Jakub Mensik vs Chun Hsin Tseng Prediction, Picks, Odds, H2H, July 25th

We’re back for Thursday’s previews, and it’s back to Umag and the ATP 250 Plava Laguna Croatian Open. Let’s look at the Jakub Mensik vs Chun Hsin Tseng tilt. Our Mensik vs Tseng prediction and betting picks are available below. 

Tseng’s win probability is at 40%, while Mensik is favoured to win at 1.59 odds. The handicap is 2.5 games and the total games line is 22.

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Jakub Mensik vs Chun Hsin Tseng Prediction: Mensik Dramatically Undervalued in Quarterfinal Clash

• Prediction: Mensik to win & Mensik -3 Games
• Best Odds: 1.59 & 2.06
• Bookmaker: Pinnacle
• Stakes: 6/10 & 4/10

Odds updated at 3:00 am UK Time on July 25th, 2024. 

There is likely some data or more quantitative reasoning for this pricing, but from a qualitative point of view, this is wildly inaccurate. Though he’s struggled a bit of late now that he’s playing almost entirely on the main circuit and had battled a few injuries back in the main clay swing, Mensik has already pulled well ahead of Tseng.

See, though Tseng was a one-time force on the junior circuit and had many believing he was going to possibly translate his game into success as a professional, his lack of offensive ability has really held him back.

His clay record has been impressive this season, as the slower surface and his incredible consistency and defensive play make him a kind of pest to play on clay.

With Mensik being a power player and sometimes hitting unforced errors, there is a path to victory for the Taiwanese pro. Giving him a 40% chance though? That’s a bit much.

My Mensik vs Tseng prediction is for Mensik to win in straightforward fashion.

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Jakub Mensik Recent Form

After a very nice start to 2024, the teenage sensation has really struggled since being visibly hampered in his third round match in Madrid.

It’s not uncommon to see young guns go through patches like that when they first ascend to the main tour and start playing tougher competition on a more regular basis.

This tournament should be a great opportunity for the 18-year-old to get back on track. He already has two nice wins in straight sets – against players probably more skilled and tougher to beat than Tseng, no less. It’s a 250 and not exactly populated by the biggest names in the game.

He has a very nice serve, big forehand and is undoubtedly the more talented player. To get him at a fairly cheap price like this isn’t something I expect to see much moving forward and I’ll look to capitalise here.

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Chun Hsin Tseng Recent Form

At 27-12, Tseng has had a pretty good year on the dirt. The one caveat? None of those 27 victories have come on the ATP World Tour.

He’s found all his success at the Challenger Tour level and even there he’s had plenty of early exits and has lost to players not as talented as the Czech he plays Thursday. A lot of the time, those losses feature lopsided sets as well, as he’s often in big trouble when taking on bigger ball strikers. Mensik would certainly fall into that category.

Recent times have seen him lose to the likes of Jacopo Berrettini (not really even proven at lower levels just yet) and Filip Krajinovic (who hasn’t played much in recent years and done even less winning).

Tseng will need to be near perfect on the day and have to hope for plenty of miscues from the other side of the net as well.

It’s also probably worth noting that even this week hasn’t been all that impressive for the world No. 160.

He beat a local wild card almost no one has ever heard of in qualifying before losing in the final round against a journeyman and needing to enter as a wild card. He received a bye to the second round and then beat a version of Fabio Fognini that almost anyone would’ve beaten on the day.

That’s one lucky and easy path to a main tour quarterfinal.

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Jakub Mensik vs Chun Hsin Tseng H2H – Stat of the Match

This is the first meeting between the two. With each of them being young, I’d say that I think it’s the first of what should be many matches to come. Problem is, I’m not actually sure that Tseng ever becomes an established tour pro, and I don’t think we’ll see Mensik dip back to being a Challenger player anytime soon.

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