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tennis | Tuesday, February 6, 2024 10:27 AM (Revised at: Tuesday, February 6, 2024 10:30 AM)

Tennis Picks Today for February 6th: Free Tennis Picks for Daniel Altmaier vs Federico Coria and Diego Schwartzman vs Roman Burruchaga

Tennis Picks Today for February 6th: Free Tennis Picks for Daniel Altmaier vs Federico Coria and Diego Schwartzman vs Roman Burruchaga
Jon Reid
Jon Reid
1

Tennis Picks Today: February 6th

  1. Altmaier vs Coria: Altmaier -3 games
  2. Schwartzman vs Burruchaga: Burruchaga to win

Can’t be too upset with Monday’s results, as we turned a profit thanks to a large stakes wager on Emma Raducanu who was dominant after a slow, error-prone start. Alycia Parks was terrible in a relatively close loss, but we’ll take the money and move on to Tuesday!

For our second day of previews this week, we head to the Cordoba Open in Argentina, as clay court tennis returns for a few weeks in South America.

Let’s look at both Daniel Altmaier vs Federico Coria and Diego Schwartzman vs Roman Burruchaga.

For more daily tennis tips, visit the bettingexpert community, but if you want more expert tips from Jon Reid, visit our Expert Insights section.

In this article:


Daniel Altmaier vs Federico Coria (Cordoba Open) Free Pick: Altmaier Too Strong for Underpowered Coria

  • Pick: Altmaier -3 games
  • Best Odds: 1.99
  • Bookmaker: Pinnacle
  • Stakes: 6/10

Odds as at 3:30 am UK Time on February 6th, 2024. Odds may now differ.

Go with our tip at bet365
Put simply, there’s nothing Coria does that I like more than Altmaier. They’re both clay court naturals and they can both play prolonged points and have decent rally tolerance.

Altmaier, however, is undoubtedly the fresher player physically entering the match, he’s in much better form, has far more to his game and is easily the player who should find more efficient holds of serve.

This handicap is at least a full game off for me, which is enough to pull the trigger on a rather large bet.

Read on for more expert insights.

Daniel Altmaier Recent Form

It’s been a sensational start to 2024 for Altmaier, who also had a fairly strong 2023 campaign. Known for his weight of shot, and rally tolerance, but also the ability to play aggressive, front-foot tennis, the German was always more successful on clay courts.

This season, however, he’s taken that strong first serve and pretty powerful groundstrokes and used them to find more success than expected in quicker conditions.

That combination of comfort on clay and his improved results on hard courts should really help him in Cordoba, which does tend to play quickly by red clay standards.

Now, in terms of form, Altmaier has outright wins against strong hard-court players in Marcos Giron and Felix Auger Aliassime this year, and he pushed Karen Khachanov in each of the four sets those two played in Melbourne.

Having had some time off to recuperate, I trust a fresh Altmaier with a much stronger game to come through here.

Federico Coria Recent Form

The 29-year-old has actually begun his clay season going 4-2, with a nice run last week at a Challenger event in Piracicaba (also played at altitude, for what it’s worth).

Now, it’s hard to deny that he’s in form, but I will take issue with how he performed in a few of those matches.

I was not convinced by his wins over a seemingly fatigued Gianluca Mager in three sets, nor his victory against Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida in the semis, which saw him broken far too often and kept close by someone who doesn’t have a whole lot of power and was committing errors in his own right.

He then lost to a relatively weaponless Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the final and certainly looked like he was feeling the effects of a long week and a few long matches prior to Sunday’s final. That very well could play a role in this one as well. Backing up long weeks is tough. Backing up long weeks that were physical on clay? Arguably even tougher. It’s not like Altmaier plays a style that is easy to conserve energy against either. He hits a heavy ball that can wear you down, and he’s just fine playing prolonged rallies as well.

His own style also really struggles when it comes to generating offence and is reliant on wearing opponents down and breaking their serve consistently.

He leaves far too many balls short in the court, doesn’t really hit with any kind of consistent width, either, and could very well leave far too many balls in the optimal spots for Altmaier to go big on.

Daniel Altmaier vs Federico Coria H2H – Stat of the Match

These two have played four times in the past, all of them having come on clay courts. Altmaier leads 4-1, including having won the last two meetings convincingly.

Now, I’m not one who loves to point to head-to-head records as predictive, as players evolve and develop their games. That said, in this case, it does provide some reassurance. The most recent of the matches between these two actually took place in 2022. That is before we really saw Altmaier start to play higher-level tennis and in main tour tournaments.

With Altmaier having been the one who has improved more since their prior meetings, there is little reason to believe that Coria should buck the trend of their last few encounters. Especially with the stylistic matchup being firmly in Altmaier’s favour.


Diego Schwartzman vs Roman Burruchaga (Cordoba Open) Free Pick: Burruchaga to Make Statement Against Veteran Countryman

  • Pick: Burruchaga to win
  • Best Odds: 2.08
  • Bookmaker: Unibet
  • Stakes: 4/10

Odds as at 3:30 am UK Time on February 6th, 2024. Odds may now differ.

Go with our tip at Unibet
It’s to pass up an opportunity to oppose Schwartzman at the moment when we’re getting even odds.

I don’t think one should do it blindly, but if you have a talented player playing on his preferred surface and is in decent form, it’s a worthwhile wager to make.

Throw in Schwartzman’s admitted troubles with the conditions in Cordoba, and you have a decent recipe for a slight upset.

Read on for more expert insights.

Diego Schwartzman Recent Form

It has been a really tough stretch for the veteran who was a mainstay for years in the world’s top 25. Last season saw him drop out of the top 100 though, and that’s a benchmark he hasn’t been able to clear since.

The diminutive, but hard-working Argentine has long been a fan favourite thanks to his work rate and happy, kind persona. His solidity from the baseline was once top-5 in the sport and his ability to redirect pace and spot serve consistently added the necessary dimensions to his game to help keep him near the top.

In the last year or so, however, we’ve seen Schwartzman struggle and be knocked out early in most tournaments he’s played, as that underpowered game has been hit through by opponent after opponent and even his trademark consistency has let him down, with his backhands often ending up in the net and resulting in lost points.

Finally, we’ve heard him year after year talk about how the quicker, yet still high-bouncing conditions in Cordoba thanks to the altitude are not suited for his game and trouble him.

With the poor form, lack of weapons, error-prone tendencies and a tournament he’s not fond of, I find it hard to make him a favourite against anyone decent on clay – even if they’re found primarily at the Challenger Tour.

Roman Burruchaga Recent Form

I’m excited to see how Burruchaga fares at the ATP Tour level (even if it is at an event that typically sports a weaker draw).

The 22-year-old was once a promising prospect but hasn’t managed to really break through, mainly due to constant injury concerns. He’s 170th in the world at the moment and that is actually a career-high ranking (he’s just two main draw wins from reaching the top 150 for the first time).

He’s shown the ability to play in elevated conditions on the Challenger Tour a few times, having reached the quarterfinals in both Campinas and Curitiba, as well as the final in Brasilia (oddly enough, all in Brazil).

He has a strong first serve that benefits from the thinner air, a forehand capable of dictating play and he’s been climbing the rankings now that he’s found a patch of good health.

Throw in the fact he qualified here, and I’m sold on him on Tuesday. I’m not one who usually puts much stock in qualifiers having an advantage of any kind, but considering how we have the rare quicker conditions with a high bouncing court combination, the two matches – in which he was dominant – over the weekend could very well prove to be relevant in helping him get past his compatriot.

Daniel Altmaier vs Federico Coria H2H – Stat of the Match

These two have played four times in the past, all of them having come on clay courts. Altmaier leads 4-1, including having won the last two meetings convincingly.

Now, I’m not one who loves to point to head-to-head records as predictive, as players evolve and develop their games. That said, in this case, it does provide some reassurance. The most recent of the matches between these two actually took place in 2022. That is before we really saw Altmaier start to play higher-level tennis and in main tour tournaments.

With Altmaier having been the one who has improved more since their prior meetings, there is little reason to believe that Coria should buck the trend of their last few encounters. Especially with the stylistic matchup being firmly in Altmaier’s favour.


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