Lecce vs Lazio Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, Saturday, 24 January

Lecce vs Lazio Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips: This Saturday, 24 January, Serie A action brings us an intriguing clash between Lecce and Lazio at the Stadio Ettore Giardiniero – Via del Mare. Both teams are looking to secure crucial points as they navigate the competitive landscape of Italy’s top-flight league. With Lecce playing at home, they will aim to capitalise on familiar surroundings to challenge Lazio, who have been a formidable force in the league.

The significance of this matchup lies in the contrasting positions and ambitions of the two teams. Lecce, battling to climb the table, will need to leverage their home advantage against a Lazio side that consistently aims for a top-tier finish. The outcome of this encounter could have substantial implications for both teams’ standings in Serie A, making it a match worth watching for fans and bettors alike.

Lecce vs Lazio Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Draw – Lecce (+1) (EH)	3.55

Given Lecce’s current form and Lazio’s inconsistent performances this season, the best betting tip is for Lazio to win by exactly one goal. This outcome aligns well with the European Handicap 1-0 Draw, suggesting a narrow victory for Lazio despite their struggles this season.

• Lecce have lost their last four games and are struggling defensively, conceding 1.3 goals on average this season.
• Lazio, while not in top form, have managed to remain unbeaten in their last three away games, showing resilience.
• Lecce’s recent home defeats and Lazio’s potential to create chances make a narrow win for Lazio a feasible outcome.

Betting Odds

Lecce are set to host Lazio in what promises to be an intriguing Serie A clash. The betting odds favour Lazio, with the visitors priced at 2.11, reflecting their stronger form this season. However, Lecce’s odds at 3.92 suggest there is potential value for those backing the underdogs, especially considering their home advantage.

Betting Tip	Odds
Lecce to Win	3.92
Draw	3.02
Lazio to Win	2.11

The draw is priced at 3.02, indicating that bookmakers anticipate a closely contested match. For punters, exploring markets such as both teams to score or over 2.5 goals could be worthwhile, given the attacking capabilities on display.

Lecce Analysis & Past Performance

Lecce’s recent form in Serie A has been challenging, with the team currently positioned 18th in the league. Their last five matches reveal a concerning trend, having secured only one draw against Juventus (1-1) and suffering four consecutive defeats, including narrow losses to AC Milan (0-1) and Inter (0-1). This stretch underscores the team’s difficulties in converting performances into points.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
AC Milan	Lecce	1 – 0 (Loss)	Serie A	18 Jan 2026
Inter	Lecce	1 – 0 (Loss)	Serie A	14 Jan 2026
Lecce	Parma Calcio 1913	1 – 2 (Loss)	Serie A	11 Jan 2026
Lecce	Roma	0 – 2 (Loss)	Serie A	6 Jan 2026
Juventus	Lecce	1 – 1 (Draw)	Serie A	3 Jan 2026

Recent Form:
Offensively, Lecce have struggled, averaging just 0.40 goals per match over their last five fixtures, highlighting a pressing need for improvement in front of goal. Defensively, they have conceded an average of 1.40 goals per game during the same period and failed to keep any clean sheets, indicating vulnerabilities at the back. Additionally, their home form has seen them win only 2 of their last 10 home games, with a win ratio of 20%. This lack of home advantage is a critical factor in their current league standing.

Performance Analysis:

• LLLLD

A key area of concern for Lecce is their inability to capitalise on possession, as evidenced by a mere 32% possession in their recent match against AC Milan. Their attacking output has been limited, managing only three shots in that particular game. Nikola Štulić remains their top scorer with just two goals this season, further emphasising the need for more attacking contributions from the squad.

Lecce Suspensions & Injuries

Lecce face a few challenges ahead of their clash with Lazio, primarily due to the unavailability of key players. The suspension of Kialonda Gaspar due to a red card leaves a gap in the defensive lineup, with one match remaining on his ban. This could prompt coach Eusebio Di Francesco to rely on Jamil Siebert to maintain solidity in defence, though Gaspar’s absence might be felt in terms of leadership and experience.

Player	Ban	Matches Left	Expected Return
Kialonda Gaspar	Red card	1	Unknown

On the injury front, Lecce are dealing with the absence of Balthazar Pierret, Medon Berisha, and Francesco Camarda. Pierret’s back injury leaves his return doubtful, which may impact midfield depth. Berisha and Camarda are both expected back in early February, but their current absence could affect Lecce’s attacking versatility and options off the bench.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Balthazar Pierret	Back injury	Doubtful
Medon Berisha	Knee injury	Early February 2026
Francesco Camarda	Shoulder injury	Early February 2026

These absences might necessitate tactical adjustments, possibly shifting focus towards a more conservative approach to mitigate the impact of missing players. The lack of key figures could influence betting markets, with potential implications on Lecce’s chances against a formidable Lazio side, as they seek to adapt and overcome these limitations.

Lecce Key Players

Lecce’s attacking prowess will heavily rely on their top scorer, Nikola Štulić, who has netted two goals this season. Štulić, playing in the forward line, is known for his clinical finishing and ability to exploit defensive gaps, making him a constant threat to Lazio’s backline. His partnership with Santiago Pierotti and Riccardo Sottil in attack could be pivotal in breaking down Lazio’s defence.

In midfield, Omri Gandelman and Ylber Ramadani are expected to play crucial roles. Gandelman’s vision and passing range allow Lecce to transition quickly from defence to attack, while Ramadani’s tenacity provides a solid defensive shield. Lassana Coulibaly’s box-to-box capabilities add further dynamism to the midfield.

Expected lineup for Lecce

• Goalkeeper: Wladimiro Falcone
• Defence: Corrie Ndaba, Antonino Gallo, Tiago Gabriel, Jamil Siebert
• Midfield: Omri Gandelman, Ylber Ramadani, Lassana Coulibaly
• Forward: Santiago Pierotti, Nikola Štulić, Riccardo Sottil

Defensively, the presence of Jamil Siebert and Corrie Ndaba will be vital. Siebert’s aerial dominance and Ndaba’s tackling abilities are key to thwarting Lazio’s attacking threats. Lecce’s tactical approach will likely focus on maintaining a solid defensive structure while exploiting counter-attacking opportunities through their key players.

Lecce Tactics and Formation

Lecce Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Nikola Štulić
• Midfield Dynamics: Omri Gandelman, Ylber Ramadani, and Lassana Coulibaly
• Defensive Structure: No clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Compact defensive lines and counter-attacking play.

Lecce’s 4-3-3 formation under Eusebio Di Francesco emphasises compactness in defence and quick transitions into attack. The midfield trio of Omri Gandelman, Ylber Ramadani, and Lassana Coulibaly are tasked with breaking up opposition play and launching counters, leveraging their physicality and work rate.

Defensively, the back four of Corrie Ndaba, Antonino Gallo, Tiago Gabriel, and Jamil Siebert have struggled to maintain clean sheets, highlighting vulnerabilities that Lazio might exploit. The absence of significant defensive depth has contributed to their recent form, where they have conceded in every match.

Offensively, Lecce rely on the pace and movement of their front three, with Nikola Štulić being the focal point. Despite their goal-scoring struggles, the team’s strategy involves exploiting spaces left by pressing opponents, aiming to catch them off guard with swift counter-attacks.

Lazio Analysis & Past Performance

Lazio’s recent form has been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five Serie A matches. They suffered defeats against Como (0-3) and SSC Napoli (0-2), while managing a victory over Verona (1-0) and draws against Fiorentina (2-2) and Udinese (1-1). This mixed bag of results reflects some volatility in their performances, as they struggle to maintain momentum.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Lazio	Como	0 – 3 (Loss)	Serie A	19 Jan 2026
Verona	Lazio	0 – 1 (Win)	Serie A	11 Jan 2026
Lazio	Fiorentina	2 – 2 (Draw)	Serie A	7 Jan 2026
Lazio	SSC Napoli	0 – 2 (Loss)	Serie A	4 Jan 2026
Udinese	Lazio	1 – 1 (Draw)	Serie A	27 Dec 2025

Recent Form:

• LWDLD

The team’s offensive output has been underwhelming, with an average of 0.80 goals per game over their last five fixtures, while conceding 1.60 goals on average. Defensively, they’ve only managed one clean sheet, highlighting vulnerabilities at the back. However, their away form shows slightly more resilience with a win ratio of 40% from their last five away matches, suggesting they are more adept on the road. Despite being ninth in the league standings with 28 points, Lazio’s lack of scoring punch and defensive frailties pose significant challenges they must address to climb higher.

Lazio Suspensions & Injuries

Lazio face significant challenges with the suspension of key defender Alessio Romagnoli due to an accumulation of yellow cards. His absence will necessitate a reshuffle in the backline, potentially bringing in a less experienced defender, which could affect Lazio’s defensive solidity. Danilo Cataldi is also suspended, leaving a gap in midfield that Nicolò Rovella or another squad member must fill. These suspensions could force Lazio to adopt a more cautious approach, focusing on maintaining a solid structure to compensate for the missing experience.

Player	Suspension	Matches Remaining	Expected Return
Alessio Romagnoli	Yellow cards	1	Unknown
Danilo Cataldi	Yellow cards	1	Unknown

Injuries further compound Lazio’s selection headaches, with Patric and Matías Vecino both sidelined due to muscle injuries. Patric’s absence in defence, combined with Romagnoli’s suspension, puts a strain on defensive options. Vecino’s doubtful status might push Maurizio Sarri to rely more heavily on his available midfielders, potentially altering the team’s dynamic and tactical setup. These injuries and suspensions could influence Lazio’s performance and betting odds, as they may struggle to field their strongest lineup.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Samuel Gigot	Muscle injury	Unknown
Patric	Muscle injury	Early February 2026
Toma Bašić	Muscle injury	Unknown
Matías Vecino	Muscle injury	Doubtful

Lazio Key Players

For Lazio, Mattia Zaccagni emerges as their top scorer with three goals, an impressive feat that underscores his importance in the forward line. His sharp instincts and ability to exploit spaces make him a constant threat to Lecce’s defence. Zaccagni’s partnership with Matteo Cancellieri and Petar Ratkov in the forward trio is crucial, providing both pace and creativity in attack. This dynamic could be pivotal in breaking down Lecce’s defensive lines.

In midfield, Nicolò Rovella’s playmaking abilities are essential for Lazio’s tactical setup. His vision and passing range help transition the ball from defence to attack, making him a linchpin in their strategy. Defensively, the presence of Adam Marušić in the backline offers stability, with his experience and tactical awareness key in thwarting Lecce’s offensive efforts.

Expected lineup for Lazio:

• Goalkeeper: Ivan Provedel
• Defence: Mario Gila, Alessio Romagnoli, Luca Pellegrini, Adam Marušić
• Midfield: Reda Belahyane, Nicolò Rovella, Kenneth Taylor
• Forward: Matteo Cancellieri, Petar Ratkov, Mattia Zaccagni

Lazio Tactics and Formation

Lazio Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Mattia Zaccagni
• Midfield Pivot: Nicolò Rovella and Kenneth Taylor
• Defensive Weakness: Conceded eight goals in the last five matches
• Notable Strategy: High pressing with focus on wing play.

Lazio’s 4-3-3 formation under Maurizio Sarri is designed to maximise offensive width and quick transitions. With Nicolò Rovella replacing Danilo Cataldi in midfield, alongside Kenneth Taylor, Lazio aim to maintain control and creativity from the centre, facilitating attacks through the flanks.

Offensively, Mattia Zaccagni, as the top scorer, plays a pivotal role in leading the frontline supported by Matteo Cancellieri and Petar Ratkov. The attacking trio’s pace and agility are crucial in exploiting defensive gaps, especially during high pressing phases.

Defensively, Lazio’s backline, featuring Alessio Romagnoli and Luca Pellegrini, has struggled recently, conceding eight goals in their last five games. This highlights vulnerabilities that Lecce could exploit, particularly if Lazio’s midfield fails to shield the defence effectively.

Lecce vs Lazio Head-to-Head Record

In their head-to-head record, Lazio have the upper hand with 14 wins compared to Lecce’s seven, alongside five draws. The last meeting saw Lazio secure a 2-0 victory at home in Serie A, showcasing their dominance in recent encounters.

When Lecce hosted Lazio last, they suffered a narrow 1-2 defeat in December 2024. However, Lecce did manage a 2-1 home win in August 2023, indicating they can surprise Lazio on their day.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Lazio	Lecce	2 – 0	Serie A	2025-11-23
Lazio	Lecce	0 – 1	Serie A	2025-05-25
Lecce	Lazio	1 – 2	Serie A	2024-12-21
Lazio	Lecce	1 – 0	Serie A	2024-01-14
Lecce	Lazio	2 – 1	Serie A	2023-08-20