RB Leipzig vs. VfB Stuttgart Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 17 May 2025 - bettingexpert
As the Bundesliga season wraps up, RB Leipzig will host VfB Stuttgart at the Red Bull Arena Leipzig on 17 May 2025 at 14:30. This final match is crucial for Leipzig, sitting 7th on the table with 51 points, as they need a win to stay in the hunt for European qualification. On the other hand, Stuttgart, in 9th place with 47 points, focuses on the upcoming DFB-Pokal final.
Leipzig’s recent form (DDLDW) hasn’t been stellar, but playing at home boosts their chances, with bookmakers favoring them to win at 2.03 odds. Additionally, Leipzig’s lineup includes talents like Xavi Simons, who’s caught the attention of Barcelona, despite Leipzig’s potential willingness to sell him for around €80 million.
Stuttgart’s recent performances (WWLDL) show mixed results, and without the incentive of European qualification, their motivation might be lower.
This match also draws attention due to Leipzig’s defensive struggles, conceding 1.4 goals on average this season. Moreover, RB Leipzig has not won in their last four Bundesliga matches, adding urgency to this fixture. For Stuttgart, maintaining form while preparing for the cup final is key, but their inability to qualify for Europe means this game holds less at stake for them.
On the field, Leipzig will miss key players like Lukas Klostermann due to suspension and several others due to injuries. With all these factors in mind, Leipzig, playing in front of their home crowd, have the edge to secure a crucial win.
RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction & Betting Tip
| RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| RB Leipzig to win | 2.03 |
- Leipzig’s Urgency: They need a win to stay in contention for European spots, making this a crucial fixture.
- Home Advantage: Playing at Red Bull Arena boosts Leipzig’s chances significantly.
- Stuttgart’s Focus: With no chance for European qualification, Stuttgart’s attention may waver as they prepare for the DFB-Pokal final.
Breaking down the facts and tips shows why this prediction is solid. Leipzig’s form might be patchy, but their strong motivation and home support give them an edge.
RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart Odds
This match is crucial for RB Leipzig as they aim to secure European qualification with a win. Bookmakers have made Leipzig the favourites, thanks to their home advantage and Stuttgart’s potential focus on their upcoming DFB-Pokal final.
| RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| RB Leipzig | 2.03 |
| Draw | 4.11 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 3.10 |
Leipzig playing at the Red Bull Arena gives them a significant boost. Additionally, Stuttgart’s reduced motivation could further tilt the odds in Leipzig’s favour. Football fans can expect Leipzig to push hard for that crucial win.
RB Leipzig Team Analysis
RB Leipzig Recent Performance
RB Leipzig’s form in their last five Bundesliga matches has been inconsistent, with a pattern of draws and losses interspersed with a single win. They’ve struggled to maintain momentum, which is reflected in their recent results:
| RB Leipzig | Opponent | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen | RB Leipzig | 2025-05-10 | Bundesliga | 0-0 (Draw) |
| RB Leipzig | Bayern Munich | 2025-05-03 | Bundesliga | 3-3 (Draw) |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | RB Leipzig | 2025-04-26 | Bundesliga | 4-0 (Loss) |
| RB Leipzig | Holstein Kiel | 2025-04-19 | Bundesliga | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Wolfsburg | RB Leipzig | 2025-04-11 | Bundesliga | 2-3 (Win) |
RB Leipzig has averaged 1.40 goals per game in their last five matches, securing just one clean sheet. This lack of defensive solidity has been a key factor in their recent form. Despite their struggles, Leipzig remains capable of producing high-scoring games, such as their 3-3 draw against Bayern Munich. To boost their European qualification prospects, a stronger defensive performance will be crucial in their upcoming clash against VfB Stuttgart.
RB Leipzig Key Players
RB Leipzig’s key players will be crucial if they are to secure a win against VfB Stuttgart.
Xavi Simons: The talented midfielder has been impressive this season, contributing 10 goals and 8 assists in 32 matches. Simons’ creativity and offensive capabilities will be vital, particularly in breaking down Stuttgart’s defense.
Benjamin Sesko: As Leipzig’s top scorer with 13 goals, Sesko’s finishing ability and aerial presence will be central to their attacking efforts. His partnership with Loïs Openda could pose significant threats to Stuttgart’s backline.
Lutsharel Geertruida: Despite some struggles this season, Geertruida’s versatility in defense could be pivotal in stabilizing Leipzig’s shaky backline.
Expected lineup for RB Leipzig:
- Goalkeeper: Peter Gulacsi
- Defenders: Kosta Nedeljkovic, Lutsharel Geertruida, El Chadaille Bitshiabu, Castello Lukeba
- Midfielders: Christoph Baumgartner, Nicolas Seiwald, Arthur Vermeeren, Xavi Simons
- Forwards: Loïs Openda, Benjamin Sesko
Key battles to watch include Sesko and Openda against Stuttgart’s center-backs Julian Chabot and Luca Jaquez.
RB Leipzig Suspensions & Injuries
RB Leipzig has a few key players sidelined with injuries and one suspension that could impact their performance against VfB Stuttgart.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Henrichs | Achilles tendon injury | Late June 2025 |
| Willi Orban | Thigh injury | Late May 2025 |
| Amadou Haidara | Medial Collateral Ligament injury | Early July 2025 |
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Lukas Klostermann | Yellow cards | 1 match ban |
The absence of Willi Orban and Benjamin Henrichs weakens Leipzig’s defensive options, while Amadou Haidara’s injury affects their midfield depth. Klostermann’s suspension further strains their defense, potentially forcing coach Zsolt Löw to modify his usual formations and strategies. These limitations could make maintaining a solid backline challenging, highlighting the importance of remaining key defenders like Lutsharel Geertruida stepping up.
RB Leipzig Tactics and Formation
RB Leipzig Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-4-2
- Key Forwards: Loïs Openda and Benjamin Sesko
- Midfield Quartet: Christoph Baumgartner, Nicolas Seiwald, Arthur Vermeeren, and Xavi Simons
- Defensive Setup: Kosta Nedeljkovic, Lutsharel Geertruida, El Chadaille Bitshiabu, Castello Lukeba in the backline
- Notable Strategy: Focus on counter-attacks, leveraging the speed and offensive capabilities of Xavi Simons and Benjamin Sesko.
Without the services of defender Lukas Klostermann due to suspension, Geertruida is expected to step up. Simons, who has piqued interest from top European clubs, will be key in orchestrating attacks, blending creativity with precision. RB Leipzig’s recent form has been inconsistent, with a defensive focus needed to shore up vulnerabilities, keeping an eye on VfB Stuttgart’s potent forward line.
VfB Stuttgart Team Analysis
VfB Stuttgart Recent Performance
VfB Stuttgart has shown mixed form in their last five Bundesliga matches. They have demonstrated prowess in front of goal, averaging 2.00 goals per game, but have been inconsistent defensively. With two clean sheets in their last five games, their defensive displays have been hit-or-miss.
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | Augsburg | 2025-05-11 | Bundesliga | 4 – 0 (Win) |
| St. Pauli | VfB Stuttgart | 2025-05-03 | Bundesliga | 0 – 1 (Win) |
| VfB Stuttgart | FC Heidenheim | 2025-04-25 | Bundesliga | 0 – 1 (Loss) |
| Union Berlin | VfB Stuttgart | 2025-04-19 | Bundesliga | 4 – 4 (Draw) |
| VfB Stuttgart | Werder Bremen | 2025-04-13 | Bundesliga | 1 – 2 (Loss) |
Stuttgart’s recent form is WWLDL. They have scored consistently, but their defensive record shows room for improvement. With an eye on the DFB-Pokal final, their focus and energy for this match might wane.
VfB Stuttgart Key Players
VfB Stuttgart’s attack will revolve around their top scorer, Ermedin Demirovic, who has netted 14 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net consistently will be crucial for Stuttgart.
Deniz Undav, playing as the center forward in their expected line-up, will look to create chances and link up with Demirovic. Meanwhile, Jamie Leweling and Chris Führich on the wings will aim to stretch Leipzig’s defense.
Expected lineup for VfB Stuttgart:
- Goalkeeper: Alexander Nuebel
- Defenders: Pascal Stenzel, Luca Jaquez, Julian Chabot, Maximilian Mittelstädt
- Midfielders: Atakan Karazor, Enzo Millot, Jamie Leweling, Nick Woltemade, Chris Führich
- Attackers: Deniz Undav
The midfield battle will be fascinating, with Nick Woltemade’s creativity facing Leipzig’s robust midfield. Keep an eye on Atakan Karazor’s defensive contributions to thwart Leipzig’s advances.
VfB Stuttgart Suspensions & Injuries
VfB Stuttgart is facing a slew of injuries ahead of their match against RB Leipzig. Here’s a look at the players who are sidelined:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Dan-Axel Zagadou | Knee surgery | Mid June 2025 |
| Luca Raimund | Thigh injury | Late May 2025 |
| Nikolas Nartey | Hip injury | Late May 2025 |
| Anrie Chase | Groin injury | Late May 2025 |
| Leonidas Stergiou | Foot injury | Mid June 2025 |
| Ameen Al Dakhil | Buttocks injury | Late May 2025 |
| Finn Jeltsch | Muscle injury | Late May 2025 |
| Yannik Keitel | Hamstring injury | Early June 2025 |
| Angelo Stiller | Ankle injury | Mid June 2025 |
These injuries could significantly affect Stuttgart’s performance, particularly in defense and midfield. The team will need to rely on their bench depth to compensate for these absences. With numerous key players out, Stuttgart’s stamina and tactical flexibility might be put to the test as they face a motivated Leipzig side.
VfB Stuttgart Tactics and Formation
VfB Stuttgart’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Goalkeeper: Alexander Nubel
- Defensive Line:
- Right back: Pascal Stenzel
- Right center back: Luca Jaquez
- Left center back: Julian Chabot
- Left back: Maximilian Mittelstädt
- Midfield Setup:
- Right defensive midfielder: Atakan Karazor
- Left defensive midfielder: Enzo Millot
- Attacking midfielder: Nick Woltemade
- Wingers:
- Right wing: Jamie Leweling
- Left wing: Chris Führich
- Forward:
- Center forward: Deniz Undav
Stuttgart employs a 4-2-3-1 formation focusing on solid defensive coverage and counter-attacks. Key elements of their strategy include:
- Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games.
- Offensive Push: They tend to score most of their goals late in the match (76-90 minutes).
- Formation Rigor: The double pivot in defensive midfield (Karazor and Millot) aids both in breaking up opposition play and in transitioning to attack swiftly.
This approach ensures defensive solidity while enabling quick counters, making them a well-rounded side despite their current injury woes.
RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | RB Leipzig | 2025-04-02 | DFB Pokal | 3-1 (Loss) |
| VfB Stuttgart | RB Leipzig | 2025-01-15 | Bundesliga | 2-1 (Loss) |
| VfB Stuttgart | RB Leipzig | 2024-01-27 | Bundesliga | 5-2 (Loss) |
| RB Leipzig | VfB Stuttgart | 2023-08-25 | Bundesliga | 5-1 (Win) |
| RB Leipzig | VfB Stuttgart | 2023-01-27 | Bundesliga | 2-1 (Win) |
RB Leipzig and VfB Stuttgart have a competitive history, with the last five encounters favoring Stuttgart slightly. Leipzig’s recent home form against Stuttgart has been strong, but their away performances have struggled, losing three consecutive matches against Stuttgart. Stuttgart’s dominance in the most recent matches, including a DFB Pokal win, could be a psychological advantage heading into this anticipated Bundesliga clash.
Odds accurate as of 15th May 2025 14:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
