Palmeiras vs. Sport Recife Prediction, Match Preview, and Betting Tips, 25 August 2025

On 25 August 2025, Palmeiras will host Sport Recife at Allianz Parque for a Serie A clash. Palmeiras holds the second position in the league with 39 points, showcasing excellent form with four wins and a draw in their last five games. Sport Recife, on the other hand, is languishing at the bottom of the table with only 10 points.

Palmeiras is the clear favorite, with bookmakers giving them odds of 1.32 for the win. Sport Recife has struggled this season, with just one victory in 18 matches, making an upset highly unlikely. Our recommended bet is a home win for Palmeiras, who have been strong defensively with seven clean sheets in 18 games.

Key players like Jose Lopez and goalkeeper Weverton will be integral for Palmeiras. Sport Recife will miss Derik Lacerda due to suspension, further diminishing their chances.

Given the context and recent form, Palmeiras is expected to secure a comfortable win to maintain their title chase.

Palmeiras vs Sport Recife Prediction & Betting Tip

Palmeiras vs Sport Recife Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Home Win for Palmeiras	1.32

Best Bet Recommendation: Home Win for Palmeiras

Reasoning:

1. Team Form and Standing: Palmeiras is in excellent form with a record of 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches, standing 2nd in Serie A. In contrast, Sport Recife is struggling at the bottom of the league with only 1 win in 18 matches.
2. Head-to-Head Dominance: Palmeiras has won 4 of the last 5 meetings against Sport Recife, including a recent 2-1 victory, showcasing their dominance in this matchup.
3. Goals and Defense: Palmeiras has a solid defense, conceding only 0.83 goals per match on average, and has kept 7 clean sheets in 18 matches. Sport Recife, on the other hand, concedes 1.50 goals per match and struggles to score, averaging only 0.67 goals per match.

Given these factors, a home win for Palmeiras is the most probable outcome.

Palmeiras vs Sport Recife Odds

The upcoming Serie A match between Palmeiras and Sport Recife sees the home team as clear favorites. Given the standings and recent form, bookmakers have set the odds heavily in Palmeiras’ favor.

Here’s a look at the betting odds for this fixture:

Palmeiras vs Sport Recife Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Palmeiras	1.32
Draw	4.73
Sport Recife	9.50

Palmeiras’ strong home form and superior league position justify their favorable odds. Sport Recife’s struggles and their position at the bottom of the table have resulted in long odds for an upset. It’s a clear backing for Palmeiras, reflecting their dominance in recent head-to-head encounters and overall squad depth. A draw or a Sport Recife victory would yield high returns but seems highly unlikely given the current form of both teams.

Palmeiras Team Analysis

Palmeiras Recent Performance

Palmeiras have shown solid form over their last five matches, securing four wins and one draw. Their recent form (WWDWW) highlights their resilience and ability to bounce back quickly from setbacks.

They’ve averaged 1.40 goals per game in their last five outings while maintaining a strong defense with three clean sheets. Despite some key injuries, the team’s depth has been able to fill the gaps effectively.

Noteworthy performances include a dominant 4-0 victory against Universitario de Deportes in the Copa Libertadores and a crucial 1-0 win away at Botafogo RJ in Serie A. Their only recent blip was a 2-0 loss to Corinthians in the Cup.

Against Sport Recife, Palmeiras will be looking to leverage their home advantage and maintain their positive momentum.

Palmeiras Key Players

Jose Lopez, Palmeiras’ top scorer with four goals, will be a key player in the upcoming clash. He will be supported by Vitor Roque, who is expected to lead the line with his attacking prowess. Mauricio in the midfield, known for his creativity, will be crucial in unlocking Sport Recife’s defense.

The defensive line is solid with Gustavo Gomez and Murilo Cerqueira, who have been pivotal in keeping clean sheets. Goalkeeper Weverton, fresh from resilient displays, adds a layer of security at the back.

Expected lineup for Palmeiras:

• Goalkeeper: Weverton
• Defenders: Agustin Giay, Gustavo Gomez, Murilo Cerqueira, Joaquín Piquerez
• Midfielders: Emiliano Martínez, Lucas Evangelista, Mauricio
• Attackers: Ramón Sosa, Facundo Torres, Vitor Roque

Their performance in this setup will be critical to maintaining their defensive solidity and attacking threat.

Palmeiras Suspensions & Injuries

Palmeiras will have a few notable absences due to injuries and suspensions. Anibal Moreno will miss the match due to suspension for accumulating yellow cards. In terms of injuries, Figueiredo and Paulinho are out for the season with serious injuries, and Bruno Rodrigues is still recovering from knee surgery, with an expected return in early September.

Raphael Veiga, struggling with a groin injury, is expected to return in about a week, which means he’ll miss this encounter. Despite these absences, Palmeiras has shown they possess the squad depth to cope, as evidenced by their recent strong performance in the league and cup competitions.

Palmeiras Tactics and Formation

Palmeiras Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Vitor Roque
• Midfield Trio: Emiliano Martínez, Lucas Evangelista, Mauricio
• Defensive Strength: Three clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Utilizing width through the wings with Ramón Sosa and Facundo Torres, aiming to stretch Sport Recife’s defense

Palmeiras typically opt for an attacking 4-3-3 formation, leveraging their formidable forward, Vitor Roque, to spearhead their assaults. The midfield trio of Martínez, Evangelista, and Mauricio provides a blend of defensive stability and creative flair, key to controlling the pace of the game.

Defensively, Palmeiras has been rock-solid, keeping three clean sheets in their last five games. Their strategy often involves exploiting the flanks, with Sosa and Torres creating opportunities from wide positions. This approach aims to disrupt Sport Recife’s backline, providing numerous goalscoring chances.

Sport Recife Team Analysis

Sport Recife Recent Performance

Sport Recife’s recent form has seen them secure only one victory in their last five matches, drawing three and losing one. Their form reads as LDDLD. Despite showing some resilience with draws against teams like São Paulo and Bahia, their inability to convert these into wins has kept them rooted at the bottom of the Serie A table.

In their last five matches, Sport Recife has averaged 1.40 goals per game and has kept two clean sheets. Their 2-2 draw against São Paulo and a 1-1 away win at Gremio are notable results, showcasing glimpses of potential.

Nonetheless, facing a formidable Palmeiras side away at Allianz Parque will be significant for Sport Recife, who need to start converting their draws into wins to climb out of the relegation zone.

Sport Recife Key Players

Chrystian Barletta, Sport Recife’s top scorer with two goals, will be crucial in their quest for points against Palmeiras. Alongside him, Matheusinho and Léo Pereira on the wings will need to use their pace and creativity to trouble Palmeiras’ solid defense.

In the midfield, Lucas Lima’s experience and ability to create chances will be essential. Defensively, Rafael Thyere will be tasked with marshalling the backline and keeping Jose Lopez and Vitor Roque in check.

Expected lineup for Sport Recife:

• Goalkeeper: Gabriel
• Defenders: Matheus Alexandre, Rafael Thyere, Ramon Menezes, Kevyson
• Midfielders: Ze Lucas, Christian Rivera, Lucas Lima
• Attackers: Matheusinho, Pablo, Léo Pereira

Each of these players will need to perform exceptionally to stand a chance against a well-rounded Palmeiras side.

Sport Recife Suspensions & Injuries

Sport Recife will be dealing with some notable absences for their clash against Palmeiras. Derik Lacerda is suspended due to an accumulation of yellow cards, weakening their attacking options.

Injury-wise, they are notably impacted with Diogo Hereda out until early November due to a groin injury, Sergio Oliveira is doubtful with an ankle injury, and Igor Carius is sidelined until mid-September with a calf injury. These absences especially in the defensive line will make it challenging for Sport Recife to contain Palmeiras’ attacking threat.

The combination of suspensions and injuries may force coach Daniel Paulista to make several adjustments to his lineup and tactics, potentially weakening their overall team performance.

Sport Recife Tactics and Formation

Sport Recife Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Pablo
• Midfield Trio: Ze Lucas, Christian Rivera, Lucas Lima
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Compact defensive setup with quick counter-attacks through the flanks

Sport Recife typically deploy a 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on maintaining a solid defensive structure while looking to spring counter-attacks. Pablo will be crucial as the main forward, supported by the creative Lucas Lima in the attacking midfielder role.

Ze Lucas and Christian Rivera anchor the midfield, providing both defensive stability and transition play. Defensively, with Rafael Thyere leading the backline, Sport Recife aims to remain compact and frustrate their opponents, though they have managed only two clean sheets in their last five games.

The strategy often involves leveraging the pace of Matheusinho and Léo Pereira on the wings to exploit spaces behind the opposition’s defense. This tactical approach will be vital if they are to stand a chance against a formidable Palmeiras side.

Palmeiras vs Sport Recife Head-to-Head Statistics

Palmeiras and Sport Recife have faced each other five times in recent history, with Palmeiras holding the upper hand in these encounters.

Here’s a breakdown of their last five meetings:

Date	Competition	Result
2025-04-06	Serie A	Sport Recife 1-2 Palmeiras
2021-10-26	Serie A	Palmeiras 2-1 Sport Recife
2021-07-04	Serie A	Sport Recife 0-1 Palmeiras
2021-01-09	Serie A	Sport Recife 0-1 Palmeiras
2020-09-13	Serie A	Palmeiras 2-2 Sport Recife

Palmeiras have won four out of the last five encounters, showcasing their dominance in this fixture. Sport Recife’s best result was a draw back in 2020. Given this historical context, along with their current form, Palmeiras appears to have the edge heading into this match.

Odds accurate as of 23.08.2025 23:03, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with {any bookmaker}.