Sarmiento vs. Velez Sarsfield Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 19 October 2025

As we head into Round 13 of the Liga Profesional, third-placed Velez Sarsfield face off against Sarmiento, who currently sit in 19th position. Set for an exciting clash on 19 October 2025 at 19:00, this is a crucial match for both sides in terms of their season objectives.

Velez Sarsfield, favorites heading into the game with bookmaker odds at 2.38 for a win, have shown attacking prowess, scoring an average of 1.60 goals in their last 5 games. Sarmiento, despite their lower standing, shouldn’t be underestimated—having secured 3 clean sheets in their last 5 matches, they’re capable of solid defensive displays.

Our recommendation? Go for a Draw No Bet on Velez Sarsfield. With their strong league position and depth in attack, they seem poised to bounce back from recent setbacks. Sarmiento’s reliance on Joaquin Ardaiz might not withstand Velez’s form, adding another layer of intrigue to this match-up.

Sarmiento vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction & Betting Tip

Sarmiento vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction
Betting tip
Vélez Sársfield Draw No Bet

If you’re looking for a betting angle in this match, the recommended option is to go for Vélez Sársfield Draw No Bet. Here’s why this prediction makes sense:

• Vélez Sársfield hold a stronger league position, currently sitting in 3rd place compared to Sarmiento’s 19th. This indicates overall better form and consistency.
• Despite a lack of clean sheets in their recent games, Vélez Sársfield’s attacking depth has seen them scoring an average of 1.60 goals over their last 5 matches.
• Sarmiento, although defensively solid with 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, rely heavily on Joaquin Ardaiz for goals. This might not be sufficient against Vélez’s more potent attack.

Taking all these factors into account, the Draw No Bet option on Vélez Sársfield balances value and safety, making it a prudent choice for this match.

Sarmiento vs Velez Sarsfield Odds

For the upcoming match between Sarmiento and Velez Sarsfield on 19 October 2025, the bookmaker odds indicate a competitive fixture. Here’s a breakdown:

Sarmiento vs Velez Sarsfield Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Sarmiento	3.34
Draw	2.80
Velez Sarsfield	2.38

Sarmiento, sitting in 19th position, face an uphill battle against 3rd-placed Velez Sarsfield who are the bookmaker favorites with odds at 2.38 for a win. A draw is priced at 2.80, reflecting the potential for a closely fought contest, especially given Sarmiento’s solid defensive form.

Velez, despite their recent loss to Sarmiento earlier this season, have shown consistent attacking prowess. This match promises to be intriguing with the odds highlighting Velez’s edge but also acknowledging the defensive resilience of Sarmiento.

Sarmiento Team Analysis

Sarmiento Recent Performance:

Sarmiento’s recent performances offer a mixed bag as seen from their last five matches, with a record of WWLLW. Notably, they achieved victories against River Plate (1-0) and Barracas Central (1-0), showcasing their capability to grind out results even against strong opposition.

Defensively, Sarmiento has been solid, with 3 clean sheets in their last 5 games, averaging just 0.80 goals conceded per match. However, their attack appears to be less potent, averaging only 0.80 goals scored in recent outings.

Under the guidance of Facundo Sava, the team’s reliance on their top scorer, Joaquin Ardaiz, who has netted 3 goals this season, is evident. Consistency in goal-scoring will be key if they are to climb the league table.

Sarmiento Key Players

As Sarmiento gear up for their clash with Velez Sarsfield, several key players will be crucial to their success.

Joaquin Ardaiz stands out as the main offensive threat, having scored 3 goals this season. His ability to find the net will be vital against a challenging Velez defense. Supporting him in attack are Iván Morales and Lucas Pratto, who aim to break down Velez’s backline.

In midfield, look out for Carlos Villalba and Manuel Garcia. Their vision and ball distribution could play a pivotal role in linking defense and attack.

Defensively, Alex Vigo and Juan Manuel Insaurralde are expected to lead the effort in containing Velez’s forward momentum.

Expected lineup for Sarmiento:

• Goalkeeper: Lucas Acosta
• Defenders: Alex Vigo, Renzo Orihuela, Juan Manuel Insaurralde, Joel Godoy
• Midfielders: Julian Contrera, Manuel Garcia, Carlos Villalba, Yair Arismendi
• Attackers: Iván Morales, Lucas Pratto

Given their defensive stability and key performances from these players, Sarmiento have the potential to put up a strong fight.

Sarmiento Suspensions & Injuries

Sarmiento will be missing two key players due to long-term injuries. Pablo Magnin and Gaston Gonzalez are both out for the season with cruciate ligament injuries. Their absence has undoubtedly affected the squad’s depth, particularly in midfield where Gonzalez’s dynamic playstyle will be missed.

These injuries force Facundo Sava to rely heavily on his current playing core and could affect their performance against stronger opponents like Velez Sarsfield.

However, there are no suspensions impacting the squad, meaning most of the main players including Joaquin Ardaiz and Lucas Acosta will be available to secure valuable points in this crucial fixture.

Sarmiento Tactics and Formation

Sarmiento typically line up in a 4-4-2 formation under coach Facundo Sava, which emphasizes a balanced approach between defense and attack.

Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-4-2
• Key Forwards: Iván Morales and Lucas Pratto
• Midfield Quartet: Julian Contrera, Manuel Garcia, Carlos Villalba, Yair Arismendi
• Defensive Setup: Featuring Alex Vigo and Juan Manuel Insaurralde to maintain solidity at the back.

Sarmiento’s recent strategy has focused on being defensively resilient, as evidenced by their 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games. Offensively, they rely on quick transitions and the scoring prowess of Joaquin Ardaiz. However, facing a formidable Velez attack, Sarmiento might look to tighten their defense further while capitalizing on counter-attacks to surprise their opponents.

Velez Sarsfield Team Analysis

Velez Sarsfield Recent Performance:

Velez Sarsfield’s recent form has been a mix of highs and lows, shown by their last five results: WLWDL.

They’ve managed to secure a solid victory against Atletico Tucuman (3-1) and an away win at San Martin San Juan (2-1). However, they’ve faced a couple of setbacks, like their narrow 1-2 defeat to Rosario Central and a draw with Deportivo Riestra (2-2).

Offensively, Velez have been consistent, averaging 1.60 goals over their last 5 games, showing their attacking capability. However, their defense has been less secure, with no clean sheets in the same period.

Under the leadership of Guillermo Barros Schelotto, Velez will seek to leverage their attacking depth and return to their winning ways against Sarmiento.

Velez Sarsfield Key Players

Velez Sarsfield rely on a talented squad that includes several key players expected to influence the match against Sarmiento.

Braian Romero, the team’s top scorer with 4 goals, leads the line and will be pivotal in breaking through Sarmiento’s solid defense. Supporting Romero is Tomas Galvan, who acts as the attacking midfielder, providing creativity and goal-scoring opportunities.

Francisco Pizzini and Matias Pellegrini on the wings offer pace and crossing abilities, essential for stretching Sarmiento’s backline. In the midfield, Agustin Bouzat and Claudio Baeza are crucial for both defensive stability and transitional play.

Defensively, Emanuel Mammana and Aaron Quiros are tasked with keeping Sarmiento’s forwards at bay, while Tomas Marchiori guards the goal.

Expected lineup for Velez Sarsfield:

• Goalkeeper: Tomas Marchiori
• Defenders: Agustin Lagos, Emanuel Mammana, Aaron Quiros, Elias Gomez
• Midfielders: Agustin Bouzat, Claudio Baeza, Tomas Galvan
• Attackers: Francisco Pizzini, Braian Romero, Matias Pellegrini

With these players in form, Velez have a strong chance to secure a positive result.

Velez Sarsfield Suspensions & Injuries

Velez Sarsfield will have to navigate their fixture against Sarmiento without several key players due to injuries and suspensions.

• Suspensions:

  • Tobias Andrada and Maher Carrizo, both serving one-match bans due to national team duties.
  • Imanol Machuca, serving a lengthy ban of seven matches from other disciplinary issues.
  • Rodrigo Aliendro will miss the match following a red card in the last fixture.

• Injuries:

  • Thiago Fernandez (cruciate ligament injury) and Joaquin Garcia (ankle injury), both expected to return by late October 2025.
  • Tomas Cavanagh (muscle injury), expected to be sidelined for about 1-2 weeks.
  • Jano Gordon (sprained ankle), also set for a late October 2025 return.

These absences, particularly in midfield, could disrupt Guillermo Barros Schelotto’s game plan, potentially giving Sarmiento an advantage in this crucial match.

Velez Sarsfield Tactics and Formation

Velez Sarsfield, under the guidance of Guillermo Barros Schelotto, generally employ a 4-2-3-1 formation that focuses on both defensive solidity and attacking prowess.

Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Braian Romero
• Midfield Trio: Tomas Galvan (Attacking Midfielder), Agustin Bouzat, Claudio Baeza (Defensive Midfielders)
• Defensive Line: Agustin Lagos, Emanuel Mammana, Aaron Quiros, Elias Gomez
• Notable Strategy: Utilizing their wingers, Francisco Pizzini and Matias Pellegrini, to stretch Sarmiento’s defense and create goal-scoring opportunities.

Despite not keeping any clean sheets in their last five games, Velez’s attacking strategy has seen them average 1.60 goals per match. A significant part of their game plan includes capitalizing on the 31-45-minute interval, where they’ve scored most of their goals this season. Sarmiento will need to be particularly vigilant during this period.

Sarmiento vs Velez Sarsfield Head-to-Head Statistics

Looking back at the previous five encounters between Sarmiento and Velez Sarsfield, the matches have been closely contested, showcasing a balanced rivalry.

• 15 April 2025: Velez Sarsfield – Sarmiento 0 – 1 (Liga Profesional Apertura)
• 1 December 2024: Velez Sarsfield – Sarmiento 1 – 0 (Liga Profesional)
• 14 July 2023: Sarmiento – Velez Sarsfield 1 – 1 (Liga Profesional)
• 23 August 2022: Velez Sarsfield – Sarmiento 1 – 1 (Liga Profesional)
• 24 September 2021: Sarmiento – Velez Sarsfield 0 – 1 (Liga Profesional)

Velez Sarsfield have the upper hand with 2 wins, while Sarmiento secured a crucial away victory in their most recent clash. Meanwhile, two of the encounters ended in draws. Sarmiento’s recent win and their capacity for defensive solidity will give them confidence, but Velez’s historical edge and continued offensive threat keep this match finely poised.

Odds accurate as of 17/10/2025 19:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.