Hamad Medjedovic vs Daniel Altmaier Prediction, Stats, Form, H2H, 2/14/25

Our second preview of the day comes from the ATP 250 Open 13 Provence in Marseille. Let’s look at Hamad Medjedovic vs Daniel Altmaier.

Altmaier’s win probability is only 35%, while Medjedovic is favoured to win at 1.49 odds. The handicap is 2.5 games and the total games line is 23.

Jon Reid’s Medjedovic vs Altmaier prediction is for Medjedovic to cover the handicap.

Hamad Medjedovic vs Daniel Altmaier Prediction: Medjedovic More Suited to Indoor Conditions Than Altmaier

• Prediction: Medjedovic -3 Games
• Best Odds: 2.03
• Bookmaker: Pinnacle
• Stakes: 2/10

Odds as at 5:00 am UK Time on February 14th, 2025. Odds may now differ.

Though we have the edge in firepower and surface on our side in this matchup, I’m not too keen on going too large here. Altmaier has been more competitive than expected a few times on quicker surfaces of late and Medjedovic doesn’t exactly possess the best return game around.

It also wouldn’t surprise me in the least to see a guy like Medjedovic pick up a solid victory one round and then lose to a guy he should be the next. He’s still prone to poor losses every once in a while.

All that said, he’s still too strong for this handicap of three games (what could amount to a one break of serve margin of victory) to be this cheap.

More tennis previews can be found on the expert insights page.

---

Hamad Medjedovic Recent Form

Was I ever wrong about the readiness of Medjedovic to compete against someone like Karen Khachanov the other day. Now, it must be said that the Khachanov was terrible on the day, landing fewer than 50% of his first serves, struggling to find winners and spraying unforced errors.

Still, Medjedovic has been pretty good this season and now he’s added a win against Khachanov to a strong performance in a loss to Holger Rune to solidify his ascent into the top-100 (currently No. 85 in the live rankings). He also has the big game to take advantage of the courts in Marseille that have been rewarding serves, with his first serve looking solid, but his second serve really holding up well through two matches too.

With him dispatching his first two opponents in a fairly quick manner, I’m not so worried about time on court and with him picking up his fair share of cheap points behind his serve, he can neutralise Altmaier’s ability to grind from the baseline a bit.

---

Daniel Altmaier Recent Form

The German has been having a nice week himself in the south of France, as he’s yet to drop a set, despite being an underdog in both matches to this point.

He had a decent week indoors in Rotterdam as well, but those slower courts, where his ability to extend points from the baseline was a bit more useful. This week has been a bit more surprising against the likes of Otto Virtanen and Luca Nardi. Medjedovic is a tougher task than those two, but the error reduction in the last few weeks has been impressive.

While I think he should be a 3.5-game underdog, I can certainly see a world where he’s competitive as well.

---

Hamad Medjedovic vs Daniel Altmaier H2H – Stat of the Match

We haven’t seen these two play one another before.

---

Safer Gambling

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.