tennis | Friday, May 24, 2024 7:30 AM

Andrea Vavassori vs Henri Squire Prediction, Pick, H2H, May 24th

Jon Reid

Our first preview of Friday’s action comes from the last day of French Open qualifying. With a spot in the main draw, along with the rankings points and cash that come along with it, a lot is on the line. Let’s look at Andrea Vavassori vs Henri Squire.

Squire’s win probability is only 35%, while Vavassori is favored to win at 1.43 odds. The handicap is three games and the total games line is 22.5.

Our Vavassori vs Squire prediction is for Squire to keep this match close

Vavassori vs Squire Prediction: Surging German Slightly Undervalued in Matchup of Strong Servers

Prediction: Over 22.5 Games & Squire to win
Best Odds: 1.84 & 2.86
Bookmaker: Unibet & Pinnacle
Stakes: 2/10 & 2/10

Odds as at 11:30 pm UK Time on May 24th, 2024. Odds may now differ.

go with our tip at UnibetI’m not all that keen on opposing Vavassori here, but I do think that Squire’s game style is capable of keeping things close. He’s improved on the clay courts this season, after having been a serve-oriented player that was almost exclusively good on indoor hard courts.

The improved return game and still-effective service game are a good combination against someone who can play as powerfully and aggressively as Vavassori. Though the Italian’s tendency to throw in the serve-and-volley isn’t as effective on clay, he still finds a way to make it work, and his first serve can still generate plenty of cheap points.

It means his opponent needs to be able to hold serve consistently and fend off his attempts to seize control of points on return.

If Squire can play near the level he’s capable of, he should be able to turn this into a serve-dominated matchup, which by nature should keep the match close and make a 2.83 number value in this spot.

For a preview of the ATP Tour, head on over to the expert insights page.

Andrea Vavassori Recent Form

Vavassori is only 7-6 on the dirt this season, but it’s a mixed bag in terms of his record. He’s played a lot more at the main tour level than Squire, but he’s also won almost none of those matches and still has a few losses to Challenger Tour players on his resume.

Losing to Matias Soto, Francisco Comesana and Harold Mayot aren’t the worst, but they’re still straight sets losses against players slightly better or worse than his opponent on Friday.

Even his matches this week in qualifying have seen him struggle with the aging and underpowered Albert Ramos Vinolas and got by Benjamin Hassan simply because he outlasted him after two long sets that ended up in tiebreaks.

I do think he’s the favorite here, but with the game styles these two employs, I struggle to see this one as a lopsided affair. At least to the extent the market does.

Henri Squire Recent Form

Though Squire racked up 31 wins last season on the surface, this season is easily his most impressive on clay.

That’s because his results have been achieved in Challenger Tour main draws and main tour event qualifying.

It’s clear that he’s improved his return game and his consistency from the baseline – two important traits on the slower red dirt. The majority of his losses have come to fellow power players or the likes of former tour pros in Damir Dzumhur or Benjamin Bonzi (a loss he avenged in the opening round) and most of them took three sets to beat him.

I would’ve been the last person to believe in Squire at the beginning of the clay season. His improvements should be acknowledged though, especially since he’s played tougher competition and still found a decent amount of success and I’d rather be ahead of the market in adjusting than behind it.

Andrea Vavassori vs Henri Squire H2H – Stat of the Match

This is the first meeting between the two at the professional level.

Safer Gambling

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