Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913 Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 28 April 2025 - bettingexpert
This upcoming Serie A clash between Lazio and Parma Calcio 1913 promises to be an intriguing encounter. Scheduled for 28 April 2025 at 19:45 at Stadio Olimpico in Rome, this match holds significant implications for both teams.
Lazio, currently sitting in 6th place with 59 points, is vying for a spot in European competitions and will look to continue their strong form. Parma, positioned at 15th with 31 points, is keen to avoid the relegation zone and will be fighting for every possible point.
Referee Gabriele Sacchi will oversee the match, ensuring fair play amidst the high stakes.
Lazio recently secured a 2-0 victory against Genoa, benefiting from an early red card to their opponents. Parma, on the other hand, pulled off a surprising 1-0 win against Juventus, showcasing their resilience.
In terms of form, both teams have been strong defensively, with Lazio keeping 2 clean sheets and Parma 3 in their last five games. Considering both teams’ defensive records and recent results, a draw seems to be the most likely outcome.
Our match tip: Go for a draw, given both teams’ unbeaten runs and defensive solidity.
Lazio vs Parma Calcio 1913 Prediction & Betting Tip
Considering both teams’ recent performances and defensive solidity, a draw seems like a strong prediction for this match. Both Lazio and Parma have been difficult to beat, with each team on unbeaten streaks in their last five games. While Lazio enjoys a higher league position and home advantage, Parma has shown resilience against tough opponents.
| Lazio vs Parma Calcio 1913 Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Draw | 4.32 |
- Both teams are on unbeaten runs in their last five matches.
- Parma has been particularly draw-happy recently.
- Lazio’s recent home matches have often ended in draws.
Given these points, betting on a draw could offer good value for this fixture.
Lazio vs Parma Calcio 1913 Odds
Understanding the odds can be quite beneficial for those looking to place a bet on this upcoming Serie A clash at Stadio Olimpico.
| Lazio vs Parma Calcio 1913 Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Lazio | 1.51 |
| Draw | 4.32 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 | 6.02 |
Lazio is the bookmakers’ favorite, which isn’t surprising given their higher league position and home advantage.
Parma, though the underdog, has shown some resilience lately, making a draw a tempting option with odds of 4.32.
Parma’s odds of 6.02 reflect the challenge they face in securing an away win against a strong Lazio side.
Lazio Team Analysis
Lazio Recent Performance
Lazio has demonstrated solid form in their last five matches, earning three wins, one draw, and one loss. Here are their recent results:
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | Lazio | 2025-04-23 | Serie A | 0-2 (Win) |
| Lazio | Bodoe/Glimt | 2025-04-17 | Europa League | 2-0 (Loss on penalties) |
| Lazio | Roma | 2025-04-13 | Serie A | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Bodoe/Glimt | Lazio | 2025-04-10 | Europa League | 2-0 (Loss) |
| Atalanta | Lazio | 2025-04-06 | Serie A | 0-1 (Win) |
Recent Form: WLDWW
With an average of 1.80 goals scored per game and 2 clean sheets in their last five outings, Lazio is a team with both defensive solidity and attacking prowess. Their ability to score and avoid conceding will be key against Parma.
Upcoming matches and tight schedules have impacted their preparations, yet recent performances suggest that Lazio’s head coach, Marco Baroni, has managed to maintain a competitive edge within the team.
Lazio Key Players
Lazio’s key players for the upcoming clash against Parma Calcio 1913 prominently feature their offensive and defensive mainstays.
Valentín Castellanos is expected to lead the front line. As the team’s top scorer with 10 goals, his goal-scoring prowess will be critical.
In the midfield, Nicolo Rovella stands out not only for his defensive duties but also for his role in transition play, helping Lazio dominate possession and create chances. Rovella’s recent call-up to the Italian national team highlights his impressive form.
On the defensive end, Alessio Romagnoli will be pivotal in maintaining Lazio’s defensive integrity. With Christos Mandas between the posts, Lazio fans can expect a solid last line of defence.
Expected lineup for Lazio:
- Goalkeeper: Christos Mandas
- Defenders: Adam Marusic, Mario Gila, Alessio Romagnoli, Luca Pellegrini
- Midfielders: Matteo Guendouzi, Nicolo Rovella, Tijjani Noslin, Boulaye Dia, Mattia Zaccagni
- Forward: Valentín Castellanos
Look out for the individual battle between Castellanos and Parma’s defenders, which could be key to Lazio securing all three points.
Lazio Suspensions & Injuries
Lazio will face a few challenges in terms of player availability due to injuries and a suspension.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Patric | Ankle injury | Early June 2025 |
| Nuno Tavares | Muscle injury | Early May 2025 |
| Manuel Lazzari | Physical discomfort | Doubtful |
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Reda Belahyane | Red card | Banned for 1 match |
The absence of key defenders like Patric and Nuno Tavares could impact Lazio’s defensive stability, though Tavares might make an early comeback. Lazzari’s doubtful status adds to the defensive concerns. Belahyane’s suspension will further thin out their backline for this crucial match against Parma. These challenges mean coach Marco Baroni needs to manage his squad carefully and potentially adjust his tactics to maintain a solid defensive setup.
Lazio Tactics and Formation
Lazio Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: Expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation.
- Key Forward: Valentín Castellanos, who has netted 10 goals so far this season.
- Key Playmaker: Boulaye Dia will likely assume the attacking midfielder role, contributing significantly to the team’s offensive play.
- Midfield Duo: Matteo Guendouzi and Nicolò Rovella are expected to operate in defensive midfield roles. Rovella, in particular, has been in great form and is central to Lazio’s transitions.
- Defensive Strength: Despite missing key defenders, Lazio has shown resilience at the back, keeping two clean sheets in their last five matches.
- Notable Strategy: Emphasis on wing play with Mattia Zaccagni and Tijjani Noslin providing width and attacking threat. The team likes to dominate possession and create chances through the flanks.
Lazio will need to be tactically disciplined and adapt to their injury concerns, ensuring that their backline remains robust against Parma’s counter-attacks. Coach Marco Baroni’s setup will likely focus on leveraging midfield control and pressing high when without the ball.
Parma Calcio 1913 Team Analysis
Parma Calcio 1913 Recent Performance
Parma has demonstrated a solid run of form in their last five matches, proving difficult to beat.
Recent Form: DDDDW
Despite scoring fewer goals on average (0.80 in the last 5 games), their defense has been sturdy with three clean sheets.
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 | Juventus | 2025-04-23 | Serie A | 1-0 (Win) |
| Fiorentina | Parma Calcio 1913 | 2025-04-13 | Serie A | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Parma Calcio 1913 | Inter | 2025-04-05 | Serie A | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Verona | Parma Calcio 1913 | 2025-03-31 | Serie A | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Monza | Parma Calcio 1913 | 2025-03-15 | Serie A | 1-1 (Draw) |
In their recent performances, Parma has shown resilience, grinding out results and maintaining a defensive structure under coach Cristian Chivu. This defensive solidity, combined with Ange-Yoan Bonny’s presence up front, makes them a tough side to break down.
Parma Calcio 1913 Key Players
Parma’s hopes largely revolve around the performances of their standout players. Ange-Yoan Bonny, the team’s top scorer with 6 goals, is pivotal in breaking down Lazio’s defense. Bonny’s striking partner Mateo Pellegrino will look to provide additional firepower.
Expected lineup for Parma Calcio 1913:
- Goalkeeper: Zion Suzuki
- Defenders: Giovanni Leoni, Lautaro Valenti, Alessandro Vogliacco
- Midfielders: Mandela Keita, Simon Sohm, Enrico Del Prato, Adrian Bernabe, Emanuele Valeri
- Attackers: Mateo Pellegrino, Ange-Yoan Bonny
Key individual battles on the pitch include Bonny against Lazio’s center-backs Mario Gila and Alessio Romagnoli. Additionally, Mandela Keita’s midfield tussle with Matteo Guendouzi could be decisive.
These confrontations will greatly influence the match outcome.
Parma Calcio 1913 Suspensions & Injuries
Parma is currently dealing with several key injuries, which could significantly affect their performance against Lazio.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Kowalski | Cruciate ligament injury | Out for season |
| Yordan Osorio | Muscle injury | Unknown |
| Gabriel Charpentier | Cruciate ligament injury | Out for season |
| Valentin Mihaila | Thigh injury | Doubtful |
| Adrian Benedyczak | Ankle injury | Doubtful |
| Alessandro Vogliacco | Muscle injury | Early May 2025 |
| Adrián Bernabé | Physical discomfort | Doubtful |
Injuries to key players like Mateusz Kowalski and Gabriel Charpentier, both out for the season with cruciate ligament injuries, are a big blow for Parma’s backline and attacking capabilities. Doubts over Mihaila, Benedyczak, and Bernabé add further uncertainty. Coach Cristian Chivu will need to rely heavily on the fit squad members to compensate for these absences.
Parma Calcio 1913 Tactics and Formation
Parma Calcio 1913’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: Expected to line up in a 3-5-2 formation.
- Key Forwards: Mateo Pellegrino and Ange-Yoan Bonny
- Bonny has been Parma’s top scorer with six goals this season, providing a critical attacking threat.
- Midfield Setup:
- Central Core: Mandela Keita, Simon Sohm, Hernani
- Wing Support: Emanuele Valeri (Left), Antoine Hainaut (Right)
- The midfield looks to balance defensive responsibilities with creative play to link up with the forwards.
- Defensive Strength:
- Three clean sheets in the last five games indicate a solid backline anchored by Giovanni Leoni, Lautaro Valenti, and Enrico Del Prato.
- Notable Strategy:
- Parma often aims to control the midfield with a high press, looking for quick transitions from defense to attack.
- Their wing-backs play a pivotal role both in defense and in driving forward to support the attack.
Lazio vs Parma Calcio 1913 Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 | Lazio | 2024-12-01 | Serie A | 3-1 (Win) |
| Lazio | Parma Calcio 1913 | 2021-05-12 | Serie A | 1-0 (Win) |
| Lazio | Parma Calcio 1913 | 2021-01-21 | Coppa Italia | 2-1 (Win) |
| Parma Calcio 1913 | Lazio | 2021-01-10 | Serie A | 0-2 (Loss) |
| Parma Calcio 1913 | Lazio | 2020-02-09 | Serie A | 0-1 (Loss) |
Recent head-to-head meetings have generally been in favor of Lazio. Out of the last five encounters, Lazio has emerged victorious four times.
However, Parma’s 3-1 win in their most recent match in December 2024 shows that they are capable of an upset.
With Lazio looking strong at home and Parma having shown resilience on the road, this match promises to be a fascinating contest.
Odds accurate as of 24.04.2025 19:46, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
