an upset. With both teams having much at stake, this LaLiga clash is set to deliver plenty of action and betting opportunities for those looking to make informed predictions.

Real Madrid vs Getafe: Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Real Madrid to win	1.31

Taking into account the overall form and head-to-head statistics, we are backing Real Madrid to win. Real Madrid have been excellent at home, maintaining an unbeaten run in their last five matches in this competition. The odds of 1.31 for a home win represent solid value, especially considering Real Madrid’s superior squad depth and motivation to bounce back from their recent defeat.

• Real Madrid boast an unbeaten record in their last five home matches in this competition, underlining their strong home advantage.
• Kylian Mbappé, the top scorer with 23 goals, adds significant firepower to Real Madrid’s attack.
• Getafe’s recent performance, including a red card and a poor showing against Sevilla, suggests they may struggle against a motivated Real Madrid.

Betting Odds

Real Madrid are clear favourites in this LaLiga clash, with betting odds heavily in their favour at 1.31. Getafe, on the other hand, are outsiders with odds of 10.29, reflecting the challenge they face at the Bernabéu. A draw is priced at 5.18, which may appeal to those looking for an upset.

Betting Tip	Odds
Real Madrid to win	1.31
Draw	5.18
Getafe to win	10.29

For those considering a bet, the odds point towards a comfortable win for Real Madrid, but Getafe’s potential to disrupt could offer value in alternative markets such as both teams to score or under 2.5 goals.

Real Madrid: Analysis & Recent Performance

Real Madrid have shown strong form in recent matches, winning four of their last five games with just one defeat. Their recent 2-1 victory over Benfica in the Champions League highlights their competitive edge on the European stage. In LaLiga, they secured a convincing 4-1 win over Real Sociedad, further demonstrating their attacking prowess.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Real Madrid	Benfica	2 – 1 (Win)	Champions League Knockout Stage	25 Feb 2026
Osasuna	Real Madrid	2 – 1 (Loss)	LaLiga	21 Feb 2026
Benfica	Real Madrid	0 – 1 (Win)	Champions League Knockout Stage	17 Feb 2026
Real Madrid	Real Sociedad	4 – 1 (Win)	LaLiga	14 Feb 2026
Valencia	Real Madrid	0 – 2 (Win)	LaLiga	8 Feb 2026

Recent Form:

• WLWWW

Real Madrid’s attack is thriving, averaging 2.00 goals per game in their last five matches. Defensively, they have been solid, conceding only 0.80 goals per match and keeping two clean sheets. At home, their performance is impeccable, boasting a 100% win record in their last five home fixtures. They currently sit 2nd in LaLiga with 60 points, reflecting their consistent top-tier performances.

Real Madrid: Suspensions & Injuries

Real Madrid are dealing with several key absences due to injuries. Éder Militão’s tendon injury has left a significant gap in defence, and although Antonio Rüdiger steps in, the team’s defensive solidity could be tested. Jude Bellingham, sidelined with a hamstring injury, leaves a void in midfield creativity, which Real Madrid will look to Federico Valverde and Eduardo Camavinga to fill. The absence of Kylian Mbappé due to a knee injury is a considerable blow to their attacking power, putting extra pressure on Vinícius Júnior and Gonzalo García to deliver up front.

The unavailability of Dani Ceballos and Raúl Asencio further limits Real Madrid’s depth, though their starting eleven remains largely intact. Álvaro Carreras and David Alaba will need to maintain defensive resilience, while Arda Güler’s role in linking midfield and attack becomes crucial in the absence of Bellingham and Mbappé.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Éder Militão	Tendon injury	Mid March 2026
Jude Bellingham	Hamstring injury	Late March 2026
Dean Donny Huijsen	Calf injury	Doubtful
Joan Martínez	Hamstring injury	Late March 2026
Víctor Valdepeñas	Muscle injury	Mid March 2026
Dani Ceballos	Thigh injury	Early April 2026
Kylian Mbappé	Knee injury	Mid March 2026
Raúl Asencio	Neck injury	About 1-2 weeks

Tactically, Real Madrid may opt for a slightly more conservative approach given the absence of these key players, potentially affecting their usual fluid attacking style. This could influence betting markets, as Getafe may see an opportunity to exploit any defensive or creative weaknesses. However, with a robust midfield and experienced back line, Real Madrid still have a strong chance of securing a positive result.

Real Madrid: Key Players

Real Madrid’s attacking strength this season has been greatly enhanced by the dynamic presence of Vinícius Júnior. As a forward, his pace and dribbling skills are crucial in breaking down defences, making him a constant threat. Alongside him, Gonzalo García is expected to add further firepower and creativity in attack, thanks to his ability to find space and deliver precise passes. In midfield, Federico Valverde’s energy and versatility are vital in maintaining Real Madrid’s tempo and transitioning from defence to attack.

In defence, the experienced David Alaba is key, providing leadership and stability at the back. His partnership with Antonio Rüdiger is essential in nullifying the attacking threats posed by Getafe. The tactical influence of Thibaut Courtois as the last line of defence cannot be overstated; his shot-stopping ability often serves as a safety net for the team.

Expected lineup for Real Madrid:

• Goalkeeper: Thibaut Courtois
• Defence: Dani Carvajal, Antonio Rüdiger, David Alaba, Álvaro Carreras
• Midfield: Arda Güler, Aurélien Tchouaméni, Eduardo Camavinga, Federico Valverde
• Forward: Gonzalo García, Vinícius Júnior

Real Madrid: Tactics & Formation

Real Madrid Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-4-2
• Key Forward: Vinícius Júnior
• Midfield Engine: Aurélien Tchouaméni and Eduardo Camavinga
• Defensive Structure: Two clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: High pressing and quick transitions.

Real Madrid’s 4-4-2 formation offers a balanced approach, emphasising fluid transitions between defence and attack. With Aurélien Tchouaméni and Eduardo Camavinga in central midfield, the team can effectively disrupt opposition play and launch swift counterattacks. Dani Carvajal and Álvaro Carreras provide width from the full-back positions, supporting both defensive and attacking phases.

Defensively, Real Madrid have shown resilience, achieving two clean sheets in their last five matches. Antonio Rüdiger and David Alaba form the centre-back partnership, tasked with maintaining a solid defensive line. The absence of Éder Militão due to injury necessitates tactical adjustments, placing greater responsibility on Rüdiger and Alaba to lead the defence.

In attack, Vinícius Júnior remains a key figure, using his pace and dribbling to exploit spaces behind the opposition’s defence. His partnership with Gonzalo García up front aims to capitalise on quick transitions, a hallmark of Real Madrid’s strategy under coach Álvaro Arbeloa.

Getafe: Analysis & Recent Performance

Getafe’s recent form has been mixed, with two wins, two draws, and one defeat in their last five matches. Notable victories over Villarreal (2-1) and Deportivo Alavés (2-0) have been balanced by a narrow home defeat to Sevilla (0-1), indicating some inconsistency in results.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Getafe	Sevilla	0 – 1 (Loss)	LaLiga	22 Feb 2026
Getafe	Villarreal	2 – 1 (Win)	LaLiga	14 Feb 2026
Deportivo Alavés	Getafe	0 – 2 (Win)	LaLiga	8 Feb 2026
Getafe	Celta Vigo	0 – 0 (Draw)	LaLiga	1 Feb 2026
Girona	Getafe	1 – 1 (Draw)	LaLiga	26 Jan 2026

Recent Form:
Getafe’s attacking output has been modest, averaging 1.00 goal per game in their last five outings. Defensively, they’ve been more resilient, conceding just 0.60 goals per match and keeping two clean sheets, highlighting a relatively solid back line.

Their away form has been less encouraging, with only one win in their last five away fixtures, contributing to a 20% win ratio on the road this season. Currently sitting 13th in LaLiga with 29 points, Getafe’s struggles are reflected in their average of 0.80 goals per game this season, compared to 1.16 goals conceded per match.

Mauro Arambarri has been a key attacking figure, leading with five goals, but the team’s overall attacking play needs improvement to climb the table. Their tactical focus on defence has produced mixed results, often leaving their attack lacking in crucial moments.

• LWWDD

Getafe: Suspensions & Injuries

Getafe are facing a difficult situation with several key players unavailable due to injuries and suspensions. The absence of Djené Dakonam, who is serving a one-match ban following a red card, will require a defensive reshuffle. Djené’s leadership and experience are vital at the back, and his suspension could force coach Pepe Bordalás to rely on Kiko or bring in a less experienced defender.

Player	Suspension	Matches Remaining	Expected Return
Djené Dakonam	Red card	1	Unknown

Injuries further complicate Getafe’s options. Borja Mayoral’s knee injury leaves his participation doubtful, impacting the team’s attacking options. His potential absence may see Luis Vázquez and Martín Satriano shouldering more responsibility up front. Additionally, with Abu Kamara and Abdel Abqar sidelined until mid-March, Getafe’s squad depth is notably affected, especially in midfield and defence.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
David Cordón Mancha Davinchi	Meniscus injury	Doubtful
Abu Kamara	Broken hand	Mid March 2026
Borja Mayoral	Knee injury	Doubtful
Abdel Abqar	Muscle injury	Mid March 2026

The tactical implications of these absences are significant, with Getafe potentially adopting a more conservative approach to compensate for their defensive vulnerabilities. The betting markets may shift further in favour of Real Madrid, given Getafe’s weakened lineup and the challenge of maintaining their competitive edge at the Bernabéu.

Getafe: Key Players

Getafe’s tactical approach is likely to revolve around their top scorer, Mauro Arambarri. With five goals to his name, Arambarri stands out not only for his scoring ability but also for his capacity to orchestrate play from midfield. His dynamic style and knack for finding the net make him a dual threat that Real Madrid will need to contain. Alongside him, Luis Milla and Sebastián Boselli provide a robust midfield presence, capable of disrupting the opposition and transitioning quickly into attack.

At the back, Domingos Duarte is crucial in organising the defensive line. His leadership and aerial ability will be vital in dealing with Real Madrid’s attacking threats. Up front, Luis Vázquez and Martín Satriano offer pace and creativity, with Vázquez’s movement off the ball and Satriano’s finishing skills potentially unlocking Real Madrid’s defence. These key players will significantly influence Getafe’s tactical strategy, focusing on a solid defensive setup and swift counter-attacks.

Expected lineup for Getafe:

• Goalkeeper: David Soria
• Defence: Kiko, Domingos Duarte, Diego Rico, Zaid Abner Romero, Juan Iglesias
• Midfield: Luis Milla, Sebastián Boselli, Mauro Arambarri
• Forward: Luis Vázquez, Martín Satriano

Getafe: Tactics & Formation

Getafe Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 5-3-2
• Key Forward: Martín Satriano
• Midfield Core: Luis Milla and Mauro Arambarri
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five matches
• Notable Strategy: Compact defensive shape with a focus on counter-attacks.

Getafe’s 5-3-2 formation under Pepe Bordalás is designed to provide defensive solidity and exploit counter-attacking opportunities. The defensive line, consisting of Kiko, Domingos Duarte, Diego Rico, Zaid Abner Romero, and Juan Iglesias, is tasked with maintaining a compact shape, which has been crucial in achieving two clean sheets in their last five outings.

In midfield, the trio of Luis Milla, Sebastián Boselli, and Mauro Arambarri offers both defensive cover and transitional playmaking. Arambarri, as one of the top scorers, adds a goal threat from midfield, which is essential for breaking through opposition lines.

Offensively, Getafe rely on the striking partnership of Luis Vázquez and Martín Satriano, who are expected to capitalise on quick transitions. Despite injuries to key players like Borja Mayoral, the team have shown resilience through tactical discipline, focusing on a structured defensive approach and rapid counter-attacks.

Real Madrid vs Getafe: Head-to-Head Record

Real Madrid have dominated the head-to-head record against Getafe, boasting 32 wins compared to Getafe’s 6, with 4 matches ending in a draw. The most recent encounter saw Real Madrid secure a 1-0 victory away at Getafe in October 2025, continuing their strong form in LaLiga.

When these two sides last met at the Bernabéu, Madrid claimed a 2-0 win in December 2024. Historically, Real Madrid have been formidable hosts in this fixture, consistently finding the back of the net.

Home Side	Away Side	Final Score	League	Date
Getafe	Real Madrid	0 – 1	LaLiga	2025-10-19
Getafe	Real Madrid	0 – 1	LaLiga	2025-04-23
Real Madrid	Getafe	2 – 0	LaLiga	2024-12-01
Getafe	Real Madrid	0 – 2	LaLiga	2024-02-01
Real Madrid	Getafe	2 – 1	LaLiga	2023-09-02