Elina Avanesyan vs Anna Schmiedlova Prediction, Picks, Odds, H2H, Stats - 7/19/24
Elina Avanesyan and Anna Schmiedlova will kick off quarterfinal action at the Budapest Grand Prix on Friday, and one of them will become the first semifinalist of the tournament.
Schmiedlova has spent plenty of time on the court in the first two rounds in Hungary as each of her first two matches in Budapest have gone the distance. The Slovakian native has twice dropped the first set having to make two comebacks to land in the quarterfinal today.
Schmiedlova hasn’t fared well at this stage recently having lost 7 of her last 8 quarterfinal matches, and will be a +160 underdog to reach the semifinals.
Avanesyan is in familiar territory having reached this stage a year ago but the 21-year-old has never reached a semifinal in her young career.
EJ Garr’s Elina Avanesyan vs Anna Schmiedlova prediction is on a handicap priced at -115, so check out his offer below.
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Elina Avanesyan vs Anna Schmiedlova Prediction
- Prediction: Anna Schmiedlova +3.5 Games Handicap
- Best Odds: -115
- Bookmaker: Pinnacle
- Stakes: 3/10
Odds updated at 7:00 am UK Time July 19, 2024.
Elina Avanesyan is a strong favorite to get past her Slovakian opponent today, and some bookmakers are setting lines as high as -200 on that expectation. On average, -175 is the line offered at most major books, and I am surprised to see that but we’re going to take advantage of it.
I was hoping to catch the +4 at a reasonable price, but the vig on that isn’t my style so when I saw -115 on the +3.5 at Pinnacle it was all I needed. I don’t expect this to be some kind of blowout and I imagine a few bettors might take a flyer on Schmiedlova at +160 to upset Avanesyan.
As the favorite, the pressure now turns to Evanesyan because she has never reached a semifinal outside an ITF event but has four clay titles at that level to her credit. Elina’s best surface is the dirt, giving her confidence as she enters more WTA250-level events against quality opponents.
Today is one of those days, as Schmiedlova (79) is ranked only four spots behind Avanesyan (75), and the Slovak recently claimed the Parma Challenger title to win her eighth career title on clay.
Schmiedlova has shown some moxy while mounting a pair of comebacks dropping the first set in two matches in Budapest. Elina was a +130 underdog against Sorribes Tormo, after a 2 – 6 opening frame defeat, the Slovak broke the Spaniard 6 times en route to a pair of 6 – 2 set wins to advance to today’s quarterfinal in Budapest.
This will be a closer match than the experts would like you to think, so the +3.5 games on the underdog Slovak to cover is the play to make at -115.
ELINA AVANESYAN RECENT FORM
Elina Avanesyan is attempting to reach the semifinals at a WTA250 level event for the first time in her career today. Avanesyan is 85 – 53 in her career on clay dating back to 2018, and three of her four titles on clay were won in the 2021 campaign.
With a 7 – 5 record on clay this year, Elina has a record of 18 – 14 this season.
Eastbourne was a wild place to be in the last week of June as Avanesyan prepared for Wimbledon. Muchova had just returned from a 10-month layoff, and only four games into the match Avanesyan walked off the court with
Muchova retired in her next match at Eastbourne ruining the Czech’s comeback, and Avanesyan only won one match in London before being sent out of the grass Major.
ANNA SCHMIEDLOVA RECENT FORM
Anna has tasted defeat in 7 of her last 8 trips to the quarterfinal stage, and it has been six years since her trip to the Bogota title. Schmiedlova has eight career titles on the dirt, although six tournament wins are at the IFT and Challenger level.
Anna is 173 – 98 over her career on the dirt dating back to 2012, and 2024 marks the ninth time with double-digit wins in a season.
AVANESYAN VS SCHMIEDLOVA HTH – STAT OF THE MATCH
In the only meeting between Avanesyan and Schmiedlova, the Slovak bashed out a straight-sets win at 2 & 3 in Bastad during the 2022 campaign,
The winner of this quarterfinal clash at the Budapest Grand Prix will face either Suzan Lamens or Aliaksandra Sasnovich in the semifinals on Saturday.
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