Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies Bet Builder Tips: Friday, May 13th
Game 6 of the Western Conference semi-finals between the Golden State Warriors and the Memphis Grizzlies will be played tonight at 03:00 (UK time) ay Chase Center. After taking the 3-1 lead, the Warriors lost Game 5 by a landslide at FedExForum, and are looking to bounce back in this one and finish off the series. Who will come out on top? Find out in the article below.
In this article:
- Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies Betting Analysis
- Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies Bet Builder Tips
The Golden State Warriors went up 3-1 in the series on May 9th, and most bettors backed them to finish the job in Game 5. However, if you read my Grizzlies vs Warriors Bet Builder on Wednesday, you would have seen this loss coming a mile away. Although it’s true, I didn’t expect the Grizzlies to go off for 134 points, I did expect them to survive in front of home fans. Now the series moves back to Chase Center where the Warriors won both games in this series and won 31 of 41 regular season games whilst covering the spread in 26.
The Warriors are definitely one of the best teams in the league this season, and guess who saw that coming. I gave them a solid B in my NBA Betting Value Report Cards article before the start of the season, but they exceeded even my expectations. The Warriors are ranked top of the league in defensive rating whilst allowing just 105.5 points per game this regular season. Their defensive stats have taken a hit due to the recent blowout loss, but they are more than capable of shutting down the Grizzlies in front of their home crowd.
The Grizzlies are another team that surpassed even the most optimistic expectations this season, easily going over their 41.5 total wins mark at the start of the season and making good on my bet to make the playoffs at 2.15 odds. They’ve provided excellent value all season long, but it might be time to call it a season. They did well to beat the Warriors in Game 5 without Ja Morant and even held a 52-point lead at one point. The Grizzlies have a nice balance of athleticism and composure when playing at FedExForum, but it’s been a different story on the road.
The Grizzlies lost both of their games at Chase Center these playoffs, only going for 112 and 98 points respectively, with the first one still being a 30-point blowout. Although this team has impressed myself and most of the NBA world this season, one thing is certain, they still lack the playoff experience in order to be able to reach the conference finals. With Ja Morant out, they have lost their primary ball handler and most reliable scorer in crunch time. I don’t trust them on the road against the Warriors.
Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies Builder Tips
- Under 104.5 points for Memphis
- Under 19.5 Points for Desmond Bane
- Under 7.5 Assists for Tyus Jones
- Over 7.5 rebounds for Draymond Green
Bet Builder is available at odds of 5.50
Odds as at 1 pm May 13th. Odds may now differ.
The Grizzlies have done an excellent job to make it this far, but I’m afraid I don’t trust them to score a lot tonight. They went for 112 points in Game 3 at Chase Center, but that was an unusually high scoring game, and I expect a more methodical approach from both teams. It’s an elimination game for the Grizz on the road, but the Warriors are looking to close out the series in front of home fans. I expect the Warriors defence to be at high alert this time around.
That said, Desmond Bane has averaged 18.2 points for the Grizzlies during the defence shy regular season, but those numbers have dropped down to 11.8 in this series. He had a 21 point game last time around, but the Warriors gave up mid-game and you can bet this won’t be happening tonight. I see the 19.5 point mark as far too high for the young guard, and I’m backing the Warriors to keep him under in Game 6.
The same goes for Tyus Jones. He has averaged 4.4 assists per game for the Grizz this season, with that number going down to 4.2 in this series. In the absence of Ja Morant he has seen increased minutes, but he only got past 7.5 in their last game, which is a far from a reliable example. I don’t see him getting 8 assists tonight.
Draymond has been Steve Kerr’s starting center in this series, and has gotten double digit rebounds twice. But when? In games 2 and 4. The scoring total in those games was 207 and 199 which is very low, and we all know that Kerr loves to rely on Draymond in defence-heavy games. I have no doubt he will get more than 30 minutes tonight which usually means an easy over in the rebounding department.