Wednesday Tennis Best Bet: ATP Miami, Taro Daniel vs Arthur Rinderknech
Taro Daniel vs Arthur Rinderknech Best Bet: Wednesday, March 22nd
Another three-set match, another three-set bet lost. Abysmal stuff from Tomas Machac, who simply cannot find a way to harness his talent at a consistent level when he’s playing on the ATP Tour. Needless to say, a loss on slower courts to Jordan Thompson is a poor, poor result.
For Wednesday, I want to take a look at the matchup between Taro Daniel and Arthur Rinderknech.
In this article:
Taro Daniel vs Arthur Rinderknech Preview
March 22nd, 15:00 (UK Time)
The last few tournaments have been welcomed by few on tour more than Daniel.
After a slow start to the year on quicker hard courts, the much slower courts of Acapulco, Indian Wells and Miami must have been a sight for sore eyes for the Japanese pro.
While he looked better last year in the opening month of the season, he’s always found more success in slower conditions, where his defensive, consistent and physical style from the baseline allows him to coax errors from opponents and outlast them physically en route to victory.
That is the perfect recipe for success against his first-round opponent in Rinderknech.
For starters, the Frenchman is not a very efficient mover. Advantage Daniel.
Secondly, his game is heavily predicated on power. It’s almost all serve and forehand. On slower courts and in humid conditions – which also slows down how quickly the ball travels through the air – that kind of game is much less effective.
Finally, the form from Rinderknech has been rather poor in 2023 to say the least.
He’s won consecutive matches at an event just once this year. That was at the Challenger Tour level in Pau, where the courts are quicker and also indoors. Even then, however, he beat two fellow Frenchmen who aren’t even really consistent Challenger players and then Jan Lennard Struff, before being dismantled by Luca van Assche.
Other than that one event, he’s been really poor and error prone this season.
Taro Daniel vs Arthur Rinderknech Best Bet
That alone probably isn’t enough to warrant a bet against Rinderknech, though.
When opposing a player due to surface and form, you still want to be backing someone competent on the given surface.
As mentioned, Daniel is well suited for the conditions in Miami, won a few matches here a year ago, and has been in strong form entering the event.
The 30-year-old qualified for the main draw in Acapulco and then went on to win a pair of main draw matches as an underdog. In Indian Wells? He qualified and won a pair of main draw matches once again, with the second as a sizable underdog.
With both of those events also being played in slow conditions, they’re decent barometres for one’s potential success in Miami. The fact that he was consistently undervalued at both events (even in defeat against Cam Norrie at Indian Wells, he took a set as a heavy underdog) is also reassuring, in the sense that the market seems to be off when it comes to pricing him up.
- Selection: Daniel to win
- Best Odds: 1.63 (Pinnacle)
- Stakes: 4/10
- Bonus: Daniel -2.5 Games at 1.98 odds with Pinnacle, using 2/10 stakes.
Odds as at 3:00 am on March 22nd, 2023. Odds may now differ.
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