Stan Wawrinka vs Pedro Cachin Prediction: February 12th IEB+ Argentina Open, H2H

We get one void and one win on Friday, as we profit on the day to end the week. For the coming week we have tournaments of all levels from across the tours, including a 500 and a pair of 250s on the ATP side.

For Monday, I want to head to the IEB+ Argentina Open in Buenos Aires and look at Stan Wawrinka vs Pedro Cachin.

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Wawrinka is available at 1.66 odds to win, while Cachin is priced at 2.20. The handicap is at 1.5 games. Our Wawrinka vs Cachin prediction is for Wawrinka to win.

In this article:

• Stan Wawrinka vs Pedro Cachin Prediction
• Stan Wawrinka Recent Form
• Pedro Cachin Recent Form
• Stan Wawrinka vs Pedro Cachin H2H Stat of the Match

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Stan Wawrinka vs Pedro Cachin (IEB+ Argentina Open) Prediction: Wawrinka a Class Above Home Favourite

• Pick: Wawrinka to win
• Best Odds: 1.85
• Bookmaker: Pinnacle
• Stakes: 6/10

Odds as at 9:00 pm UK Time on February 11th, 2024. Odds may now differ.

Go with our tip at bet365I can sum up the entire handicap here in a single question: What does Cachin do better than the veteran Swiss on a clay court?

The answer? Stamina. End of list.

As for what Wawrinka does more effectively? He hits harder, has a heavier shot, far more tour-level pedigree and he can match the comfort on the red dirt. He may be in his late 30s, but he’s shown the ability to hang with some really strong players on hard courts, and now should be the aggressor in the majority of rallies in this contest.

I think Cachin has risen up the rankings nicely in the last year or two, but still lacks a bit of offensive ability when playing those more talented than him.

If Wawrinka was a much larger favourite, I’d be fine with the price, but having him win this just above 50% of the time seems wrong.

Read on for more expert insights.

Stan Wawrinka Recent Form

Wawrinka has only played one match thus far in 2024, but it’s one I don’t think he’ll be too disappointed with. He lost in Australia, in hot and quick conditions to Adrian Mannarino, who specialises in quicker conditions and is in the form of his life. That took five sets and a physical decline from the 38-year-old.

Luckily for him, we’re back to best-of-three set tennis and this match will be played in the evening in the Argentinian capital.

The last time we saw Wawrinka at this level on clay, he went to the final in Umag, beating some decent clay courters in Roberto Carballes Baena, Lorenzo Sonego and Federico Coria.

He did so in straight sets against all three of them as well. His game is still plenty powerful and suited to clay and I don’t think he’s declined enough to have him priced like this against someone who is still probably a borderline tour-level player.

Pedro Cachin Recent Form

If we want to look at some poor form, we need to look no further than Cachin. The 28-year-old may have earned his way to the main tour in the last 12-18 months with some strong play, but staying on the main circuit is proving to be tough for him.

Now, he was playing on hard courts and in quicker conditions, but losses to Liam Broady (by eight games) and then Adam Walton and Jesper de Jong are worrisome nonetheless. They’re all bona fide Challenger Tour players.

His lone match on clay? That came last week in Cordoba. He lost it in three sets against Albert Ramos Vinolas, who was dispatched with ease by his next two opponents. Not great.

I don’t mind Cachin’s game, which is a blend of a decent serve and forehand combination with some great consistency, but he does lack the ability to dictate and when tasked with playing players that possess more talent and that can also last in the longer rallies, I think he’s in real trouble.

Stan Wawrinka vs Pedro Cachin H2H – Stat of the Match

These two haven’t met yet professionally (Cachin just got himself onto the main tour fairly recently, while Wawrinka has been on the main circuit for over a decade).

For me the stat that has to be looked at is the elo rating on clay. When looking at a single match and how they match up, we use the blended clay elo rating, and that has Wawrinka over 100 points ahead. In other words, the Tennis Abstract elo ratings believe Wawrinka wins about 65% of the time.

That is not reflected in the odds. Given the fact that all the qualitative factors also favour the Swiss, you can see why I’m recommending a rather large staking on the wager.

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