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tennis | Thursday, October 20, 2022 7:38 AM

Thursday Tennis Best Bet: ATP Stockholm, Alex de Minaur vs J.J. Wolf

Thursday Tennis Best Bet: ATP Stockholm, Alex de Minaur vs J.J. Wolf
Jon Reid
Jon Reid
2

Alex de Minaur vs J.J. Wolf Best Bet: Thursday, October 20th

Tough result on Tuesday’s selection, as Alexander Shevchenko was just far too poor in the prolonged rallies he needed to dominate to beat Antoine Bellier.

Onto Thursday, where we’ll look to get back on track by staking out a position in the match between Alex de Minaur and J.J. Wolf in Stockholm.

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Alex de Minaur vs J.J. Wolf Preview

October 20th, 12:00 UK Time

A big test coming on Thursday for the American, who looks to continue his strong play indoors, after reaching the final (though he lost in relatively straightforward fashion to Felix Auger Aliassime) in Florence last week.

It won’t be easy, as his tendency to produce a high dose of unforced errors could be exploited by the ever-consistent Australian.

With one of the best movement and defence combinations on the ATP Tour, de Minaur has been a mainstay inside the world’s top-25 players.

His best results have also tended to come on quicker courts in the past. We’ve written about this same kind of phenomenon with American Frances Tiafoe, as de Minaur’s serve and forehand become much tougher to return and break down thanks to conditions speeding things up, while he has a significant advantage against most opponents when it comes to returning and athleticism.

Going up against a power-centric player, he’ll need to utilise that advantage, and that should come in handy, especially playing against someone who tends to hit errors as rallies get prolonged.

I’ll happily back de Minaur here at just a 3.5-game handicap, as I have him in my bracket going all the way through to the final.


Alex de Minaur vs J.J. Wolf Best Bet

I’m happy to both back de Minaur in these conditions, as well as happy to oppose Wolf off a long week and maiden ATP Tour-level final in Italy.

With the matchup actually giving de Minaur an even larger edge, I do think we’re finding value in a handicap of under four games here.

  • Selection: de Minaur -3.5 Games
  • Best Odds: 1.97 (Pinnacle)
  • Stakes: 4/10

Odds as at 9:00 am on October 20th, 2022. Odds may now differ.


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