Stan Wawrinka vs Borna Gojo European Open Expert Tip: Fast Courts to Make for a Close Affair

Stan Wawrinka vs Borna Gojo (European Open): Tuesday, October 17th

Great stuff from the young Martin Damm, who played as tight of a match as expected against Maxime Cressy and we came away with a nice higher-odds victory.

This week the ATP tour has three stops, with Tokyo, Antwerp and Stockholm taking centre stage. Tuesday’s preview for the men’s side of things comes from the European Open in Belgium. Let’s delve into Stan Wawrinka vs Borna Gojo.

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In this article:

• Stan Wawrinka vs Borna Gojo Expert Tip
• Stan Wawrinka Recent Form
• Borna Gojo Recent Form
• Stan Wawrinka vs Borna Gojo H2H Stat of the Match
• Gamble Responsibly

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Stan Wawrinka vs Borna Gojo Expert Tip

This is another situation where the underdog with a huge serve is playing against a poor returner and is playing on very fast courts.

All that adds up to me not seeing much room for anyone to win by margin. That makes me a little hesitant to believe a player nearing 40 years old who struggles on return can really win by margin enough times in this matchup to justify being a decided favourite.

I’ll take the tiebreak prop in this match, along with the underdog.

• Expert Tips: Over 0.5 tiebreaks in the match at 1.80 with Bet365, using 3/10 stakes & Gojo to win at 2.40 with Unibet, using 2/10 stakes.

Odds as at 5:00 am UK Time on October 17th, 2023. Odds may now differ.

Read on for more expert insights.

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Stan Wawrinka Recent Form

Since taking a set from Jannik Sinner at the U.S. Open, Wawrinka has really failed to impress.

It’s not that he’s losing badly per se, so much as he’s playing a lot of tight sets and coming out on the losing end of some very close encounters.

I’m not one to bet trends blindly, but if they can be backed up with logic, those bets become much more enticing. In this instance, Wawrinka has played four tiebreaks in his last five sets in somewhat quick conditions (slight altitude and indoor tournament in Astana and quicker courts of Shanghai).

It’s not like they were break-filled tiebreaks either. In fact, in his three-tiebreak match with American Marcos Giron, there wasn’t a single tiebreak in the entire contest.

That brings me to my final point. Wawrinka also plays a style conducive to serve-oriented, tiebreak-filled matches. He’s actually rounded into form nicely this year, even at his age, on serve. The power and first strike tennis is certainly impressive and reminds fans of how he won multiple grand slams once upon a time.

The return game just isn’t there though, with his legs looking every bit of 38 years old.

Borna Gojo Recent Form

We haven’t seen much of Gojo of late, but 2023 has been a career season for the Croatian.

Not only did he recently qualify in New York at the year’s final slam, but he then went on to make the second week of the main draw, before losing to a certain Novak Djokovic.

His huge serve and strong forehand allow him to rack up cheap points and holds, and he’s been much better this year working his way into and out of the back corners of the court, added consistency to his game and his tactical play and point construction have given him the needed dimension to his game to take him to the next level – quite literally.

Considering the fact he’s on the ascent in his career and much younger, I’d actually say he is probably the more likely player of the two to find a break of serve in this tilt.

Stan Wawrinka vs Borna Gojo H2H – Stat of the Match

No previous matchups between these two at the professional level.

Statistically, these two each have hold rates this year on hard courts over 83%, along with break rates of below 20%.

Factor in indoor conditions and very fast courts, and one should only expect those discrepancies to be even more pronounced.

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