São Paulo vs Juventude Prediction, Match Preview, Sunday, 23 November

São Paulo vs Juventude Prediction, Match Preview: This Sunday, 23 November, the Serie A clash between São Paulo and Juventude promises to be a captivating encounter. Both teams will be eager to secure vital points as the season progresses, making this match a significant fixture in the Brazilian top flight. While São Paulo will look to capitalise on their home advantage, Juventude will aim to upset their hosts and climb the league standings.

The venue for this match remains unspecified, but the stakes are high as both teams vie for supremacy in Serie A. São Paulo, known for their strong performances, will be keen to maintain their form, while Juventude will strive to improve their position. This match is set to offer plenty of action and could have implications for the league standings as both teams push for a favourable result.

São Paulo vs Juventude Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
São Paulo FC to Win	1.65

Considering the current form and squad depth of both teams, our recommended betting tip is to back a home win for São Paulo. Despite missing key players, São Paulo have a strong home record and have proven capable of grinding out results, especially against mid-table teams like Juventude.

• São Paulo have scored in 71% of their home matches this season, showing a consistent ability to find the net at Estádio do Morumbi.
• Juventude’s defence has been leaky, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game, which could be exploited by São Paulo’s attackers.
• Juventude’s poor away form and missing several key players through injury and suspension further tilt the balance in favour of a home win.

Betting Odds

São Paulo are clear favourites in this Serie A clash, with betting odds reflecting their strong home advantage. Juventude, on the other hand, are seen as underdogs with longer odds, making them a risky but potentially rewarding punt.

Betting Tip	Odds
São Paulo to win	1.49
Draw	3.98
Juventude to win	6.51

For those looking to capitalise on this match, consider the odds for São Paulo to win comfortably, or explore the draw option if you fancy a surprise result. The over/under goals market could also offer some intriguing bets given São Paulo’s attacking prowess.

São Paulo Analysis & Past Performance

São Paulo’s recent form has been mixed, with the team registering two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five matches. Their most recent outing resulted in a 1-3 defeat away to Corinthians, highlighting some defensive vulnerabilities.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Corinthians	São Paulo	3 – 1 (Loss)	Serie A	20 Nov 2025
São Paulo	Red Bull Bragantino	0 – 1 (Loss)	Serie A	9 Nov 2025
São Paulo	Flamengo	2 – 2 (Draw)	Serie A	6 Nov 2025
Vasco da Gama	São Paulo	0 – 2 (Win)	Serie A	2 Nov 2025
São Paulo	Bahia	2 – 0 (Win)	Serie A	25 Oct 2025

Recent Form:
Over the last five games, São Paulo have averaged 1.40 goals scored per match while conceding 1.20, indicating a slight imbalance between their defensive and attacking play. They’ve managed to keep two clean sheets, demonstrating sporadic defensive solidity. However, their home form has been less impressive, with just one win in their last five games, contributing to a home win ratio of 20%.

São Paulo currently sit 9th in the league, with 45 points accumulated this season. They have a win ratio of 35% over the course of the season, reflecting consistency issues in their performances. Their top scorer, Luciano Neves, has been pivotal, netting 8 goals this season and accounting for a significant share of their attacking output.

Defensively, São Paulo have conceded an average of 1.15 goals per game this season, a statistic they will need to improve upon to climb higher in the league standings. The team has shown resilience with 11 clean sheets over the season, yet their inability to maintain consistent winning streaks suggests a need for tactical adjustments.

• LLDWW

São Paulo Suspensions & Injuries

São Paulo face a challenging situation with numerous injuries impacting key players. Jonathan Calleri, Ryan Francisco, and André Silva are all ruled out for the season with cruciate ligament injuries, leaving a significant gap in their attacking options. The absence of Lucas Moura due to a knee injury further compounds this issue, reducing the team’s offensive firepower. In midfield and defence, players such as Luan Santos, Wendell, and Marcos Antonio are sidelined until early December, which could force Hernán Crespo to rely on less experienced squad members or adjust his tactical approach.

Player	Suspension	Matches Remaining	Expected Return
Alisson	Yellow cards	1	Unknown

Alisson’s suspension due to an accumulation of yellow cards adds to São Paulo’s woes, as his presence in midfield has been pivotal. With him missing a crucial match, Crespo might turn to Patryck or Luiz Gustavo to fill the void. The tactical impact of these absences could see São Paulo adopting a more conservative approach, focusing on defensive solidity to compensate for the lack of attacking depth.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Jonathan Calleri	Cruciate ligament injury	Out for season
Ryan Francisco	Cruciate ligament injury	Out for season
André Silva	Cruciate ligament injury	Out for season
Luan Santos	Thigh injury	Early December 2025
Wendell	Foot injury	Early December 2025
Juan Dinenno	Knee injury	Early December 2025
Rodriguinho	Knee injury	Early December 2025
Marcos Antonio	Thigh injury	Early December 2025
Oscar	Heart problems	Early December 2025
Enzo Díaz	Hernia	Out for season
Lucas Moura	Knee injury	Out for season
Robert Arboleda	Thigh injury	Early December 2025
Rafael Toloi	Thigh injury	Early December 2025

These injuries and suspension are likely to influence the betting markets, as São Paulo’s chances against Juventude appear diminished without their key players. Bettors might see value in backing the away side or exploring markets that anticipate a low-scoring affair, given the potential for a defensive setup by Crespo’s men.

São Paulo Key Players

Luciano Neves stands out as São Paulo’s top scorer with eight goals this season. His role as a forward is pivotal, providing not just goals but also linking play effectively with the midfield. Luciano’s knack for finding space and clinical finishing make him a constant threat to Juventude’s defence. Alongside him, Aldemir Ferreira complements the attack with his agility and pace, potentially stretching the opposition backline.

Pablo Maia and Luiz Gustavo are instrumental in midfield, offering a blend of defensive solidity and creative support. Their ability to control the tempo and distribute the ball efficiently will be crucial in São Paulo’s tactical setup. In defence, the trio of Nahuel Ferraresi, Alan Franco, and Sabino offers resilience and aerial strength, aiming to keep Juventude’s forwards at bay.

Expected lineup for São Paulo:

• Goalkeeper: Rafael
• Defenders: Nahuel Ferraresi, Alan Franco, Sabino
• Midfielders: Cedric Soares, Damián Bobadilla, Luiz Gustavo, Pablo Maia, Patryck
• Forwards: Luciano, Aldemir Ferreira

São Paulo Tactics and Formation

São Paulo Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-1-2
• Key Forward: Luciano Neves
• Midfield Pivot: Pablo Maia and Luiz Gustavo
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five matches
• Notable Strategy: Strong wing play and counter-attacking prowess.

São Paulo’s 3-4-1-2 formation, orchestrated by Hernán Crespo, is designed to maximise width and pace on the flanks. In recent matches, the defensive trio of Rafael Toloi, Alan Franco, and Sabino has provided a solid backline, contributing to two clean sheets in the last five games.

Offensively, Luciano Neves remains a pivotal figure, leading the attack with eight goals this season. The midfield, anchored by Pablo Maia and Luiz Gustavo, balances defensive responsibilities with creative transitions. Alisson, playing in the attacking midfield role, is crucial for linking play and supporting the forwards.

São Paulo’s strategy often involves exploiting the wings, with Cedric Soares and Patryck providing width. The team’s ability to counter-attack swiftly is a notable strength, although recent performances show a need to improve defensive solidity, as they have conceded six goals in the last five outings.

Juventude Analysis & Past Performance

Juventude’s recent form has been a mix of resilience and inconsistency. Over their last five matches, they have secured two wins, one draw, and suffered two losses, reflecting a win ratio of 40%. Notably, their away performance has been slightly better, with two consecutive victories, including a notable 3-1 triumph over Vasco da Gama.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Juventude	Cruzeiro	3 – 3 (Draw)	Serie A	20 Nov 2025
Vasco da Gama	Juventude	1 – 3 (Win)	Serie A	8 Nov 2025
Sport Recife	Juventude	0 – 2 (Win)	Serie A	5 Nov 2025
Juventude	Palmeiras	0 – 2 (Loss)	Serie A	2 Nov 2025
Gremio	Juventude	3 – 1 (Loss)	Serie A	26 Oct 2025

Recent Form:
Juventude have managed to score an average of 1.80 goals per game in their last five outings, while conceding the same number, indicating an evenly matched offensive and defensive record. They have demonstrated a capacity to score, finding the net in four out of their last five games, with only one clean sheet recorded during this period, suggesting room for improvement in defensive solidity.

Despite their current position near the bottom of the table, ranked 19th with 33 points, Juventude’s recent away form could offer a glimmer of hope. Their overall season statistics reveal a struggle, having only won 9 out of 34 matches, with a goals conceded average of 1.82 per game. Key player Bill has been instrumental, contributing 7 goals, accounting for 22% of the team’s scoring efforts.

• DWWLL

Juventude Suspensions & Injuries

Juventude face a challenging fixture against São Paulo with several key players sidelined due to injuries and suspensions. The absence of Alan Ruschel and Nenê, both suspended due to yellow card accumulations, will force coach Thiago Carpini to reassess his lineup options, especially in midfield where Nenê’s creative influence has been pivotal.

Player	Suspension	Matches Remaining	Expected Return
Alan Ruschel	Yellow cards	1	Unknown
Nenê	Yellow cards	1	Unknown

Injuries compound the team’s woes with Nata and Emerson Galego out until early December due to thigh and ankle injuries, respectively. Gilberto Oliveira’s season-ending thigh injury further depletes defensive options, while Wilker Ángel remains doubtful, potentially stretching the squad’s depth even further.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Nata	Thigh injury	Early December 2025
Emerson Galego	Ankle injury	Early December 2025
Gilberto Oliveira	Thigh injury	Out for season
Wilker Ángel	Thigh injury	Doubtful

Without these key players, Juventude may need to adopt a more conservative approach, perhaps shifting to a defensive setup to mitigate the absence of creative and defensive stalwarts. The lack of depth could influence betting markets, as Juventude’s chances might be perceived to diminish without their full-strength squad.

Juventude Key Players

Juventude will rely heavily on their top scorer, Bill, who has found the net seven times this season. As a forward, Bill’s ability to exploit defensive gaps and his clinical finishing make him a constant threat in the opposition’s penalty area. His partnership with Gabriel Taliari up front could be pivotal, as Taliari’s agility complements Bill’s physicality, potentially overwhelming São Paulo’s defence.

In midfield, Jadson and Luis Mandaca are the orchestrators, with Jadson’s vision and passing range providing the creative spark Juventude need to break down defences. Meanwhile, Mandaca’s work rate and defensive contributions offer the team balance, ensuring solidity in the middle of the park. Defensively, the experience of Marcos Paulo and Marcelo Hermes will be crucial in containing São Paulo’s attacking threats, with their ability to read the game and intercept plays being vital.

Expected lineup for Juventude

• Goalkeeper: Jandrei
• Defenders: Igor Formiga, Luan Freitas, Marcos Paulo, Marcelo Hermes
• Midfielders: Caique Gonçalves, Jadson, Luis Mandaca, Daniel Peixoto
• Forwards: Rafael Bilu, Gabriel Taliari

Juventude Tactics and Formation

Juventude Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Nenê
• Midfield Core: Jadson, Mandaca, Igor Marques
• Defensive Concern: Only one clean sheet in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on counterattacks and exploiting spaces.

Juventude often deploy a 4-3-3 formation aimed at maximising their attacking potential. With Nenê leading the line, supported by Rafael Bilu and Bill on the wings, the team focuses on quick transitions from defence to attack. The midfield, comprising Jadson, Mandaca, and Igor Marques, is tasked with breaking up opposition play and launching counterattacks.

Defensively, Juventude have struggled to maintain solidity, conceding nine goals in their last five matches. The backline, led by Luan Freitas and Caique, has faced challenges in maintaining clean sheets, highlighting vulnerabilities, particularly in dealing with aerial threats and set-pieces.

Offensively, Juventude’s strategy revolves around exploiting spaces left by opponents, often relying on the pace of their wingers to stretch the opposition. Despite their defensive frailties, they have shown resilience in attack, scoring in four of their last five outings.

São Paulo vs Juventude H2H Record

São Paulo and Juventude have faced off 23 times, with São Paulo leading the head-to-head record with 11 wins compared to Juventude’s 5, and 7 matches ending in draws. The last time these two met, São Paulo clinched a narrow 1-0 victory away at Juventude in a Serie A clash.

In Serie A encounters, São Paulo have been the more dominant side, consistently outperforming Juventude. Their recent form in the league suggests they might have the upper hand again, especially considering their solid home performances.

Home Side	Away Side	Score	Tournament	Date
Juventude	São Paulo	0 – 1	Serie A	2025-07-24
São Paulo	Juventude	1 – 2	Serie A	2024-12-04
Juventude	São Paulo	0 – 0	Serie A	2024-07-21
Juventude	São Paulo	1 – 2	Serie A	2022-10-23
São Paulo	Juventude	2 – 0	Cup	2022-05-12