Vitoria vs. Juventude Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 16 August 2025

In this crucial Serie A matchup, Vitoria hosts Juventude on 16 August 2025 at 22:30. Both teams are fighting to avoid relegation, with Vitoria sitting in 16th place on 18 points and Juventude in 19th with 14 points. Vitoria comes in as the bookmaker’s favourite with odds of 1.69 to win, partly due to their solid home form where they have scored in 78% of their matches.

Juventude, on the other hand, have struggled mightily on the road, not securing a single point away from home this season. Their defensive frailties have also been a major issue, having conceded an average of 2.1 goals per game. Recent form suggests a tight, low-scoring affair, with both teams averaging less than two goals per game in their last five matches.

Our recommended bet is for a draw, given Vitoria’s tendency to end their recent matches level and Juventude’s improved performance in their last game against Corinthians.

While this may not be the top of the table clash, it represents a vital battle in the narrative of the relegation struggle, impacting the clubs’ seasons significantly.

Vitoria vs Juventude Prediction & Betting Tip

Vitoria vs Juventude Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Draw	3.53

Recommended bet: Draw

1. Vitoria’s Draw Tendency: Vitoria has drawn 3 out of their last 5 matches, suggesting they often share points.
2. Low Scoring Rates: Both teams average less than two goals per game in their recent matches, hinting at a tight, low-scoring encounter.
3. Juventude’s Away Struggles: Despite a win against Corinthians, Juventude has a poor away record, after consistently failing to secure points on the road.

In this context, a draw emerges as the most balanced and probable outcome.

Vitoria vs Juventude Odds

This matchup between Vitoria and Juventude is crucial for both teams in their fight to avoid relegation. The bookmakers have pegged Vitoria as the favourites to win, given their slightly better position and home advantage. However, Juventude’s recent unexpected win against Corinthians indicates that they might not be a pushover.

Vitoria vs Juventude Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Vitoria to win	1.69
Draw	3.53
Juventude to win	5.10

The considerable gap between the odds reflects Vitoria’s stronger home form and Juventude’s dismal away record, having failed to secure a single point on the road this season. Coupled with Juventude’s defensive struggles, the odds lean heavily towards a home win or a draw.

Given these dynamics, it’s evident why Vitoria is favoured, but the possibility of a draw should not be dismissed lightly.

Vitoria Team Analysis

Vitoria Recent Performance

Vitoria’s recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five matches yielding one win, three draws, and one loss. Their most recent game ended in a 2-0 defeat to Sao Paulo. However, they managed to hold Palmeiras and Sport Recife to entertaining 2-2 draws and took a point from Mirassol in a 1-1 stalemate. Their solo victory came against Red Bull Bragantino, showcasing their ability to clinch crucial points.

Recent Form: WDDDL

Vitoria has been averaging 1.20 goals per game in their last five matches, and they’ve managed to keep only one clean sheet during this spell. Defensive frailties have been a concern, mirrored in their current standing at 16th place with 18 points. However, their resilience at home, where they’ve scored in 78% of matches, provides a silver lining.

In conclusion, Vitoria’s lack of consistency is evident, but their ability to grind out points, especially at home, keeps their survival hopes alive.

Vitoria Key Players

Vitoria’s hopes heavily rest on the shoulders of their top scorer, Renato Kayzer, who has netted 5 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net could be crucial in breaking down Juventude’s shaky defense.

Midfielders like Romarinho and Ricardo Ryller will be essential in controlling the tempo of the game and providing vital support to Kayzer. Romarinho has shown glimpses of brilliance in linking the play between defense and attack.

However, Vitoria faces significant absences with Ronald and Ze Marcos suspended. They will need replacements to step up, particularly in breaking down Juventude’s midfield.

Expected lineup for Vitoria:

• Goalkeeper: Lucas Arcanjo
• Defenders: Edu, Lucas Halter, Neris, Ramon
• Midfielders: Ricardo Ryller, Ruben Rodrigues, Romarinho, Osvaldo Filho
• Attackers: Erick, Renato Kayzer

With talent spread evenly across the field, Vitoria’s key players need to deliver if they are to secure a vital win.

Vitoria Suspensions & Injuries

Vitoria faces a challenging situation with several key players sidelined. Ronald and Ze Marcos will miss this match due to suspension. These absences disrupt the midfield and defensive stability, putting extra pressure on replacements to perform.

Additionally, Vitoria’s injury list is lengthy. Kauan and Jamerson are both out with broken ankles, reducing options for defensive cover. Matheuzinho is battling illness but could return in 1-2 weeks. Raúl Cáceres faces a muscle injury and won’t be available for a few weeks. Claudinho and Willian Oliveira are dealing with sprained ankles and might be back in late August. Rúben Ramos Ismael’s knee surgery keeps him out until late September, while Gabriel Baralhas’ return is expected in late August.

These absences could impact Vitoria’s cohesion, requiring coach Fábio Carille to make tactical adjustments.

Vitoria Tactics and Formation

Vitoria operates primarily in a 4-2-3-1 formation under coach Fábio Carille. This setup allows for a solid defensive base while providing flexibility in attack.

Vitoria Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Renato Kayzer, the team’s top scorer with 5 goals.
• Midfield Setup: Ricardo Ryller and Ruben Rodrigues as the defensive midfielders, with Romarinho playing an advanced role to link play and support the attack.
• Defensive Strategy: The team has managed only one clean sheet in their last five games, indicating room for improvement.
• Notable Strategy: Vitoria has a tendency to score in the final third of the match, particularly between the 46th-60th, 61st-75th, and 76th-90th minute intervals.

Expected lineup for Vitoria:

• Goalkeeper: Lucas Arcanjo
• Defenders: Edu, Lucas Halter, Neris, Ramon
• Midfielders: Ricardo Ryller, Ruben Rodrigues, Romarinho, Osvaldo Filho
• Attackers: Erick, Renato Kayzer

This formation and tactics aim to exploit Juventude’s defensive weaknesses and secure vital points.

Juventude Team Analysis

Juventude Recent Performance

Juventude has had a miserable run in their last five matches, posting four losses and just one win. Their recent form (LLLLW) includes a heavy 4-0 loss to Cruzeiro and back-to-back defeats to Bahia and Santos. However, they managed to pull off a surprising 2-1 victory over Corinthians, breaking their dismal streak.

Recent Form: LLLLW

Juventude’s attack has been lacklustre, averaging only 0.60 goals per game in their last five outings. Defensively, they have struggled significantly, unable to keep a single clean sheet during the same period. Their concession rate stands at 2.1 goals per game this season, underlining their defensive woes.

This poor form and their position in the relegation zone, with only 14 points, make their task immensely difficult as they prepare to face Vitoria.

Juventude Key Players

Juventude will look to their top scorer, Bill, who has netted 3 goals this season, to lead their attack against Vitoria. His performance will be critical in a game where goals might be scarce. Midfielders like Caique and Jadson will play crucial roles in both defensive duties and initiating counterattacks.

Goalkeeper Gustavo will need to be at his best to keep out Vitoria’s forwards, especially during the peak scoring intervals identified in Vitoria’s play. Defenders Reginaldo and Wilker Angel will be tasked with the tough job of containing Vitoria’s front line.

Expected lineup for Juventude:

• Goalkeeper: Gustavo
• Defenders: Reginaldo, Wilker Angel, Marcos Paulo, Marcelo Hermes
• Midfielders: Caique Gonçalves, Jadson, Luis Mandaca, Gabriel Veron, Gabriel Taliari
• Attackers: Gilberto Oliveira

Juventude’s key players will need to step up considerably if they hope to secure a positive result in this crucial match.

Juventude Suspensions & Injuries

Juventude will be dealing with several absences in their squad for this match, which could significantly impact their performance. Matheus Babi and Daniel Giraldo are suspended, which will add pressure on their midfield and attacking options.

On the injury front, Juventude has Rodrigo Sam (groin injury), Rafael Bilu (knee injury), Ewerthon (unknown), and Lucas Fernandes (muscle injury) all sidelined. Most of these players are expected to resume training by late August, but they’ll still miss this crucial tie against Vitoria.

These absences will force coach Thiago Carpini to rely heavily on his available squad, making their task even more challenging against a Vitoria side looking to capitalize on home advantage.

Juventude Tactics and Formation

Juventude typically lines up in a 4-3-3 formation under coach Thiago Carpini, aiming for a balanced approach between defense and attack.

Juventude Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Bill, the top scorer with 3 goals this season.
• Midfield Trio: Caique Gonçalves, Jadson, and Luis Mandaca, tasked with both shielding the defense and supporting the attack.
• Defensive Concerns: With no clean sheets in their last five games, their backline will need to tighten up significantly.
• Notable Strategy: Often relying on counterattacks and quick transitions, especially through the wings, where Gabriel Veron and Gabriel Taliari can utilise their speed.

Expected lineup for Juventude:

• Goalkeeper: Gustavo
• Defenders: Reginaldo, Wilker Angel, Marcos Paulo, Marcelo Hermes
• Midfielders: Caique Gonçalves, Jadson, Luis Mandaca
• Attackers: Gabriel Veron, Gilberto Oliveira, Gabriel Taliari

With their significant defensive weaknesses, Juventude will need to focus on a disciplined and robust approach to stand a chance against Vitoria.

Vitoria vs Juventude Head-to-Head Statistics

The head-to-head record between Vitoria and Juventude reflects a closely fought rivalry. Over their last five encounters, results have been evenly split. Juventude secured victories in two matches: a 2-0 win earlier in 2025 and a narrow 1-0 triumph in July 2023 during Serie B. On the other hand, Vitoria managed a 1-0 win in their home game in September 2024. The remaining two fixtures ended in draws, 1-1 in June 2024 and 0-0 in October 2023.

Last 5 Meetings:

1. 2025-03-29: Juventude 2-0 Vitoria (Serie A)
2. 2024-09-21: Vitoria 1-0 Juventude (Serie A)
3. 2024-06-11: Juventude 1-1 Vitoria (Serie A)
4. 2023-10-29: Vitoria 0-0 Juventude (Serie B)
5. 2023-07-02: Juventude 1-0 Vitoria (Serie B)

These recent encounters suggest a competitive match-up, with each team capable of pulling off a result. Given their current standings and form, a close contest is expected.

Odds accurate as of 14 August 2025 at 10:34 PM, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.