Real Madrid vs. Osasuna Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 19 August 2025

Football fans won’t want to miss the opening round of LaLiga as Real Madrid welcomes Osasuna to the historic Estadio Santiago Bernabeu. Xabi Alonso’s Real Madrid, bolstered by new signings like Trent Alexander-Arnold, are clear favourites to take all three points, with bookmakers giving them odds of 1.23 for a home win.

On the other side, Alessio Lisci’s Osasuna will be keen to cause an early-season upset. Despite finishing 12th last season, they have been competitive in pre-season friendlies. The key match tip here is a Real Madrid -3.50 Asian Handicap, reflecting Madrid’s strong home form and recent head-to-head dominance.

Real Madrid’s last five games include convincing wins, and their lineup, featuring stars like Kylian Mbappe and Vinicius Junior, promises plenty of attacking flair. Osasuna will look to keep things tight with a disciplined defence but might struggle against Madrid’s firepower. Expect an entertaining match where Madrid’s offensive quality could prove decisive.

Real Madrid vs Osasuna Prediction & Betting tip

Real Madrid vs Osasuna Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Real Madrid -3.50 Asian Handicap	1.23

• Consistency in Home Dominance: Real Madrid have scored first in 80% of their last 10 matches against Osasuna and historically maintain strong performances at the Bernabeu.
• Preseason Form: Real Madrid wrapped up their preseason with a dominant 4-0 win against WSG Tirol, showcasing their offensive prowess.
• New Signings Impact: The addition of Trent Alexander-Arnold and the potential arrival of Alexander Isak will likely inject further quality into an already stellar lineup.

Osasuna, despite their intentions to make a mark, may find it challenging to handle Madrid’s firepower and home advantage. With Xabi Alonso at the helm, expect an assertive start to the season by Los Blancos.

Real Madrid vs Osasuna Odds

The odds reflect Real Madrid’s strong standing as heavy favourites against Osasuna in their La Liga opener.

Real Madrid vs Osasuna Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Real Madrid	1.23
Draw	6.27
Osasuna	11.91

The clear preference for Real Madrid is evident from the low odds of 1.23 for a home win. A draw is significantly less favoured at 6.27, and an Osasuna victory is considered a long shot at 11.91. These odds align with Real Madrid’s dominant home record and their recent form, highlighted by significant additions like Trent Alexander-Arnold. Osasuna, while competitive, faces a tough challenge in overcoming Los Blancos at the Bernabeu. The odds encapsulate the expected narrative of Madrid starting their season strong under Xabi Alonso’s guidance.

Real Madrid Team Analysis

Real Madrid Recent Performance

Real Madrid has shown impressive form in their last five matches, boasting a record of WWWLW. Their recent fixtures have seen them scoring an average of 2.20 goals per game and maintaining three clean sheets. This offensive and defensive balance is largely due to the contributions of star players like Kylian Mbappe and Vinicius Junior, alongside the addition of Trent Alexander-Arnold in defence. The 4-0 triumph in their only preseason friendly against WSG Tirol highlights their readiness for the new season.

Additionally, Real Madrid’s resilience at the Estadio Santiago Bernabeu is pivotal in their La Liga campaign, having not lost in their last four home matches. The team’s form and squad depth bode well under Xabi Alonso’s new leadership. Given their recent performance, Real Madrid is well-positioned to dominate against Osasuna. Expect an exciting and goal-laden display from Los Blancos.

Real Madrid Key Players

Real Madrid’s squad is brimming with talent, and several key players are likely to make a significant impact against Osasuna. Leading the attacking line, Kylian Mbappe and Vinicius Junior are expected to spearhead the offensive efforts. Both have been in sensational form, with Mbappe’s pace and Junior’s dribbling skills posing a constant threat to defences.

In midfield, Aurelien Tchouameni provides a solid foundation with his defensive capabilities, supported by Frederic Valverde and the creative Arda Guler. The recent addition of Trent Alexander-Arnold is expected to bolster the right side of the defence, with Eder Militao and Dean Donny Huijsen forming a formidable central pairing.

Expected lineup for Real Madrid:

• Goalkeeper: Thibaut Courtois
• Defenders: Trent Alexander-Arnold, Eder Militao, Dean Donny Huijsen, Álvaro Fernández Carreras
• Midfielders: Aurelien Tchouameni, Frederic Valverde, Arda Guler
• Forwards: Brahim Diaz, Kylian Mbappe, Vinicius Junior

Look out for the individual battles, particularly Mbappe against Osasuna’s central defenders, which could be decisive in the match’s outcome.

Real Madrid Suspensions & Injuries

Real Madrid will have to navigate their La Liga opener against Osasuna without several key players due to injuries and suspensions. Antonio Rüdiger is suspended after receiving a red card, leaving a gap in the central defence. Additionally, the team will miss David Alaba (meniscus injury), Ferland Mendy (muscle injury), Endrick (hamstring injury), Jude Bellingham (shoulder injury), and Eduardo Camavinga (shin injury).

These absences might challenge Xabi Alonso’s squad depth, especially in the defensive and midfield areas. However, the presence of new signings like Trent Alexander-Arnold and the expected return of Federico Valverde, who missed the preseason friendly, will provide some respite. Despite these setbacks, Real Madrid’s strong squad depth should mitigate the impact of these absences.

Real Madrid Tactics and Formation

Real Madrid Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Kylian Mbappe
• Midfield Trio: Aurelien Tchouameni, Frederic Valverde, Arda Guler
• Defensive Strength: Three clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Aggressive pressing and quick counter-attacks

Under Xabi Alonso, Real Madrid is expected to deploy a dynamic 4-3-3 formation. The forward trio of Brahim Diaz, Kylian Mbappe, and Vinicius Junior will lead the offensive with their pace and creativity. In midfield, the solid presence of Aurelien Tchouameni is complemented by the box-to-box capabilities of Frederic Valverde and the vision of Arda Guler. Defensively, the team boasts new addition Trent Alexander-Arnold on the right, offering both defensive stability and attacking thrust, while Eder Militao and Dean Donny Huijsen will hold the central fort.

Expect Real Madrid to focus on high pressing to win the ball early and launch rapid counter-attacks, especially exploiting Osasuna’s defensive weaknesses during the 61-75-minute interval when they’re often vulnerable.

Osasuna Team Analysis

Osasuna Recent Performance

Osasuna’s recent form has been a mix of challenges and some promising performances, shown by their record of LLLWD in the last five matches. Despite a difficult preseason which included heavy losses to Real Sociedad and SD Huesca, the team managed to secure a draw against Freiburg and a solid 3-0 win over CD Mirandes.

With an average of 1.20 goals scored per game and only one clean sheet in their last five outings, Osasuna will need to tighten their defence and find more consistency in attack. Their tendency to concede in friendlies might be a concern, particularly against a potent Real Madrid side.

As Osasuna prepares for their La Liga opener, they’ll aim to channel the grit from their positive recent results to withstand the offensive might of Real Madrid at the Santiago Bernabeu.

Osasuna Key Players

Osasuna will rely on several key players to stand up against Real Madrid. Leading their defensive line is Flavien Boyomo, flanked by Alejandro Catena and Juan Cruz. These defenders will need to be at their best to curb the attacking threat from Real Madrid’s forwards.

In midfield, Lucas Torro and Jon Moncayola will be essential in both breaking up Madrid’s plays and initiating Osasuna’s counter-attacks. Meanwhile, Moi Gomez and Aimar Oroz will look to provide the creative spark and supply Ante Budimir, their main target man, up front.

Expected lineup for Osasuna:

• Goalkeeper: Sergio Herrera
• Defenders: Alejandro Catena, Flavien Boyomo, Juan Cruz
• Midfielders: Valentin Rosier, Lucas Torro, Jon Moncayola, Abel Bretones, Moi Gomez, Aimar Oroz
• Forward: Ante Budimir

The individual battle between Budimir and Real Madrid’s central defenders will be particularly crucial and could impact the match’s outcome significantly.

Osasuna Suspensions & Injuries

Osasuna heads into their match against Real Madrid with no reported suspensions or injuries. This clean bill of health provides a significant advantage for head coach Alessio Lisci, who can draw from a fully fit squad for their La Liga opener. The absence of injuries allows the team to deploy their strongest possible lineup and maintain flexibility in their tactical approach. Such a scenario is particularly crucial when facing a resourceful opponent like Real Madrid, as it enhances Osasuna’s chances of putting up a competitive fight at the Santiago Bernabeu.

Osasuna Tactics and Formation

Osasuna Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-5-2
• Key Forward: Ante Budimir
• Midfield Engine: Lucas Torro and Jon Moncayola
• Defensive Strength: Reliable trio of Alejandro Catena, Flavien Boyomo, and Juan Cruz

Under Alessio Lisci, Osasuna is expected to line up in a robust 3-5-2 formation, aiming to pack the midfield and counter Real Madrid’s attacking threats. With a five-man midfield featuring the defensive solidity of Lucas Torro and the box-to-box dynamism of Jon Moncayola, Osasuna will look to break up Madrid’s build-up play and launch quick transitions.

On the wings, Valentin Rosier and Abel Bretones will have significant defensive duties but will also be pivotal in providing width to Osasuna’s counter-attacks. Up front, Ante Budimir will be the key target man, tasked with converting any opportunities created by midfielders Moi Gomez and Aimar Oroz.

Expect Osasuna to adopt a disciplined approach, focusing on defensive stability and looking to exploit any chances on the break.

Real Madrid vs Osasuna Head-to-Head Statistics

Real Madrid and Osasuna have faced each other several times in recent seasons with Madrid generally having the upper hand. In their last five encounters, Real Madrid secured four wins and one draw:

• Osasuna 1 – 1 Real Madrid (15 Feb 2025, LaLiga)
• Real Madrid 4 – 0 Osasuna (9 Nov 2024, LaLiga)
• Osasuna 2 – 4 Real Madrid (16 Mar 2024, LaLiga)
• Real Madrid 4 – 0 Osasuna (7 Oct 2023, LaLiga)
• Real Madrid 2 – 1 Osasuna (6 May 2023, Copa del Rey)

Real Madrid have demonstrated their dominance, particularly in home games, where they’ve consistently secured comfortable victories. Historically, they’ve scored first in 80% of their last 10 matches against Osasuna. This strong record indicates that Madrid are clear favourites, especially given their recent form and home advantage at the Santiago Bernabeu. For Osasuna, breaking this trend will be a challenging task.

Odds accurate as of 17.08.2025 20:00, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.