Nice vs. Lille Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 29 October 2025

This Sunday, we’ll see Nice take on Lille in an intriguing Ligue 1 fixture at the Allianz Riviera. With both teams in the top half of the standings, this match is crucial for securing valuable points early in the season. Nice sits 8th with 14 points, and Lille is 5th with 17 points. Form-wise, Nice recently bagged a spirited 2-1 win over Rennes, and Lille thrashed Metz 6-1 in their latest outings, suggesting both sides are in strong attacking form.

Key players like Sofiane Diop for Nice and Hamza Igamane for Lille will be significant figures in deciding the game’s outcome.

Interestingly, the match is also set to be officiated by Bastien Dechepy. With the game likely to be tight, our recommended bet is for under 2.5 goals; both teams have shown tactical maturity and often play out low-scoring games. Although Lille is the bookmaker’s favourite, expect an intense contest with limited goals, especially considering Nice’s solid defensive record at home and Lille’s control of the midfield.

Nice vs Lille Prediction & Betting tip

Nice vs Lille Prediction
Betting tip
Under 2.5 goals

For this clash between Nice and Lille, under 2.5 goals is our recommended betting tip. Both teams have demonstrated tactical maturity and toughness, often resulting in low-scoring affairs. Additionally, Nice has proven to be a solid defensive unit, making it difficult for opponents to score against them. Lille, on the other hand, tends to control the midfield and minimize goal-scoring opportunities for their adversaries.

• Lille has dominated possession and shown defensive stability, indicating a limited number of goals.
• Nice’s strong defensive record at home suggests a tight game with very few goals.
• Both teams aim to secure points without taking excessive risks, contributing to a likely low-scoring match.

Expect a tight, strategic battle at Allianz Riviera with limited chances.

Nice vs Lille Odds

The odds for this match between Nice and Lille suggest a tightly contested affair, with Lille being the slight favourites according to bookmakers. However, the closeness of the odds reflects the competitive nature of the fixture.

Nice vs Lille Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Nice	2.80
Draw	3.44
Lille	2.43

Lille’s odds of 2.43 indicate that they are expected to edge this match, but only just. Nice’s odds of 2.80 show they are not far behind, suggesting that a win for the home side is also a strong possibility. The draw at 3.44 highlights the potential for a deadlock, especially given both teams’ tactical approach to the game.

Expect a close match where neither team will want to take unnecessary risks, lending weight to our recommendation of under 2.5 goals in this fixture.

Nice Team Analysis

Nice Recent Performance

Nice’s recent form has been a bit of a mixed bag, with their last five matches resulting in two wins, two losses, and a draw. Here’s a breakdown:

• Rennes 1-2 Nice: A solid away win, showing their fighting spirit.
• Celta Vigo 2-1 Nice: A tough loss in the Europa League, highlighting their struggles on the European stage.
• Nice 3-2 Lyon: A thrilling home win where their attack shone brightly.
• Monaco 2-2 Nice: A hard-fought draw in a local derby.
• Fenerbahce 2-1 Nice: Another Europa League loss, pointing to some defensive weaknesses.

Recent Form: LDWLW

Nice has managed to score an average of 1.80 goals per game in their last five matches, showcasing their offensive capabilities. However, they haven’t kept a clean sheet in any of these games, highlighting some defensive vulnerabilities, which is significant given their key players’ injuries.

Expect Nice to focus on shoring up their defense while looking to maintain their attacking momentum.

Nice Key Players

Nice will rely heavily on their key players to make an impact in this match against Lille. Leading the charge will be Sofiane Diop, the team’s top scorer with 5 goals this season. Diop’s ability to find the back of the net will be crucial, especially against a well-organized Lille defense.

Alongside Diop, midfielder Salis Abdul Samed will be vital in controlling the play and breaking up the opposition’s attacks. The return of Jeremie Boga and his creativity will also be key in unlocking Lille’s backline.

Key Individual Battles:

• Sofiane Diop vs Chancel Mbemba: A crucial battle where Diop’s scoring prowess will be tested against Mbemba’s defensive skills.
• Salis Abdul Samed vs Benjamin Andre: A midfield clash that could dictate the game’s tempo.

Expected lineup for Nice:

• Goalkeeper: Yehvann Diouf
• Defenders: Antoine Mendy, Kojo Peprah Oppong, Ali Abdi
• Midfielders: Tom Louchet, Salis Abdul Samed, Charles Vanhoutte, Melvin Bard
• Attackers: Sofiane Diop, Jeremie Boga, Kevin Carlos

Expect Nice to rely on these key players to navigate through this challenging fixture and aim for a positive result.

Nice Suspensions & Injuries

Nice is grappling with a significant injury list that could impact their performance in this crucial match against Lille. Notable absences include Mohamed Abdelmonem and Youssouf Ndayishimiye, both out with cruciate ligament injuries until early January 2026. Additionally, Moise Bombito is sidelined with a broken ankle until early February 2026.

The calf injury of Terem Moffi is also a concern, although he may return by early November. Dante and Mohamed Ali Cho are also notable absentees due to knee and groin injuries, respectively. Jonathan Clauss is doubtful, with his knee injury potentially affecting the lineup.

These injuries could weaken Nice’s defensive solidity and midfield depth, putting additional pressure on available players to step up. The lack of key players, particularly in defense, might force coach Franck Haise to adjust his tactics and rely on a more cautious approach to minimize risks.

Nice Tactics and Formation

Nice Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-5-2
• Key Forward: Kevin Carlos
• Midfield Quintet: Tom Louchet, Salis Abdul Samed, Charles Vanhoutte, Melvin Bard, Sofiane Diop
• Defensive Challenges: No clean sheets in the last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Focus on exploiting wings and crossing into the box.

Nice typically sets up in a 3-5-2 formation, emphasizing wing play and midfield control. Kevin Carlos, the key forward, will be crucial in converting chances. Sofiane Diop, the star midfielder and top scorer, adds an attacking edge that can create opportunities.

Despite their recent defensive struggles, Nice tends to rely on a robust midfield to protect the back three and initiate attacks. Expect them to exploit the flanks, looking to get behind Lille’s defense and whip in crosses for Carlos and other attackers.

Given their current injury issues, coach Franck Haise may adopt a more cautious approach to stabilize the defense and conserve energy for critical counterattacks. This tactical flexibility could be vital in navigating through this tricky fixture.

Lille Team Analysis

Lille Recent Performance

Lille’s recent form indicates a strong run with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. Here’s a breakdown:

• Lille 6-1 Metz: An emphatic home victory showcasing their attacking prowess.
• Lille 3-4 PAOK Thessaloniki FC: A high-scoring but disappointing Europa League defeat.
• Nantes 0-2 Lille: A solid away win that highlights their defensive strength.
• Lille 1-1 Paris Saint-Germain: A credible draw against the league giants.
• Roma 0-1 Lille: A determined away win in the Europa League, showing their resilience.

Recent Form: WDWLW

Lille has been prolific in front of goal, averaging 2.60 goals per game in their last five matches. They have kept two clean sheets during this period, underlining their defensive capabilities. Their recent performance indicates a balanced approach, combining solid defense with a potent attack, making them a formidable opponent for any team in Ligue 1.

Expect Lille to continue this fine run of form as they aim to climb higher in the standings.

Lille Key Players

Lille boasts a number of key players who will be pivotal in their clash against Nice. Foremost among them is Hamza Igamane, who is Lille’s top scorer this season with 4 goals. Igamane’s ability to find space and capitalize on scoring opportunities will be crucial in breaking through Nice’s defense.

Benjamin Andre will play a significant role in midfield, providing both defensive cover and creative passes to initiate attacks. His battle with Nice’s Salis Abdul Samed will be a key individual matchup in maintaining control of the game.

Defensively, Chancel Mbemba will be tasked with keeping Nice’s forwards at bay, particularly Sofiane Diop. Mbemba’s experience and defensive prowess will be essential in limiting Nice’s chances.

Expected lineup for Lille:

• Goalkeeper: Berke Ozer
• Defenders: Thomas Meunier, Chancel Mbemba, Aissa Mandi, Romain Perraud
• Midfielders: Ayyoub Bouaddi, Benjamin Andre, Matias Fernandez-Pardo, Hakon Arnar Haraldsson, Felix Correia
• Forward: Hamza Igamane

Expect Lille to rely on these key players to maintain their form and secure vital points in this match.

Lille Suspensions & Injuries

Lille faces some injury concerns ahead of their match against Nice, which could influence their squad selection and overall performance. Ousmane Toure is out with a cruciate ligament injury and isn’t expected to return until late April 2026. The team will also be without Alexsandro Ribeiro, who is recovering from a thigh injury with a potential return in early November.

Additionally, Ethan Mbappe and Olivier Giroud are both nursing injuries, although they might be available within the week. Mbappe’s unknown injury status and Giroud’s absence could hamper Lille’s attacking options and depth on the bench.

Despite these setbacks, Lille’s depth and form will help them cope, but the absence of key players might prompt adjustments in their strategy and lineup to ensure they remain competitive.

Lille Tactics and Formation

Lille Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Hamza Igamane
• Midfield Trio: Matias Fernandez-Pardo, Hakon Arnar Haraldsson, Felix Correia
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Dominating possession and controlling the midfield

Lille typically operates in a 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on a well-rounded approach that balances attack and defense. The team relies heavily on Hamza Igamane to lead the line, with creative support from Fernandez-Pardo, Haraldsson, and Correia feeding the striker with opportunities.

In defense, Lille has been solid, keeping two clean sheets in their last five games. Chancel Mbemba and Aissa Mandi form the central defensive duo, with Meunier and Perraud providing width from the full-back positions.

Expect Lille to dominate possession, utilizing their midfield depth to control the game’s tempo and restrict Nice’s attacking chances. Their strategy involves keeping the ball and working through the central areas while remaining ready to exploit any defensive lapses from their opponents.

Nice vs Lille Head-to-Head Statistics

In their last five meetings, Nice and Lille have showcased extremely competitive fixtures. Here’s a look at the results:

• Lille 2-1 Nice (17 January 2025, Ligue 1): Lille secured a narrow victory at home.
• Nice 2-2 Lille (10 November 2024, Ligue 1): A high-scoring draw with both teams sharing the spoils.
• Lille 2-2 Nice (19 May 2024, Ligue 1): Another evenly contested draw showcasing both teams’ determination.
• Nice 1-1 Lille (11 August 2023, Ligue 1): A closely fought match ending in a draw.
• Nice 1-0 Lille (29 January 2023, Ligue 1): Nice managed to edge out Lille at home.

Key Observations:

• The matches are usually competitive, with neither team dominating.
• More than 2.5 goals have been scored in 75% of these encounters over the past five seasons.
• Nice has shown they can perform well at home, having not lost in four consecutive home matches in this tournament.

This history indicates a balanced rivalry, suggesting another tightly contested game could be on the cards this Sunday.

Odds accurate as of 27.10.2025 18:02, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.