Real Madrid vs. Mallorca Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 14 May 2025 - bettingexpert
Real Madrid host Mallorca on May 14, 2025, at the Estadio Santiago Bernabeu, with the kick-off scheduled for 20:30. This match, part of LaLiga’s 36th round, sees Real Madrid looking to close the gap on leaders Barcelona, despite the seven-point deficit. Referee Javier Alberola will oversee the action on the pitch.
Currently second in the standings with 75 points, Real Madrid have dealt with a string of injuries, including key players Vinicius Junior and Lucas Vazquez, who will miss the game. Despite these challenges, manager Carlo Ancelotti, who is set to leave for the Brazilian national team at season’s end, will aim for a strong finish.
Mallorca sit ninth with 47 points but will need a stellar performance to overcome a formidable Real Madrid side at home. Given their recent form and Mallorca’s scoring struggles, betting on Real Madrid to win by at least two goals (-1.5 Asian Handicap) seems a promising choice.
Expect a lively contest as every match shapes the season’s narrative, even more so with Ancelotti’s departure looming.
Real Madrid vs Mallorca Prediction & Betting Tip
Our recommended betting tip for this match is to go with Real Madrid to win with a -1.5 Asian Handicap. This means Real Madrid must win by at least two goals for the bet to pay out, which aligns well with their current form and overall strength.
| Real Madrid vs Mallorca Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Real Madrid to win with -1.5 AH | 1.33 |
- Real Madrid are significantly stronger than Mallorca, with a solid second-place standing and an average of 2 goals per game in their last 5 matches.
- Vinicius Jr. is in top form, leading the scoring charts for Real Madrid. His involvement increases the likelihood of a multi-goal win.
- Mallorca struggle in the final minutes, frequently conceding late goals, while Real Madrid are strong in the 31-45 minute period, often getting a solid lead before halftime.
Real Madrid vs Mallorca Odds
With bookmakers heavily favouring a Real Madrid victory, it’s clear who the favourites are. Real Madrid’s odds to win, given their current form and strength, are quite low, reflecting their high chances of securing three points at Santiago Bernabeu.
| Real Madrid vs Mallorca Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Real Madrid | 1.33 |
| Draw | 5.32 |
| Mallorca | 8.66 |
Real Madrid are expected to dominate, and even with notable players out due to injuries, their remaining squad depth and home advantage make them the clear favourites. For those looking to place a bet, Real Madrid winning with a -1.5 Asian Handicap presents a promising option.
Real Madrid Team Analysis
Real Madrid Recent Performance
Real Madrid has had an eventful last five matches, showcasing both resilience and vulnerability. They have scored an average of 2.00 goals per game and kept 2 clean sheets along the way.
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Real Madrid | 2025-05-11 | LaLiga | 4-3 (Loss) |
| Real Madrid | Celta Vigo | 2025-05-04 | LaLiga | 3-2 (Win) |
| Barcelona | Real Madrid | 2025-04-26 | Copa del Rey | 2-2 (Extra time: 1-0, Loss) |
| Getafe | Real Madrid | 2025-04-23 | LaLiga | 0-1 (Win) |
| Real Madrid | Athletic Club | 2025-04-20 | LaLiga | 1-0 (Win) |
Despite their recent 3-4 loss to Barcelona, Real Madrid managed to win crucial games against Getafe and Athletic Club, maintaining their second position in the LaLiga standings with 75 points. However, the team is grappling with several injuries which could impact their performance against Mallorca.
Real Madrid Key Players
Kylian Mbappe is undoubtedly Real Madrid’s most vital player, having scored 27 goals this season, including a hat-trick in their recent thrilling 4-3 loss to Barcelona.
Vinicius Junior has been a key contributor with crucial assists, but he is ruled out due to a left ankle sprain, adding pressure on Mbappe to deliver.
With a defensive crisis due to injuries, Thibaut Courtois’s role becomes crucial in goalkeeping duties.
Expected lineup for Real Madrid:
- Goalkeeper: Thibaut Courtois
- Defenders: Lucas Vazquez, Raul Asencio, Jacobo Ramon, Fran García
- Midfielders: Arda Guler, Jude Bellingham, Luka Modric
- Attackers: Brahim Diaz, Kylian Mbappe, Vinicius Junior (injured)
Mbappe’s clash with Mallorca’s defense, particularly Antonio Raillo and Martin Valjent, will be pivotal for the home team.
Real Madrid Suspensions & Injuries
Real Madrid is facing a series of injuries and suspensions that could significantly impact their performance against Mallorca.
Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Carvajal | Cruciate ligament injury | Early November 2025 |
| Eder Militao | Cruciate ligament injury | Late June 2025 |
| Eduardo Camavinga | Tendon injury | Early August 2025 |
| Antonio Rüdiger | Meniscus injury | Late July 2025 |
| David Alaba | Meniscus injury | Early August 2025 |
| Ferland Mendy | Muscle injury | Early August 2025 |
| Vinicius Junior | Left ankle sprain | Unknown |
| Lucas Vazquez | Muscle injury | Unknown |
These injuries mean Real Madrid will miss out on essential players both in defense and attack. Vinicius Junior’s absence diminishes their attacking threat, while the lack of key defenders will affect their backline stability.
Suspensions
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Antonio Rüdiger | Red card | 6 matches left |
| Aurélien Tchouaméni | Yellow cards accumulation | 1 match left |
These suspensions further thin out Real Madrid’s options, particularly in defense and midfield, adding extra pressure on the remaining squad members.
Real Madrid Tactics and Formation
Real Madrid Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-3-3
- Key Forward: Kylian Mbappe
- Midfield Trio: Arda Guler, Jude Bellingham, Luka Modric
- Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games.
- Notable Strategy: Strong attack during the 31-45 minute interval.
Carlo Ancelotti will rely on a 4-3-3 formation, aiming to dominate possession and apply high pressure, especially in the midfield with the combination of Bellingham’s energy, Guler’s creativity, and Modric’s experience.
With key defensive players missing, Raul Asencio and Jacobo Ramon will be crucial in maintaining a solid backline.
Expect Mbappe to lead the attack, supported by Brahim Diaz and Vinicius Junior’s dynamic runs, though Vinicius’s availability remains doubtful.
Expect Real Madrid to control the tempo and look to capitalize on Mallorca’s defensive weaknesses, especially late in the game.
Mallorca Team Analysis
Mallorca Recent Performance
Mallorca’s recent form has been a mixed bag, with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five fixtures.
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | Real Valladolid | 2025-05-10 | LaLiga | 2-1 (Win) |
| Girona | Mallorca | 2025-05-05 | LaLiga | 1-0 (Loss) |
| Barcelona | Mallorca | 2025-04-22 | LaLiga | 1-0 (Loss) |
| Mallorca | Leganés | 2025-04-19 | LaLiga | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Real Sociedad | Mallorca | 2025-04-12 | LaLiga | 0-2 (Win) |
Mallorca has averaged 0.80 goals scored and secured two clean sheets in their last five games. Their performances indicate some defensive resilience but also reveal an attack that struggles for consistency.
Key challenges lie ahead as they face a high-caliber Real Madrid side.
Mallorca Key Players
Mallorca’s top scorer, Vedat Muriqi, will be crucial in their attacking efforts against Real Madrid. Muriqi has netted 7 goals this season and will look to make a difference up front. Sergi Darder, who has been instrumental in the midfield, brings creativity and experience, making him another key player to watch.
Expected lineup for Mallorca:
- Goalkeeper: Dominik Greif
- Defenders: Martin Valjent, Antonio Raillo, José Manuel Arias Copete
- Midfielders: Pablo Maffeo, Samú Costa, Omar Mascarell, Johan Mojica, Dani Rodriguez, Sergi Darder
- Forward: Vedat Muriqi
The midfield battle will be essential, especially with Darder and Muriqi trying to navigate past Real Madrid’s defense.
Mallorca Suspensions & Injuries
Mallorca head into this match with a few notable injuries, but no suspensions to report. Here’s a look at their injury list:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Robert Navarro | Muscle injury | Doubtful |
| Manu Morlanes | Hamstring injury | Doubtful |
| Abdon Prats Bastidas | Foot injury | Late May 2025 |
These injuries could impact Mallorca’s depth and performance on match day. The potential absence of Navarro and Morlanes, in particular, might limit their midfield options, making it challenging against a strong Real Madrid side.
Mallorca Tactics and Formation
Mallorca’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-6-1
With a three-man defensive line of Martin Valjent, Antonio Raillo, and José Manuel Arias Copete, Mallorca aim to maintain solidity at the back. - Wing Play:
Pablo Maffeo on the right and Johan Mojica on the left will operate as wing-backs, providing both defensive support and width in attack. Their ability to transition quickly could be crucial against Real Madrid’s potent offense. - Midfield Engine:
In central midfield, Mallorca will rely on the physical presence of Samú Costa and Omar Mascarell, with Dani Rodriguez and Sergi Darder working in more advanced roles to link up play and support their lone forward. - Key Forward:
Vedat Muriqi is their go-to man up top. He will be key in holding up the ball and trying to exploit any gaps in Real Madrid’s defence. - Defensive Strength:
Mallorca has managed two clean sheets in their last five games, showcasing their defensive resilience. - Notable Strategy:
Expect Mallorca to look for opportunities on the counter-attack, especially exploiting the wings and aiming to capitalize on Real Madrid’s potential vulnerability in the final stages of the match.
Real Madrid vs Mallorca Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Mallorca | 2025-01-09 | Super Cup | 3-0 (Win) |
| Mallorca | Real Madrid | 2024-08-18 | LaLiga | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Mallorca | Real Madrid | 2024-04-13 | LaLiga | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Real Madrid | Mallorca | 2024-01-03 | LaLiga | 1-0 (Win) |
| Mallorca | Real Madrid | 2023-02-05 | LaLiga | 1-0 (Win) |
In their last five meetings, Real Madrid has won three times, with one draw and Mallorca claiming just one victory. Notably, Real Madrid has a strong home advantage, as seen in their 3-0 win in the recent Super Cup clash. Mallorca will need to elevate their game to gain any points against a formidable Real Madrid side at the Bernabeu.
Odds accurate as of 12.05.2025 20:31, and are subject to change.
Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
