Toulouse vs. Rennes Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 3 May 2025 - bettingexpert
The upcoming Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Rennes on 3 May 2025 at Stadium Municipal promises to be an intriguing contest. Set for a 18:00 kickoff and overseen by referee Benoit Millot, both teams are positioned closely in the standings with Rennes in 11th place on 38 points and Toulouse just behind in 12th with 35 points.
Toulouse are desperate for a win, having not secured a victory in their last seven league outings. Despite this, they are the bookmaker’s favorites with odds of 2.10 for a win. Rennes, on the other hand, come into the match in better form, winning four of their last five away matches which suggests they could exploit Toulouse’s home woes.
Weather conditions could play a significant factor, so keep an eye out for updates. The prediction leans towards Rennes to win given their recent form and Toulouse’s struggles.
Recommended bet: Rennes to win in regular time.
Toulouse vs Rennes Prediction & Betting tip
| Toulouse vs Rennes Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Rennes to win | 3.44 |
- Toulouse’s form: With no wins in their last seven matches, Toulouse have struggled to find consistency.
- Rennes’ exploits: Rennes have been in good form, particularly in away matches, showcasing their potent attacking flair.
- Key players missing: Toulouse’s suspensions and injuries may also tip the scales in Rennes’ favor.
Toulouse vs Rennes Odds
| Toulouse vs Rennes Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Toulouse | 2.10 |
| Draw | 3.38 |
| Rennes | 3.44 |
Toulouse are the bookmaker’s favourite with odds of 2.10, despite their recent inconsistency and injuries. A draw is valued at 3.38, reflecting the closely matched nature of the contest.
However, Rennes’ strong away form and recent successes give them an appealing 3.44 odds.
Expect a closely contested match, but the momentum might just swing in favour of Rennes.
Toulouse Team Analysis
Recent Performance
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | Toulouse | 2025-04-27 | Ligue 1 | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Reims | Toulouse | 2025-04-20 | Ligue 1 | 1-0 (Loss) |
| Toulouse | Lille | 2025-04-12 | Ligue 1 | 1-2 (Loss) |
| Marseille | Toulouse | 2025-04-06 | Ligue 1 | 3-2 (Loss) |
| Toulouse | Brest | 2025-03-30 | Ligue 1 | 2-4 (Loss) |
Toulouse’s recent performances have been far from impressive, characterized by a string of defeats. Their last five games reveal a worrying trend: the team has failed to secure a single victory, with their only reprieve coming in a goalless draw against Nantes.
Recent Form: DLLLL
Despite scoring in 71% of their matches this season, Toulouse have struggled offensively in recent matches, averaging just one goal per game. Defensively, they’ve only managed one clean sheet in their last five fixtures. The team is in a tough spot and will need to buck the trend to come out on top against Rennes.
Toulouse Key Players
Toulouse will heavily rely on their top scorer, Zakaria Aboukhlal, who has found the net 7 times this season. Alongside him, Frank Magri and Joshua King are expected to spearhead the attack, aiming to break their goal drought and capitalize on any defensive lapses by Rennes.
Key individual battles to watch include Toulouse’s forwards against Rennes’s strong centre-back trio of Jacquet, Rouault, and Brassier. The midfield showdown between Cristhian Cásseres Jr. and Seko Fofana could also be pivotal in determining the flow of the game.
Expected lineup for Toulouse:
- Goalkeeper: Guillaume Restes
- Defenders: Jaydee Canvot, Djibril Sidibe, Charlie Cresswell
- Midfielders: Aron Dönnum, Cristhian Cásseres Jr., Vincent Sierro, Gabriel Suazo, Joshua King, Yann Gboho
- Forward: Frank Magri
With Toulouse aiming for their first home win of the year, their key players must step up to reverse their recent form.
Toulouse Suspensions & Injuries
Toulouse will be dealing with several key absences due to injuries and suspensions, which could significantly impact their performance against Rennes.
Injuries:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Niklas Schmidt | Cruciate ligament injury | Out for season |
| Rasmus Nicolaisen | Ankle injury | Mid May 2025 |
Suspensions:
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Mark McKenzie | Red card | 2 matches left |
| Noah Edjouma | Red card | 1 match left |
These absences will force Toulouse’s coach Carles Martínez to make some tactical adjustments. The injury to Schmidt and the absence of key defenders McKenzie and Edjouma mean that Toulouse’s defensive solidity will be under scrutiny. This will likely place additional pressure on their remaining defensive line and goalkeeper Guillaume Restes.
Toulouse Tactics and Formation
Toulouse Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-4-2-1
- Key Forward: Frank Magri
- Midfield Core: Aron Dönnum and Vincent Sierro
- Defensive Set-Up: Jaydee Canvot, Djibril Sidibe, Charlie Cresswell
Tactical Approach:
Toulouse will likely deploy a 3-4-2-1 formation to maximize their width and defensive coverage. Their key forward, Frank Magri, will be the focal point in attack, supported by Joshua King and Yann Gboho in attacking midfield roles.
Despite recent defensive challenges, head coach Carles Martínez will look to solidify their backline with Canvot, Sidibe, and Cresswell. The midfield quartet of Dönnum, Sierro, and their colleagues will aim to control possession and provide both defensive support and offensive thrusts.
Suspensions and injuries will mean Toulouse needs to adjust, likely putting more emphasis on a solid, organized structure, and trying to capitalize on set pieces and counter-attacks.
Rennes Team Analysis
Rennes Recent Performance
Rennes have showcased an inconsistent but somewhat promising run in their last five matches, registering three wins and two losses.
Here’s a look at their most recent performances:
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | Rennes | 2025-04-26 | Ligue 1 | 4-1 (Loss) |
| Rennes | Nantes | 2025-04-18 | Ligue 1 | 2-1 (Win) |
| Le Havre | Rennes | 2025-04-13 | Ligue 1 | 1-5 (Win) |
| Rennes | Auxerre | 2025-04-06 | Ligue 1 | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Angers | Rennes | 2025-03-30 | Ligue 1 | 0-3 (Win) |
Rennes have been relatively strong in front of goal lately, averaging 2.2 goals per game over their last five fixtures. They’ve also managed to secure one clean sheet in the same period.
Recent Form: LWWLW
The team’s attacking dynamics have been underlined by their top scorer Arnaud Kalimuendo-Muinga, who has netted 14 times this season. With 38 points, Rennes have remained competitive and will aim to carry their goal-scoring momentum into this fixture.
Rennes Key Players
Expected lineup for Rennes:
- Goalkeeper: Steve Mandanda
- Defenders: Jérémy Doku, Christopher Wooh, Arthur Theate
- Midfielders: Lorenz Assignon, Desire Doue, Baptiste Santamaria, Lovro Majer, Adrien Truffert
- Attackers: Amine Gouiri, Arnaud Kalimuendo
Rennes’ key player is undoubtedly their top scorer, Arnaud Kalimuendo, who has netted 14 goals this season. His striking ability will be crucial in breaking down Toulouse’s defence. Another pivotal player is Baptiste Santamaria, renowned for his midfield dominance and playmaking.
Steve Mandanda’s goalkeeping skills will be vital against Toulouse’s attackers, while the defensive trio of Doku, Wooh, and Theate needs to be on point to mitigate Toulouse’s offensive threats.
Rennes Suspensions & Injuries
Rennes are dealing with several key injuries that might influence their gameplay against Toulouse:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Alidu Seidu | Cruciate ligament injury | Out for season |
| Dogan Alemdar | Cruciate ligament injury | Mid May 2025 |
| Ayanda Sishuba | Hamstring Injury | Mid May 2025 |
The absence of Alidu Seidu is a significant blow to the defensive line, weakening their back-three formation stability. Dogan Alemdar’s injury affects their goalkeeping depth, while Ayanda Sishuba’s absence in midfield could reduce creativity and possession control.
These injuries might compel Habib Beye to rethink his strategy, relying heavily on the current squad depth to maintain competitiveness.
Rennes Tactics and Formation
Rennes’ Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-5-2
- Key Forward: Arnaud Kalimuendo-Muinga
- Midfield Control: Lorenz Assignon, Azor Matusiwa, Djaoui Cisse, Seko Fofana, Adrien Truffert
- Defensive Trio: Jérémy Jacquet, Anthony Rouault, Lilian Brassier
- Goalkeeper: Brice Samba
- Defensive Resilience: Conceded only eight goals in their last five games
- Offensive Momentum: Averaging 2.20 goals per game in their previous five matches
Rennes tend to dominate possession through a five-man midfield, allowing them to control the tempo and break down opposition defenses. They excel at wing play, utilizing the pace and crossing ability of their wide players to create scoring opportunities for their forwards.
Coach Habib Beye will likely deploy Kalimuendo-Muinga to exploit Toulouse’s defensive vulnerabilities, aiming to convert chances into goals.
Toulouse vs Rennes Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rennes | Toulouse | 2024-11-10 | Ligue 1 | 0-2 (Win) |
| Rennes | Toulouse | 2024-04-13 | Ligue 1 | 1-2 (Win) |
| Toulouse | Rennes | 2023-12-17 | Ligue 1 | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Toulouse | Rennes | 2023-02-12 | Ligue 1 | 3-1 (Win) |
| Rennes | Toulouse | 2022-11-12 | Ligue 1 | 2-1 (Win) |
Over their last five meetings, Toulouse have managed to get the upper hand with three wins, one draw, and one loss. Their most recent encounter saw Toulouse triumph with a 2-0 victory away at Rennes.
This historical context lends an intriguing backdrop to their upcoming face-off.
Odds accurate as of 1st May 2025 18:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
