Pedro Martinez vs Ugo Blanchet Prediction, Picks, Odds, H2H, July 17th

Our first preview from Wednesday’s ATP action comes from the Hamburg Open where we’ll preview one of the earlier matches. It’s Pedro Martinez vs Ugo Blanchet.

Blanchet’s win probability is only 29%, while Martinez is favoured to win at 1.35 odds. The handicap is 3.5 games and the total games line is 21.5.

Our Martinez vs Blanchet prediction is for Martinez to cover the handicap.

Pedro Martinez vs Ugo Blanchet Prediction: Martinez Too Strong for Frenchman

• Predictions: Martinez -3.5 Games & Martinez -4 Games
• Best Odds: 1.85 & 2.08
• Bookmaker: Pinnacle
• Stakes: 4/10 & 3/10

Odds updated at 3:15 am UK Time on July 17th, 2024. 

I’m going to go with another “keep it simple” kind of handicap here. I think the discrepancy between the levels of tennis each of these guys plays is far greater than the handicap would suggest.

Blanchet has a few decent wins this year, but he hasn’t accomplished nearly as much as Martinez, and I don’t think he matches up particularly well with him either.

I won’t complicate things here and take the favorite that I think is showing a lot of value at a sub-4.5 game handicap.

We have plenty more tips and previews over on the expert insights page.

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Pedro Martinez Recent Form

Now back in the top 50 in the rankings, Martinez has been excellent so far on the clay in 2024, reaching the final of the Estoril 250, the big Bordeaux Challenger, and winning another on the lower tour in Girona.

He doesn’t have much power, but he plays with a good amount of topspin, making his serves less attackable and the trajectory of his groundstrokes tough to deal with. If you try to over-hit against his shots, you’re likely going to commit an error and he makes so few mistakes that his lesser opposition struggles to find ways to win points against him.

Now, the better ATP Tour players aren’t going to have too tough of a time with his underpowered game for the most part, but luckily for the veteran in this matchup, he’s playing a guy who struggles to find consistent wins at lower levels and certainly doesn’t have the weapons to overpower him.

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Ugo Blanchet Recent Form

Good on the 25-year-old for reaching the second round of a 500-level main tour event, but let’s be real: he played hard courter last round in Alexei Popyrin and had to come from a set down, saving three break points in one service game in the second. He did have a very nice win against Francisco Comesana in qualifying, but other than that, his clay-court resume is not all that impressive.

He has a lot of early-round losses down on the lower tour to players far less daunting than Martinez. He also lacks the weapons one typically needs to hit through the relentless defensive abilities of the Spaniard.

Perhaps he’s more live than I give him credit for, but I can’t have this handicap below 4.5 games.

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Pedro Martinez vs Ugo Blanchet H2H – Stat of the Match

With Martinez being a tour-level regular and higher-level Challenger Tour guy, these two have yet to meet. This is the first season we’re seeing Blanchet more often winning matches on the Challenger circuit.

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