Toulouse vs. Le Havre Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 2 November 2025

This Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Le Havre is set to take place at the Stadium Municipal on 2 November 2025 at 16:15. Toulouse, currently sitting in 9th place, will look to capitalize on their home advantage to secure three crucial points against 11th-placed Le Havre. Both teams are relatively close in the standings, with Toulouse on 14 points and Le Havre with 12.

Toulouse has been strong at home and comes in as the bookmaker’s favorite with odds of 1.74 for a win. Frank Magri, their top scorer with four goals, will be pivotal in breaking through Le Havre’s defense, which has kept three clean sheets in the last five games. On the flip side, Le Havre’s Issa Soumare, with three goals this season, will aim to penetrate a Toulouse defense that has only one clean sheet in their last five matches.

Our match prediction leans towards a robust performance from Toulouse, who are tipped to win by at least two goals, making the Asian Handicap of -1.5 a recommended bet. This match is crucial for both sides as it could significantly impact their mid-table positioning going forward.

Overall, expect an intriguing balance between Toulouse’s attacking flair and Le Havre’s resilient defense, with the home side looking to edge out victorious.

Toulouse vs Le Havre Prediction & Betting Tip

Toulouse vs Le Havre Prediction
Betting tip
Toulouse -1.50 (AH)
Our recommended betting tip for this match is Toulouse to win with an Asian Handicap of -1.5. Here’s why:

• Home advantage: Toulouse is strong at home, and their recent form shows resilience and attacking strength, particularly against mid-table teams.
• Defensive struggles of Le Havre: Le Havre has been inconsistent defensively, especially against stronger opponents, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game this season.
• Attacking prowess: With Frank Magri leading the attack for Toulouse, who have scored an average of 2 goals in their last five matches, they have the firepower to dominate the game.

Overall, this betting tip offers great value, reflecting Toulouse’s form and capability to secure a comprehensive win.

Toulouse vs Le Havre Odds

The betting odds for the upcoming Toulouse vs Le Havre Ligue 1 match reflect the home team’s advantage and recent form. Toulouse enters this match as the favourite, supported by recent strong home performances and an efficient attack led by Frank Magri.

Toulouse vs Le Havre Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Toulouse	1.74
Draw	3.66
Le Havre	4.73

Toulouse has consistently delivered on home turf, making the odds of 1.74 for a win quite appealing. However, Le Havre’s odds of 4.73 indicate that they are seen as the underdogs, although their ability to score in 80% of their matches cannot be overlooked.

For those considering a draw, the 3.66 odds represent the possibility of a tight contest. Overall, these odds reflect the dynamics of the match where Toulouse is expected to use their home advantage effectively.

Toulouse Team Analysis

Toulouse Recent Performance

Toulouse’s recent form has seen them secure two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five Ligue 1 matches, representing a mixed bag of results. Here’s a breakdown:

• Toulouse 2-2 Rennes (29 Oct 2025): A dynamic draw highlighting their resilient attack.
• Monaco 1-0 Toulouse (25 Oct 2025): A narrow defeat on the road, showing their defensive tenacity.
• Toulouse 4-0 Metz (19 Oct 2025): An emphatic home win displaying their offensive prowess.
• Lyon 1-2 Toulouse (5 Oct 2025): An away victory underlining their ability to score crucial goals.
• Toulouse 2-2 Nantes (27 Sept 2025): Another draw showcasing their fighting spirit.

Toulouse has averaged 2 goals per game in their last five matches, demonstrating their attacking strengths. However, they’ve kept only one clean sheet in this span, pointing towards a need for better defensive solidity. With Frank Magri leading the charge, their offensive unit continues to be a formidable force.

Toulouse Key Players

Toulouse’s attacking threat is spearheaded by Frank Magri, who is the top scorer with four goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net could be crucial in breaking down Le Havre’s defense. With support from the likes of Aron Dönnum and Yann Gboho, Toulouse’s forward line looks formidable.

Additionally, the midfield pairing of Cristian Cásseres Jr. and Abu Francis adds creativity and stability, ensuring that Toulouse can maintain possession and control the tempo of the game.

In defense, Charlie Cresswell and Rasmus Nicolaisen will be key to keeping Le Havre’s attackers at bay and securing a second clean sheet in their last six matches.

Expected lineup for Toulouse:

• Goalkeeper: Guillaume Restes
• Defenders: Mark McKenzie, Charlie Cresswell, Rasmus Nicolaisen
• Midfielders: Djibril Sidibe, Cristian Cásseres Jr, Abu Francis, Dayann Methalie
• Attackers: Aron Dönnum, Yann Gboho, Frank Magri

Frank Magri’s battle against Le Havre’s central defenders, Stephan Zagadou and Gautier Lloris, will be a focal point in this clash.

Toulouse Suspensions & Injuries

Toulouse enters this encounter with some injury concerns that could affect their lineup’s dynamics. Midfielder Niklas Schmidt is out with a cruciate ligament injury and is expected to return by mid-November 2025. His absence diminishes Toulouse’s midfield depth and creativity. Additionally, winger Rafik Messali is recovering from an ankle injury and is on track for a potential early November return, which leaves a gap in the attacking options until his return is confirmed.

Fortunately, there are no suspensions affecting Toulouse, which means they can field a strong side despite these injury setbacks. The focus will be on how well the squad adapts and integrates the available players to cover these crucial positions.

Given these conditions, Toulouse’s strategy and squad depth will be tested against a resilient Le Havre side.

Toulouse Tactics and Formation

Toulouse Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-2-1
• Key Forward: Frank Magri
• Midfield Quartet: Djibril Sidibe, Cristian Cásseres Jr, Abu Francis, Dayann Methalie
• Defensive Trio: Mark McKenzie, Charlie Cresswell, Rasmus Nicolaisen
• Notable Strategy: High pressing and dynamic wing play, aiming to exploit Le Havre’s defensive frailties.

Toulouse’s approach often revolves around their dynamic 3-4-2-1 formation, which allows for both defensive solidity and attacking flexibility. Frank Magri will spearhead the attack, supported by attacking midfielders Aron Dönnum and Yann Gboho, who look to create and exploit spaces.

In midfield, their wide players Djibril Sidibe and Dayann Methalie provide width and crossing options, while central midfielders Cristian Cásseres Jr and Abu Francis aim to control the tempo and distribute the ball efficiently.

Defensively, the back three of McKenzie, Cresswell, and Nicolaisen will be crucial in maintaining structure and preventing counter-attacks. Toulouse’s ability to press high and utilize their wide players will be key in breaking down Le Havre’s defensive lines.

Le Havre Team Analysis

Le Havre Recent Performance

Le Havre have showcased a string of mixed performances in their recent fixtures, capturing two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five Ligue 1 encounters. Here’s a quick breakdown:

• Le Havre 1-0 Brest (29 Oct 2025): A narrow home win highlighting their defensive resilience.
• Auxerre 0-1 Le Havre (26 Oct 2025): An away victory, emphasizing their capability to grind out results.
• Marseille 6-2 Le Havre (18 Oct 2025): A heavy defeat on the road, revealing defensive vulnerabilities.
• Le Havre 2-2 Rennes (5 Oct 2025): A hard-fought home draw showcasing their attacking potential.
• Metz 0-0 Le Havre (28 Sept 2025): A goalless draw indicating strong defensive efforts.

Le Havre have averaged 1.20 goals per game in their last five matches, while managing to keep three clean sheets. This emphasizes their defensive solidity but also points to the challenge of maintaining consistency in tougher matches. With Issa Soumare leading the scoring charts with three goals, Le Havre will need to find the right balance between attack and defense to secure valuable points.

Le Havre Key Players

Le Havre’s attack is led by Issa Soumare, who is their top scorer with three goals this season. His ability to find the net will be crucial in challenging Toulouse’s defense. Alongside him, Godson Kyeremeh and Fodé Doucouré provide additional attacking options that can create significant headaches for Toulouse’s backline.

In midfield, the trio of Abdoulaye Toure, Ayumu Seko, and Simon Ebonog are key to maintaining Le Havre’s structure and controlling the flow of the game. Their ability to break up attacks and transition play will determine how well they can compete against Toulouse’s pressing style.

Defensively, Stephan Zagadou and Gautier Lloris hold the fort in the centre-back positions, and their performance will be vital in keeping Toulouse’s attackers at bay.

Expected lineup for Le Havre:

• Goalkeeper: Mory Diaw
• Defenders: Arouna Sangante, Gautier Lloris, Stephan Zagadou, Thomas Delaine
• Midfielders: Abdoulaye Toure, Simon Ebonog, Ayumu Seko
• Attackers: Fodé Doucouré, Issa Soumare, Godson Kyeremeh

Key battles to watch include Issa Soumare taking on Mark McKenzie, and Fodé Doucouré trying to outmaneuver Rasmus Nicolaisen.

Le Havre Suspensions & Injuries

Le Havre will have to cope without forward Mohamed Bayo, who is sidelined with a sprained ankle and is not expected back until late May 2024. His absence limits their attacking depth and puts extra pressure on their other forwards, especially Issa Soumare and Fodé Doucouré, to step up and deliver in his stead.

Fortunately, Le Havre will not have any players suspended for this match, allowing coach Didier Digard to have a relatively full-strength squad to select from, aside from Bayo’s injury.

Overall, Le Havre’s ability to adapt and compensate for Bayo’s absence will be an important factor in their performance against an aggressive Toulouse side.

Le Havre Tactics and Formation

Le Havre Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Issa Soumare
• Midfield Trio: Abdoulaye Toure, Simon Ebonog, Ayumu Seko
• Defensive Strength: Three clean sheets in the last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Compact defense and quick counter-attacks to exploit gaps behind Toulouse’s pressing game.

Le Havre’s approach typically revolves around their 4-3-3 formation, which allows for fluidity in both defense and attack. Issa Soumare will lead the frontline, supported by Godson Kyeremeh and Fodé Doucouré, each aiming to exploit Toulouse’s defensive lines.

The midfield trio of Toure, Ebonog, and Seko is essential in both breaking up opposition play and initiating swift counter-attacks. They will need to be well-coordinated to disrupt Toulouse’s dynamic attacking play.

Defensively, the back four, marshaled by Stephan Zagadou and Gautier Lloris, will prioritize maintaining their shape and resilience. Expect Le Havre to absorb pressure and look for opportunities to strike on the break.

Toulouse vs Le Havre Head-to-Head Statistics

The head-to-head record between Toulouse and Le Havre showcases a competitive edge with several notable fixtures in recent seasons:

• 23 February 2025 (Ligue 1): Le Havre 1-4 Toulouse
• 15 September 2024 (Ligue 1): Toulouse 2-0 Le Havre
• 10 March 2024 (Ligue 1): Le Havre 1-0 Toulouse
• 5 November 2023 (Ligue 1): Toulouse 1-2 Le Havre
• 21 February 2022 (Ligue 2): Toulouse 4-0 Le Havre

Toulouse has secured three victories in their last five encounters, including a dominant 4-1 away win earlier this year. Le Havre’s most recent win over Toulouse came in November 2023, indicating they can pull off surprises.

The analysis demonstrates Toulouse’s recent superiority, especially on their home ground where they have remained unbeaten in their last two matches against Le Havre. This historical advantage, combined with their current form, adds weight to the prediction of a strong performance by Toulouse.

Odds accurate as of 31/10/2025 16:16, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.