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tennis | Monday, August 8, 2022 7:32 AM (Revised at: Monday, August 8, 2022 11:26 AM)

Monday Tennis Best Bet: ATP Montreal, Karen Khachanov vs Francisco Cerundolo

Monday Tennis Best Bet: ATP Montreal, Karen Khachanov vs Francisco Cerundolo
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Karen Khachanov vs Francisco Cerundolo Best Bet: Monday, August 8th

It’s time for one of the two big lead-in events to the final grand slam of the year in the U.S. Open.

The tour shifts to Canada for a pair of big events, with the men playing in Montreal, while the women are in Toronto.

For the men’s selection on the opening day of main draw action, we’ll preview the matchup between Karen Khachanov and Francisco Cerundolo.

In this article:

Karen Khachanov vs Francisco Cerundolo Preview

August 8th, 17:00 (UK Time)

Interesting to see Khachanov as such a heavy favourite in this one, with Cerundolo starting to show some surface versatility to his game in 2022.

There’s no doubt Khachanov is the more experienced hard-court player. That, however, doesn’t mean Cerundolo should automatically be an underdog at over 3.00 odds. The Argentinian has, after all, proven his chops with a deep run in Miami – albeit in much slower conditions. He also showed his forehand is a weapon regardless of surface during the grass season where he pushed Tommy Paul to three sets, Rafael Nadal to four sets at Wimbledon and beat Pedro Martinez as an underdog.

To me, this is indicative that the market is still behind on the curve on his progression, and believes he’s still only a clay-court threat. That allows us to capitalize with some strong positions.

With Khachanov being a very hit-or-miss player in his game style, there’s also a strong chance that Cerundolo can take advantage of the erratic play and take a set from the Russian.

Karen Khachanov vs Francisco Cerundolo Best Bet

Whilst I do believe that Cerundolo has a much better chance than the odds currently on offer would imply, I think there’s more value in backing the over 22.5 games market here, as opposed to the handicap. With the handicap not even offering a 3.5-game head start, despite Cerundolo being over 3.00 odds to win the match, it just doesn’t seem to be as valuable of a proposition.

For my money, backing the over or betting Cerundolo to win the match outright, are the smarter plays.

  • Selection: Over 22.5 Games
  • Best Odds: 1.90 (Bet365)
  • Stakes: 2/10

Odds as at 09:00 am on August 8th, 2022. Odds may now differ.

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