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tennis | torsdag, august 19, 2021 10:51 AM
US Open Winner Odds 2021: Djokovic and Raducanu Favourites to Win
US Open Winner Odds 2021: Djokovic and Raducanu Favourites to Win
Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports/Sipa USA

What, when where?

  • US Open 2021
  • August 30th, 2021 – September 12th, 2021
  • New York City, New York

US Open Winner Odds Update: September 10th 2021

With the US Open already nearing its end, it’s time to take a look at the top contenders and see how they fared throughout the tournament.

In the men’s category, Novak Djokovic is still the top favourite to go all the way, and his US Open winner odds have remained the same at 1.67 (Paddy Power).

Daniil Medvedev is still going strong, and his odds to win the Us Open have shortened to from 5.00 to 3.10 (Bet365). He will face off against Felix Auger-Aliassime in the semi-final, whose odds have shortened from 91.00 to 21.00 (Unibet). Auger-Aliassime came into the tournament as a complete outsider and is now in the top 4.

Alexander Zverev has also enjoyed excellent performances in the tournament, and his odds have shortened in the last two weeks from 7.00 to 6.00 at most bookmakers. He will be facing off against Novak Djokovic in the semi-final.

In the women’s category, only two players remain and the final will have Emma Raducanu and Leylah Annie Fernandez facing off for their first-ever Grand Slam title.

Emma Raducanu entered the tournament as a complete outsider, valued at 401.00 odds to go all the way, and is now available at just 1.66 (Bet365). The 18-year old player is ranked 150th in the WTA Rankings, and this is her first appearance at a Grand Slam Final.

AT just 19 years of age, Leylah Annie Fernandez is also making her first Grand Slam final appearance. Fernandez is ranked 120th in the WTA rankings and was valued at 201.00 odds to go all the way at the start of the tournament. She is now available at 2.40 odds (Willaim Hill) to win the tournament.


US Open Winner Odds Update: August 26th 2021

Not much has changed in the men’s category. Novak Djokovic is still the favourite to go all the way, and his US Open winner odds have shortened from 1.72 to 1.67 (Paddy Power).

Medvedev is still the runner-up, and his odds have also shortened from 5.50 to 5.00 at Bet365 and William Hill. Paddy Power and Betfair have him to win it all at 6.00 odds. Due to his excellent performance at the Cincinnati Open, Alexander Zverev’s odds have shortened from 9.00 to 6.50 at most bookmakers. He is still available at Paddy Power Betfair and Unibet at 7.00 odds.

The rest of the men’s category follows the same pattern, with a slight shortening or increase in odds here and there. However, the withdrawal of Rafael Nadal has slightly changed the scene and Mateo Berrettini is now the fifth favourite in his stead, available at 26.00 odds at Paddy Power and Betfair.

The women’s singles category, on the other hand, has seen some changes. Naomi Osaka is no longer the favourite, and her US Open Winner odds have increased from 5.00 to 6.00 (Unibet). This is likely due to her performance in the Cincinnati Open, where she was bounced in the Round of 16 by Jil Teichman (Pos.44). Ashleigh Barty has taken the role of the favourite and her odds have shortened from 8.00 to 5.00 (Unibet).

The most interesting development in the women’s category is the withdrawal of tennis legend Serena Williams. The 39-year old superstar was fifth in line to lift the trophy at 12.00 odds (Paddy Power), but had to withdraw due to a hamstring injury she suffered at Wimbledon.

Aryna Sabalenka remains the third candidate in line to go all the way, and her odds increased from 11.00 to 14.00 (Unibet).

Original article below:


The odds are out, Novak Djokovic and Naomi Osaka are coming into the US Open tournament as the favourites.

For punters looking to bet on tennis, more precisely the US Open, we have provided a breakdown of the top 10 contenders in both the men’s and women’s categories. The contenders are ranked based on their tennis betting odds for winning the US Open in the 2021 edition. The candidate you pick will have to win every single match until the end of the tournament in order for your bet to be a winner, so choose wisely.

Bettors can choose from a variety of players, but it’s usually one of the top 10 who goes all the way. Looking for picks with value is also important as the top favourites are usually given very short odds, and the risk outweighs the reward. For example, Novak Djokovic is the favourite in the men’s category and the bookies have him at just 1.73 odds.

This is why we find value in candidates that have upside but aren’t expected to perform very well. This year, the women’s US Open odds provide better value than the men’s, and there are very solid candidates with relatively high odds. The tournament starts on August 30, but odds may shorten depending on outside factors as the tournament draws near, so don’t wait too long.

In this article:


US Open Men’s Odds

Current US Open Men’s Winner Odds

player name BET365 PADDY POWER WILLIAM HILL BETFAIR UNIBET
Novak Djokovic 1.66 1.67 1.67 1.67 1.70
Daniil Medvedev 5.00 6.00 5.00 6.00 5.50
Alexander Zverev 6.50 7.00 6.50 7.00 7.00
Stefanos Tsitsipas 10.00 12.00 10.00 12.00 11.00
Matteo Berrettini 23.00 26.00 17.00 26.00 20.00
Andrey Rublev 26.00 41.00 26.00 41.00 34.00
Jannik Sinner 21.00 51.00 26.00 51.00 34.00
Denis Shapovalov 41.00 51.00 34.00 51.00 41.00
Felix Auger Aliassime 51.00 81.00 51.00 91.00
Hubert Hurkacz 81.00 81.00 67.00 81.00 51.00

PROBABILITY OF WINNING US OPEN 2021 BASED ON ADJUSTED BOOKMAKER ODDS

US Open WInner odds as at 26th August 2021. Odds may now differ.

 

All odds mentioned below are the best odds available as at 26th August 2021. US Open odds may now differ.


Men’s Favorite

Novak Djokovic US Open Tennis Odds: 1.67 (Paddy Power)

Novak Djokovic is on track to win his fourth Grand Slam of the year and become the first tennis player in history to accomplish a Calendar Slam. The bookmakers have him as the frontrunner to go all the way and his odds to be the winner of the US Open speak to his elite skills. Djokovic has already won this tournament three times in his career, in 2011, 2015, and 2018.

Djokovic has won 20 Grand Slam tournaments in his career, and he has recently set the record for most weeks spent as the first tennis player in the ATP rankings with 311. He recently withdrew from the Western & Southern Open in order to prepare for the upcoming US Open, and he is the clear favourite to go all the way.

Not much of a point in backing him though with his US Open tennis betting odds. The bookies expect him to dominate this tournament, and the potential return doesn’t outweigh the potential loss.

Men’s Contenders

Daniil Medvedev US Open Tennis Odds: 6.00 (Paddy Power)
Alexander Zverev US Open Tennis Odds: 6.50 (Bet365)

Danil Medvedev’s US Open tennis betting odds have him as the second favorite to go all the way. Medvedev hasn’t been able to secure himself a Grand Slam victory, and this might be his best opportunity. At 25 years of age, Medvedev has reached the finals of a Grand Slam tournament twice. In 2019 he faced Rafael Nadal in the US Open final and just narrowly lost (5:7, 3:6, 7:5, 6:4, 4:6). This was a disappointing result for the Russian, but he went on to the 2021 Australian Open final and faced Novak Djokovic. This time, Medvedev was defeated in three sets by the world’s first racket (5:7, 2:6, 2:6). This will be his opportunity to correct his mistakes and come out on top.

Alexander Zverev is the fifth ATP ranked tennis player in the world and looking to get back to the top 3. He has never won a Grand Slam title in his career, and his best position on the ATP rankings was third in 2017. But the 24-year-old German has shown he is ready to finally make it happen. He reached the 2020 US Open final and faced Dominic Thiem. Unfortunately, he lost a two-set advantage and eventually lost the match (2:6, 4:6, 6:4, 6:3, 7:6). But Zverev made a splash in the Tokyo Olympics and defeated Djokovic in the semifinals of the Tokyo Olympics, which is why taking a look at him for this market isn’t a bad idea.

Men’s Outside Chances

Stefanos Tsitsipas US Open Tennis Odds: 11.00 (Unibet)
Matteo Berrettini US Open Tennis Odds: 26.00 (Betfair)
Jannik Sinner US Open Tennis Odds: 51.00 (Paddy Power)
Andrey Rublev US Open Tennis Odds: 41.00 (Paddy Power)
Aslan Karatsev US Open Tennis Odds: 101.00 (Paddy Power)

Stefanos Tsitsipas is currently ranked third in the ATP rankings and his US Open tennis betting odds have him as the fifth contender to win the tournament. He hasn’t won a Grand Slam title yet, but made it to the finals of the French Open in 2021. Unfortunately, he faced Novak Djokovic in the final (6–7, 2–6, 6–3, 6–2, 6–4) and missed the opportunity to win his first-ever Grand Slam. When it comes to betting on tennis, more precisely on the US Open, Tsitsipas is a solid candidate. The bookies don’t expect him to win, but he is always dangerous.

Matteo Berrettini also had his dream of winning his first Grand Slam spoiled by Djokovic. Berrettini made a splash in the 2021 edition of Wimbledon and made it all the way to the final. He was defeated by Djokovic in four sets (6–7, 6–4, 6–4, 6–3). He is an excellent young player, but his weaknesses are his defensive game and inconsistency. He suffers most when put under pressure by opponents and when forced to defend on the run, especially when defending on the backhand.

At just 20 years of age, Jannik Sinner is already in the top 15 of the ATP rankings. In 2020, Sinner made his best result in a Grand Slam tournament by reaching the quarter-finals of Roland Garros. Unfortunately, Sinner was matched against the clay king himself in Rafael Nadal and lost the match in three sets (6:7,4:6,1:6). Sinner has drawn comparisons to Roger Federer for his excellent movement and calm on-court demeanour. His two-handed backhand has the most topspin out of all the players in the ATP tour with an average of 1858 revolutions per minute, along with the fifth-best average speed of 111.2 km/h.

Andrey Rublev is currently ranked seventh in the ATP standings, which is also his best ranking in his career so far. Rublev still hasn’t been able to win a Grand Slam title, but at age 23, he still has more than enough time to make it happen. His best result in Grand Slam tournaments was reaching the quarter-finals, just this year, he made it to the French Open and Australian Open quarter-finals. Rublev is best known for his powerful and accurate forehead. His running forehand is very dangerous because of its consistency and reliability. However, unlike the young Jannik Sinner, Rublev is unable to control his emotions at times and is liable to make consecutive unforced errors. His odds of winning the US Open in the men’s singles category have him in the top 10, but given his track record, he is not a good investment yet.

Aslan Karatsev is ranked 25th in the ATP rankings. The 25-year-old Russian has never won a Grand Slam title, but his closest attempt was earlier this year. Karatsev made it to the semi-final of the Australian Open only to lose to Novak Djokovic in three sets (3:6, 4:6, 2:6). Karatsev won a silver medal in the mixed doubles category with partner Elena Vesnina, losing to compatriots Andrey Rublev and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova.


US Open Women’s Odds

It seems that the bookies see a bit of a tighter race in this category, with Osaka, Barty, and Williams in close contention for the title. Naomi Osaka is last year’s defending champion, but Serena Williams shares the record for most US Open titles in the modern era with six titles to her name. With the US Open men’s tennis betting odds covered, at least for the top 10 contenders, we turn our attention to the odds for the women’s division for the US Open.

Current US Open Women’s Winner Odds:

Player Name BET365 PADDY POWER WILLIAM HILL BETFAIR UNIBET
Ashleigh Barty 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 5.00
Naomi Osaka 5.50 6.50 5.50 6.50 6.00
Aryna Sabalenka 11.00 13.00 11.00 13.00 14.00
Iga Swiatek 13.00 13.00 13.00 13.00 16.00
Karolina Pliskova 15.00 17.00 15.00 17.00 13.00
Cori Gauff 17.00 17.00 17.00 17.00 18.00
Barbora Krejcikova 23.00 21.00 21.00 21.00 16.00
Bianca Andreescu 13.00 21.00 13.00 21.00 20.00
Belinda Bencic 26.00 26.00 26.00 26.00 21.00
Garbine Muguruza 17.00 23.00 17.00 23.00 26.00
Paula Badosa 34.00 34.00 29.00 34.00 34.00
Simona Halep 13.00 23.00 13.00 23.00 20.00

PROBABILITY OF WINNING US OPEN 2021 BASED ON ADJUSTED BOOKMAKER ODDS

US Open Women’s Winner odds as at 26th August 2021. Odds may now differ.


All odds mentioned below are the best odds available as at 26th August 2021. US Open odds may now differ.


Women’s Favorites

Naomi Osaka US Open WInner Odds: 6.00 (Unibet)
Ashleigh Barty US Open WInner Odds: 5.00 (Unibet)

The former world’s first racket Naomi Osaka is looking to get back to the top, and another Grand Slam title won’t hurt her chances. Having already won the Australian Open and the US Open twice, she has the experience and skills necessary to make it happen. The bookies have her as the favourite to go all the way and the reason is simple. At just 23 years of age, Osaka has held the position of the best female tennis player in the world, and she can certainly do it again. Osaka withdrew from the French Open and missed Wimbledon in 2021 due to mental health reasons, but competed in the Tokyo Olympics.

In terms of playing style, Osaka is a very aggressive baseline player. She has incredible power in her game, especially in her serve and forehand. At the age of just 16, Osaka could hit forehands at the speed of 160 km/h, and her serve was measured at 200 km/h. But the most important development in her game is her ability to win rallies. Osaka has improved her composure by leaps and bounds and is able to prevent herself from committing many unforced errors. The 5.00 odds to her name provide solid value for punters looking for good US Open women’s odds, and she is always a good investment.

The first female racket of the world Ashleigh Barty is coming into this tournament looking for her first US Open title. She has already conquered Roland Garros and Wimbledon, but she has yet to find success at the US Open and the Australian Open. In fact, Barty’s best results at US Open were two fourth-round finishes in 2018 and 2019. In the 2019 edition, Barty was defeated by Wang Quiang (2:6, 4:6).

Her playing style can be described as resourceful and crafty. She uses her groundstrokes well from both the forehand and backhand side and uses her powerful forehand to create sharp angles on shots across the court. Barty also has a very dangerous serve and also likes to come to the net to make things difficult for her opponents with her accurate slices. If anyone can challenge Osaka in this tournament it’s Ashleigh Barty. The only point of concern is that she has never actually won the US Open, and it doesn’t seem like it’s her tournament of choice.

Women’s Contenders

Aryna Sabalenka US Open Winner Odds: 14.00 (Unibet)
Bianca Andreescu US Open Winner Odds: 20.00 (Unibet)
Iga Swiatek US Open Winner Odds: 16.00 (Unibet)
Simona Halep US Open Winner Odds: 20.00 (Unibet)

Not much to say about Serena Williams that hasn’t already been said. The former best female tennis player makes her return to the US Open. As of August 9th, 2021, Williams is ranked the 20th female tennis player in the WTA rankings. With 23 Grand Slam titles, Williams is the leader in the modern era, and second in the all-time rankings, behind Margaret Court (24). Williams won the US Open a total of six times in her career, with her most recent title coming in the 2014 edition. Unfortunately, her most recent appearance at the US Open won’t be remembered for anything good. Apart from the well-known controversy with the umpire, Williams lost to Naomi Osaka in the final in two sets (2:6, 4:6). Now, Williams will be looking to win her seventh US Open title at the age of 39.

The 23-year old player from Belarus, Aryna Sabalenka, is currently ranked third in the WTA rankings and is looking to win her first-ever Grand Slam title. Sabalenka’s best result so far was reaching the semi-finals of Wimbledon earlier this year. She faced Karolina Pliskova from the Czech Republic and lost in three sets. (7:5, 4:6, 4:6). Her best performance at the US Open was a fourth-round exit in 2018 by the hands of Naomi Osaka ( 3:6, 6:2, 4:6).

Bianca Andreescu is currently ranked eighth in the WTA rankings. The 21-year old Canadian already has one US Open title to her name. In the 2019 edition, Andreescu faced Serena Williams and bested her in two sets (6:3, 7:5). This was her first-ever Grand Slam title, and she is looking to repeat her success. Apart from having immense power in her shots, it is her variety and shot selection that sets her apart from other players. Andreescu never hits two of the same shots in a row and always keeps her opponents guessing. At 13.00 odds to go all the way, Sabalenka is an excellent dark horse pick for lower stakes

Iga Swiatek is another young and promising player with a Grand Slam under her belt. Holding the seventh position in the WTA rankings, Iga Swiatek is the sixth contender in line to win the US Open. Swiatek won her first-ever Grand Slam with an excellent performance at the 2020 Roland Garrosdefeating Sofia Kenin in two sets (6:4, 6:1). At just 20-years of age, Swiatek has a lot of upside and will be a force in the tennis world for years to come. However, her US Open tennis betting odds are the same as Andreescu’s, even though her best performance at the tournament was a third-round exit last year.

Simona Halep is ranked 14th in the WTA rankings and is looking to get back to the top again. The former best female tennis player in the world has two Grand Slam titles to her name. Halep won the French Open in 2018 and Wimbledon in 2019. But her best finish in the US Open was a semi-final appearance in 2015. Although she has seen success on all surfaces, her favourite court type is clay, and it doesn’t seem like the US Open is her cup of tea.

Women’s Outside Chances

Garbine Muguruza US Open Winner Odds: 26.00 (Unibet)
Cori Gauff US Open Winner Odds: 18.00 (Unibet)
Karolina Pliskova US Open winner odds: 17.00 (Betfair)

In 2017, Garbine Muguruza was ranked first in the WTA rankings, but in July 2021, she dropped down to the ninth position. The 27-year old has won two Grand Slam titles in her career but hasn’t seen much success in the US Open. Muguruza won the French Open in 2016 and Wimbledon in 2017, but her best finish at the US Open was a fourth-round exit. In the 2017 edition of the tournament, Muguruza faced Petra Kvitova and lost in three sets (6:7, 6:3). Her risky playing style brings her lots of winners, but also unforced errors. Her favourite surface is clay, and because of her aggressive playing style, she has often lost matches to lower-ranked opponents. Even at 17.00 odds, Muguruza doesn’t provide much value at the moment when it comes to betting tennis at the US Open.

Cori Gauff is a rising star in the tennis world at the moment, and this might just be her time to shine. At just 17 years of age, Gauff is already ranked 24th in the WTA rankings. Gauff has already made appearances in Grand Slam tournaments. Earlier this year, Gauff made it to the quarter-finals of the Roland Garros and faced Barbora Krejickova and lost in two sets (6:7, 3:6). This was an important experience for the young American player, and she will likely be back with a vengeance. The 17.00 odds on her name give solid value for bettors looking for a dark horse candidate at low stakes.

Karolina Pliskova is our final candidate for today, and the 29-year old from the Czech Republic is looking for her first-ever Grand Slam title. Pliskova is currently sixth in the WTA rankings, but the bookmakers have her as the 10th candidate in line for the title. Pliskova’s best result at the US Open is a final appearance in 2016. She faced Angelique Kerber and lost in three sets (3:6, 6:4, 4:6). Pliskova also made it to the final of Wimbledon earlier this year but was defeated by Ashleigh Barty (3:6, 7:6, 3:6). Pliskova is not limited to just one type of surface and is well-rounded on all courts. This makes her a solid longshot pick at 19.00 odds.


 

 

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