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tennis | Friday, March 17, 2023 8:31 AM

Friday Tennis Best Bet: ATP Challenger Phoenix, Alexander Bublik vs Zhizhen Zhang

Friday Tennis Best Bet: ATP Challenger Phoenix, Alexander Bublik vs Zhizhen Zhang
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Alexander Bublik vs Zhizhen Zhang Best Bet: Friday, March 17th

No men’s action from Indian Wells on Friday to round out the week, with the women’s semifinals taking centre stage. Instead, we’ll look to the Challenger event in Phoenix to provide us with Friday’s selection from the men’s side of things.

It’s the match between Alexander Bublik and Zhizhen Zhang that we’ll delve into.

In this article:

Alexander Bublik vs Zhizhen Zhang Preview

March 17th, 19:30 (UK Time)

I often talk about fun and interesting matchups in these articles, but in this case, it’s more about the volatility of the players involved than the quality of tennis on offer.

Very little needs to be said regarding the exploits of Bublik – one of the players who has no problem making it known when he lacks motivation – while Zhang has had his fair share of problems closing out matches when he’s led by a set or a set and a break of serve.

When they’re on, however, they can both hit the ball with blistering pace, which should bode well on these courts, which tend to play medium to medium fast in terms of court speed.

With both able to hold serve consistently, along with the ability for each to disappear form-wise within the match for long stretches, I wouldn’t be surprised in the least to see this one turn out to be a rather lengthy affair.

In most cases, volatility can be tough in pricing up matches and finding an edge in the betting markets.

In this case though, the volatility is our friend, as it lends itself perfectly to the match going well over the total.

Alexander Bublik vs Zhizhen Zhang Best Bet

I’m content backing the over here between two strong servers, big strikers of the ball and volatile players when it comes to their form within matches.

I also think because this is a fairly tight contest for me, and with Bublik lacking motivation at bigger tournaments than this, that taking the underdog to win would also be a smart idea in case the Kazakh loses the opening set and elects to tank his way out of the event.

  • Selection: Over 22.5 Games
  • Best Odds: 1.90 (Pinnacle)
  • Stakes: 3/10
  • Bonus: Zhang to win at 2.70 odds with Pinnacle, using 2/10 stakes.

Odds as at 4:00 am on March 15th, 2023. Odds may now differ.

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