Lukas Klein vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Prediction, Expert Picks, Odds, H2H, 4/24/24

The final preview of the day comes from the Lukas Klein vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz in the ATP singles draw from the Mutua Madrid Open. Jon Reid’s Klein vs Llamas Ruiz prediction is available below!

Llamas Ruiz’s win probability is right in the 50% range, while Klein is favored to win at 1.90 odds. The handicap is 0 games and the total games line is 23.

Klein vs Llamas Ruiz Prediction: Klein too Overpowered

• Prediction: Klein to win
• Best Odds: 1.90
• Bookmaker: Pinnacle
• Stakes: 3/10

Odds as at 3:45 am UK Time on April 24th, 2024. Odds may now differ.

In a year where both these players are playing as well as they ever have, there are a few reasons I have Klein as the favorite.

First, when both are playing their best tennis, the Slovakian’s firepower is well clear of Llamas Ruiz’s. His best is much, much closer to being main tour-level talent than the Spaniard’s and in the elevated conditions in Madrid, that should only be amplified.

The other reason comes down to the number of quality opponents that Klein has proven himself against in his ascent to the top 120. He’s got more impressive wins on his resume than Llamas Ruiz and even in his losses, he’s been more impressive to me than his counterpart in this match. My Klein vs Llamas Ruiz prediction is for Klein to win.

We have more previews from both the men’s and women’s draws available on our expert insights page.

---

Lukas Klein Recent Form

After a great hard court season, Klein reverted to the kind of frustratingly sloppy play that held him back to begin his clay court season, losing as a big favorite to both Jaime Faria and Elmer Moller.

He’s gotten himself back on track this week in qualifying, cruising past Pol Martin Tiffon, as one would expect him to, and then beating a strong altitude clay player in Thiago Agustin Tirante by a six-game margin, which is also an encouraging sign. Armed with a booming serve and a really strong forehand, Klein’s weapons always could play up on the main tour.

His ability to play smart and sustained aggressive tennis, however, was always a concern. With this season finally showing us what Klein can do when he’s playing his best, I wouldn’t be surprised if he can build on an excellent qualifying campaign. He’s never had trouble translating his game to clay courts in the past, and with the thinner air rewarding big servers, he should have that extra advantage on his side for at least one match as well.

---

Pablo Llamas Ruiz Recent Form

It’s been a year that has seen the 21-year-old take a big step forward, both in his results and in his development. Not only has he qualified for ATP Tour-level main draws, but he’s won several matches once he’s gotten there, which is certainly an encouraging sign.

His improvements on serve and in terms of being more aggressive with his forehand, all while maintaining that solidity from the baseline have helped him take that step.

Now, I do think his ceiling is still a tad low and he does have limitations in how aggressive or powerful his game can be. He’s also lost plenty of matches early in tournaments to players that are established Challenger guys, but far from being the main tour caliber of opponents.

The lack of real signature wins also stands out, as Llamas Ruiz can only beat whoever is on the other side of the net, and he’s done so pretty well in 2024, but it does mean that he may be a tad overvalued at this point, especially with the market betting him in the early stages of this market being live.

---

Lukas Klein vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz H2H – Stat of the Match

This will be the first meeting between Klein and Llamas Ruiz, despite both having been playing primarily on the Challenger circuit for the last year or two.

---

Safer Gambling

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.